Daily Forex Analysis
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Read our daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD finds stops and advances • USD Sellers attempting to take control • Volumes lighter on the advance Overnight Preview • Advance likely to suffer profit taking • Longs due to liquidate Looking Ahead to Tuesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Trade Balance • 10:00am USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Big day for the GBP and the Yen for data. Summary The USD continued its march higher against the forex trading major pairs today after putting in a fragile bottom overnight. Despite the lack of volume and the key support numbers trading in Asia USD traders continued to find offers …
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Read the Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading •USD sharply lower •German data surprises, EURO higher •US PPI not so good Overnight Preview •Look for a correction lower by the majors; today’s rally overdone? Looking Ahead to Wednesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) •10:30am Crude Oil Inventories 0.2M •1:00pm Fed Governor Warsh Speaks •2:00pm FOMC Meeting Minutes Summary The Greenback is weaker to end the day and the sharp rise by the majors stopped at technical resistance across the board suggesting that the move was a bull-trap. All the majors look really bullish into current pricing but volumes were a bit lighter than might be…
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Read the Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD firms, sideways after Housing Data • Pending Home Sales as expected • Speculation BOE might cut rates Thursday Overnight Preview • Look for book-squaring ahead of BOE meeting Looking Ahead to Thursday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Unemployment Claims forecast 370K • 10:00am USD Wholesale Inventories m/m forecast 0.5% • BOE MPC Rate Announcement no change forecasted Summary The USD has had a strong trading day after another slow start in Asia overnight. Equities softened which kept some pressure on the USD/JPY pair but the Greenback was able to stay on the offensive …
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Daily Forex Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading •USD rallies in light volume •Traders say today was a “stop hunt” •Short-term traders active Overnight Preview •USD likely to fall back, European data may lift EURO Looking Ahead to Tuesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) •8:30am USD PPI m/m 0.4% •8:30am USD Core PPI m/m 0.2% •9:00am USD Fed Vice Chairman Kohn Speaks •9:00am USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 38.0 •10:00am USD Fed Publishes TAF Summary Summary The hardly-watched LEI data today came out better-than-expected this morning and the USD saw a stop-driven rally ensue until after the London fix when the Greenback came under renewed pressure. F…
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Read the Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD two-way all day • Starts on the offensive—ends on the defensive • GBP and EURO at technical resistance. Overnight Preview • Look for a quiet evening ahead of FOMC Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m • 8:30am USD Durable Goods Orders m/m • 10:00am USD New Home Sales • 10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories • 2:15pm USD FOMC Statement • 2:15pm USD Federal Funds Rate Summary Despite a better start overnight the USD was unable to hold significant gains today after the release of disappointing US data gave traders a reason to sell the Greenba…
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Read the Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD two sided, ends flat-to-mixed • Reverses early weakness • Traders waiting for tomorrow’s data Overnight Preview • Expect consolidation. • USD likely to range trade on light volumes ahead of data tomorrow Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 9:00 AM CDT Pending Home Sales forecast -0.6%, Look for weak housing data. Summary Aside from some early fireworks on the sell side this morning the USD was relatively subdued for most of New York trade. Starting slowly in Asia overnight as the last day of Golden Week slowed the pace of early action the USD remained two-sided in technical …
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Here's Our Daily Forex Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD starts lower in Asia, rallies in Europe • Rallies on Durables data then fades • Ends New York Mixed Overnight Preview • Look for the USD to continue under pressure ahead of GDP tomorrow • Volumes should drop off also Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Prelim GDP q/q 0.9% • 8:30am USD Prelim GDP Price Index q/q 2.6% • 8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 370K • 10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories • 10:30am USD Natural Gas Storage • 2:30pm USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks • 7:00pm USD Fed Vice Chairman Kohn Speaks Summary The USD ends the day mixed after a slow start in …
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Daily Forex Trading analysis - 16/06/08 Overnight Asia/Europe • G-8 no mention of FOREX, threatens oil traders • EU inflation revised higher • USD on the defense to start the week Today’s Economic Reports All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Empire State Business Conditions Index • 9:00am USD TIC Net Long-Term Transactions • 1:00pm USD Pending Home Sales m/m TICS and Pending Home Sales the big news on the day Looking Ahead to Tuesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Housing Starts • 8:30am USD PPI m/m • 8:30am USD Building Permits • 8:30am USD Core PPI m/m • 8:30am USD Current Account • 9:15am USD Capacity Utilization Rate Summary T…
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Read the Daily Forex Trading Analysis Overnight Asia/Europe • USD quiet ahead of NFP • Technical trade in quiet volumes • Traders sidelined Today’s Economic Reports All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Nonfarm Employment Change -57K • 8:30am USD Unemployment Rate 5.1% • 8:30am USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.2% • 8:45am USD Fed Governor Kroszner Speaks • 10:00am USD Wholesale Inventories m/m 0.4% • 3:00pm USD Consumer Credit m/m 7.3B Looking Ahead to Monday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 10:00am USD Pending Home Sales m/m -1.0% Summary The USD is mixed to start New York; overnight action was subdued with ranges modest as traders get ready for…
