The Deadly Art Of Stock Manipulation

______________________________

HOT STOCKS

CONFIDENTIAL ESSAY

 

By George Chelekis

 

NOTE: I believe this may be one of the most important essays on the financial markets which you will ever read. This essay will be

the lead article in Hot Stocks Review, (Part Two). Up until recently, I knew that I was missing something, but I could not

quite put my finger on it. Now I know what it is. The data which follows is only as good as you can actually use it. These are the cold, savage and ruthless facts of market manipulation. I have not made these up, but have dug them up out of out-dated, generally unavailable books on Canadian market manipulations, and pieced the rest together from observations, personal experiences and conversations with market professionals and insiders. While the books are out of date, the manipulations have been passed down from one generation to another. The only thing missing was someone to supply you with what those tricks were so you can become a more educated speculator. Many thanks to Robert Short and Vern Flannery, of Market News Publishing, for finding and sending me a copy of the book, "The Story Behind Canadian Mining Speculation" by T. H. Mitchell, first published in 1957 by George J. McLeod Limited; also Ivan Shaffer's book, "The Stock Promotion Game." I have been told that many of these tricks are now illegal. If so, would someone please tell that to the market manipulators.

 

THE DEADLY ART OF STOCK MANIPULATION....

 

In every profession, there are probably a dozen or two major rules. Knowing them cold is what separates the professional from the

amateur. Not knowing them at all? Well, let's put it this way: How safe would you feel if you suddenly found yourself piloting (solo) a Boeing 747 as it were landing on an airstrip? Unless you are a professional pilot, you would probably be frightened out of your wits and would soil your underwear. Hold that thought as you read this essay because I will explain to you how market manipulation works.

 

In order to successfully speculate, one should presume the following: THE SMALL CAP STOCK MARKETS PRIMARILY EXIST TO FLEECE YOU! I'm talking about Vancouver, Alberta, the Canadian Dealing Network and the US Over-the Counter markets (Pink Sheets, Bulletin Board, etc.). One could also stretch this, with many stocks, to include the world's senior stock markets, including Toronto, New York, NASDAQ, London, etc. The average investor or speculator is not very likely to have much success in the small cap crapshoots. I guess that is what attracted ME to these markets. I have been trying, for quite some time, to answer this question, "How come?" Now, I know. And you should, too!

 

By the way, the premise of these books is uniformly: "While these speculative companies do not actually make any money, one can profit by speculating in these companies." THAT is the premise on how these markets are run, by both the stock promoters, insiders, brokers, analysts and others in this industry. That logic is flawed in that it presumes "someone else" is going to end up holding the dirty bag. Follow this premise all the way through and you will realize the insane conclusion: For these markets to continue along that route, new suckers have to continue coming into the marketplace. The conclusion is insane in that such mad activity can only be short-lived. I disagree with this premise and propose another solution (see my earlier essay: A Modest Proposal) at the end of this essay.

 

What the professionals and the securities regulators know and understand, which the rest of us do not, is this.

 

"RULE NUMBER ONE: ALL SHARP PRICE MOVEMENTS -- WHETHER UP OR DOWN -- ARE THE RESULT OF ONE OR MORE (USUALLY A GROUP OF) PROFESSIONALS MANIPULATING THE SHARE PRICE."

 

This should explain why a mining company finds something good and "nothing happens" or the stock goes down. At the same

time, for NO apparent reason, a stock suddenly takes off for the sky! On little volume! Someone is manipulating that stock, often with an unfounded rumor.

 

In order to make these market manipulations work, the professionals assume: (a) The Public is STUPID and (b) The Public

will mainly buy at the HIGH and © The Public will sell at the LOW.

Therefore, as long as the market manipulator can run crowd control, he can be successful.