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Read the Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • Overseas data USD negative • USD rally falters in US trade • Volumes lighter Overnight Preview • USD likely to remain technical in nature • Look for more downside pressure Looking Ahead to Wednesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 10:35am USD Crude Oil Inventories Summary The USD whipsawed today initially falling in Asia and then rallying in Europe before falling back again during New York trade. Not a lot of news supported the trade action today; overseas news was mostly supportive to the EURO and the GBP but both of them were under selling pressure early. US data this morning was USD neut…
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Read Daily Forex Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD reverses from highs overnight, ends mixed • US data neutral to favorable but no follow-through • Volumes lighter as traders are confused Overnight Preview • Traders expect two-way action with the majors to consolidate • Likely the USD will remain technical until NFP on Friday Looking Ahead to Thursday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 374K • 10:35am USD Natural Gas Storage • 12:00pm USD Philadelphia Fed President Plosser Speaks Summary Despite neutral-to-better US data today the USD was unable to extend gains from yesterday and ended the day mixed. Better against GB…
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Forex Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • Major pairs two-way, end stronger • Volumes light due to minor holidays • USD ends near lows Overnight Preview • Look for more two-way and consolidation trade Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • None in the US, very light start to the week; housing data Wednesday likely to carry more weight. Summary A very quiet two-way session left the USD slightly lower from Friday’s closing levels against the forex trading majors; traders note that the holiday thinned conditions contributed to the lack of interest either way. On the day, after what would have been the London fix, the USD fell into some active sellin…
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Forex Trading Daily Analysis Overnight Asia/Europe • USD very quiet • Holidays in Asia and UK Today’s Economic Reports All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 10:00am USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite forecast 49.6 Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • None in the US , Very light start to the week; housing data Wednesday likely to carry more weight. Summary The USD is trading sideways to slightly lower to start New York after a very quiet overnight start to the week. Asian trade was very subdued with Japan, Korea and Thailand market centers closed; traders noted good demand for USD/JPY from a UK momentum fund as well as order driven trade in EURO. With t…
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Daily Forex Trading Analysis Overnight Asia/Europe • USD mixed on follow-through • Model accounts buying USD/JPY • More losses expected later in the week Today’s Economic Reports All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 10:00am USD Pending Home Sales m/m -1.0% Looking Ahead to Tuesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Trade Balance -58.2B • 10:00am USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Summary The USD is mixed to start New York this morning after trading two-way overnight. A minor holiday in Asia kept volumes light but the USD remained under pressure from Friday’s close. Importers were seen buying USD/JPY as concerns about higher commodity prices for raw materia…
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Daily Forex Analysis Today’s USD Trading • USD weakens in Asia, goes two-way in Europe • Asia and Europe minor holidays, volumes light • USD rallies hard in NY trade, US data neutral Overnight Preview • Expect a book-squaring session • Not a lot left to drive the greenback Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am Nonfarm Employment forecast -80K • 8:30am Unemployment Rate forecast 5.2% • 8:30am Average Hourly Earnings m/m forecast 0.3% • 10:00am Factory Orders m/m forecast 0.2% Summary The USD roared back today from a disappointing set of data this morning and recovered a lot of lost ground against most of the pairs. USD/CHF rallied th…
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Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD two-way is moderate trade • Majors correct into support but hold firm • US data surprises to the upside Overnight Preview • Look for the USD to trade two-way • Not a lot of news until later in the week Looking Ahead to Tuesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Trade Balance -58.2B • 10:00am USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Summary The Greenback is mixed to end New York after a whippy start to the week. Initially weaker in Asia, the minor holiday along the Pacific Rim slowed action until the start of European trade. The USD gained a bit on the EURO and GBP as UK data was mildly supportive…
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Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD retreats from Friday’s gain • US data benign—points to more losses • Speculation grows that USD will fall Overnight Preview • Look for the USD to consolidate • Expect two-way action Looking Ahead to Tuesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Housing Starts • 8:30am USD PPI m/m • 8:30am USD Building Permits • 8:30am USD Core PPI m/m • 8:30am USD Current Account • 9:15am USD Capacity Utilization Rate Summary The USD starts this week lower against most pairs but still two-sided as Monday draws to a close. In New York the USD saw the worst levels of the day so far as surging oil prices slammed equities and rallied the…
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Read the Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD starts slow; makes a show for strength in NY • US data mixed and of little help • Traders await more tomorrow Overnight Preview • Look for a rally in the USD overnight • Lack of downside follow-on selling seen Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m -0.4% • 8:30am USD Durable Goods Orders m/m -1.5% • 9:00pm USD Dallas Fed President Fisher Speaks • 12:50pm USD Minneapolis Fed President Stern Speaks Summary The USD enjoyed a day of higher pricing but failed to break into any new areas of S/R against the majors. For the most part the Gr…
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Today's Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD fails to hold gains • Stops run early • Two-way action suggests offers building Overnight Preview • Look for consolidation with a downside bias • USD likely to open lower in New York tomorrow Looking Ahead to Thursday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Core Retail Sales m/m 0.7% • 8:30am USD Retail Sales m/m 0.5% • 8:30am USD Import Price Index m/m 2.5% • 8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 370K • 10:00am USD Business Inventories m/m 0.3% • 10:35am USD Natural Gas Storage • 11:30am USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks Summary The USD was unable to hold gains earned yesterday as the Majors…
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Read the Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD holds gains but volumes drop • US data mixed • Higher equities and lower oil support USD Overnight Preview • Expect the USD to consolidate • No real news out ahead of US CPI on Friday Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Core CPI m/m 0.2% • 8:30am USD CPI m/m 0.5% • 9:55am USD Prelim Michigan Sentiment 59.5 Summary The USD is holding onto gains this afternoon after surprise US data helped underpin the Greenback; traders note that although the USD strength this week has been significant the majors are holding key S/R. Volumes have been only moderate and suggest that…
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Below you may find a Forex Trading daily Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD continues to advance but volumes slow • Traders report thin order books • US data today benign Overnight Preview • Look for two-way trade • USD to consolidate Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 10:35am USD Crude Oil Inventories -4.8M • 11:30am USD FOMC Member Kohn Speaks • 12:15pm USD Fed Governor Kroszner Speaks • 2:00pm USD Beige Book Summary The USD continued to advance against the majors today as benign Balance of Trade data was ignored in favor of rhetoric from major sources. Overnight comments by US Fed chair Bernanke suggested that the US fed was ready t…
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Daily Forex Trading Analysis Today’s US Dollar Trading • Bernanke comments roil the USD, active buying lifts into resistance • Volumes die after initial lift • USD falls back late to reverse gains. Overnight Preview • USD likely to drop further overnight • Expect two-way action Looking Ahead to Wednesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 7:30am USD Challenger Job Cuts y/y 27.4% • 8:15am USD ADP Nonfarm Employment Change -30K • 8:30am USD Nonfarm Productivity q/q 2.5% • 8:30am USD Unit Labor Costs q/q 2.0% • 10:00am USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite 51.0 • 10:35am USD Crude Oil Inventories -8.8M Summary Today’s USD trading offered a bit of a surpris…
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Forex Daily Analysis Overnight Asia/Europe • USD firmer to mixed • EURO extends losses • GBP bounces Today’s Economic Reports • UK GDP +2.5 y/y, lowest in 3 years • 9:00 AM CDT Consumer Sentiment forecast 63.3 Looking Ahead • Too much to list! Main US releases are GDP and FOMC Wednesday, ISM Thursday and NFP on Friday Summary The USD is two-way and mixed to start New York; overnight action was muted ahead of the weekend. In Asia the USD had narrow ranges with the release of higher-than-expected Tokyo CPI data having no effect on the Greenback; higher equities also had little impact. Traders note that the USD/JPY had attracted a lot of large names…
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Daily Forex Analysis Today’s USD Trading USD ends mixed GBP falls through support Today’s Economic Reports Consumer Confidence out at 62.3 Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) 8:15am USD ADP Nonfarm Employment Change -60K 8K 8:30am USD Advance GDP q/q 0.2% 0.6% 10:45am USD Chicago PMI 47.5 48.2 2:15pm USD FOMC Statement 2:15pm USD Federal Funds Rate 2.00% 2.25% USD mixed, GBP and EURO fall through support Actually a very unexpected day for the GBP and the EURO as the USD ends a mixed session sharply higher against the Europeans and mixed against everyone else. BOE Blanchflower was making dovish remarks this afternoon and the GBP extended los…
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For More Forex Analysis Overnight Asia/Europe • Greenback starts firm then falls in Europe • Lots of rhetoric from Europe • Technical trade dominates Today’s Economic Reports • None in the US Summary The USD is slightly weaker this morning after a quiet start in Asia last night; traders note that firmer equities in Asia had no impact on USD/JPY this time and most feel that the market is sidelined ahead of FOMC rate announcements on Wednesday. Desks report some early demand for USD/JPY but once the European markets opened the demand fizzled; high prints in USD/JPY at 104.83 after a slow start. Exporters are noted to be ready on the offer at 105.00 with st…
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Daily Forex Analysis Today’s USD Trading • USD quiet in Asia, firms in Europe • GBP and EURO rally after rate cut • Whipsaw in the majors Today’s Economic Reports All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:15am ADP Private Payrolls, Actual+ 10,000 • 8:30am Advance GDP q/q 0.2%0.6%, Actual +0.6, -0.2% • 8:30am Advance GDP Price Index q/q 3.0%2.6% • 8:30am DECI q/q 0.8%0.8% • 9:45am Chicago PMI 47.548.2 Actual 48.3 • 2:15pm FOMC, actual 25 BP cut Looking Ahead to Thursday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 7:30am Challenger Job Cuts y/y 9.4% • 8:30am Personal Spending m/m 0.2%0.1% • 8:30am Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.1%0.1% • 8:30am Unemployment Claims 363K342K • 8…
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