 

Let's face it: The reason you speculate in such markets is that you are greedy AND optimistic. You believe in a better tomorrow and NEED to make money quickly. It is this sentiment which is exploited by the market manipulator. He controls YOUR greed and fear about a particular stock. If he wants you to buy, the company's prospects look like the next Microsoft. If the manipulator wants you to desert the sinking ship, he suddenly becomes very guarded in his remarks about the company, isn't around to glowingly answer questions about the company and/or GETS issued very bad news about the company. Which brings us to the next important rule.

 

"RULE NUMBER TWO: IF THE MARKET MANIPULATOR WANTS TO DISTRIBUTE (DUMP) HIS SHARES, HE WILL START A GOOD NEWS PROMOTIONAL CAMPAIGN."

 

Ever wonder why a particular company is made to look like the greatest thing since sliced bread? That sentiment is manufactured.

Newsletter writers are hired -- either secretly or not -- to cheerlead a stock. PR firms are hired and let loose upon an unsuspecting public. Contracts to appear on radio talk shows are signed and implemented. Stockbrokers get "cheap" stock to recommend the company to their "book" (that means YOU, the client in his book). An advertising campaign is rolled out (television ads, newspaper ads, card deck mailings). The company signs up to exhibit at "investment conferences" and "gold shows" (mainly so they can get a little "podium time" to hype you on their stock and tell you how "their company is really different" and "not a stock promotion.") Funny little "hype" messages are posted on Internet newsgroups by the same cast of usual suspects. The more, the merrier. And a little "juice" can go a long way toward running up the stock price.

 

The HYPE is on. The more clever a stock promoter, the better his knowledge of the advertising business. Little gimmicks like

"positioning" are used. Example: Make a completely unknown company look warm and fuzzy and appealing to you by comparing it

to a recent success story, Diamond Fields or Bre-X Minerals. That is the POSITIONING gospel, authored by Ries and Trout (famous for "Avis: We Want To Be #1" and "We Try Harder" and other such slogans). These advertising/PR executives must have stumbled onto this formula after losing their shirts speculating in a few Canadian stock promotions! The only reason you have been invited to this seemingly incredible banquet is that YOU are the main course. After the market manipulator has suckered you into "his investment," exchanging HIS paper for YOUR cash, the walls begin to close in on you. Why is that?

 

 

The Deadly Art Of Stock Manipulation Pt2

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"RULE NUMBER THREE: AS SOON AS THE MARKET MANIPULATOR HAS COMPLETED HIS DISTRIBUTION (DUMPING) OF SHARES, HE WILL START A BAD NEWS OR NO NEWS CAMPAIGN."

 

Your favorite home-run stock has just stalled or retreated a bit from its high. Suddenly, there is a news VACUUM. Either NO news or BAD rumors. I discovered this with quite a few stocks. I would get LOADS of information and "hot tips." All of a sudden, my pipeline was shut-off. Some companies would even issue a news release CONDEMNING me ("We don't need 'that kind of hype' referring to me!). Cute, huh? When the company wanted fantastic hype circulated hither and yon, there would be someone there to spoon-feed me. The second the distribution phase was DONE....ooops! Sorry, no more news. Or, "I'm sorry. He's not in the office." Or, "He won't be back until Monday."

 

The really slick market manipulators would even seed the Internet news groups or other journalists to plant negative stories

about that company. Or start a propaganda campaign of negative rumors on all available communication vehicles. Even hiring a

"contrarian" or "special PR firm" to drive down the price. Even hiring someone to attack the guy who had earlier written glowingly about the company. (This is not a game for the faint-hearted!)

 

You'll also see the stock drifting endlessly. You may even experience a helpless feeling, as if you were floating in outer space

without a lifeline. That is exactly HOW the market manipulator wants you to feel. See Rule Number Five below. He may also be doing this to avoid the severe disappointment of a "dry hole" or a "failed deal." You'll hear that oft-cried refrain, "Oh well, that's the junior minerals exploration business... very risky!" Or the oft-quoted statistic, "Nine out of 10 businesses fail each year and this IS a Venture Capital Startup stock exchange." Don't think it wasn't contrived. If a geologist at a junior mining company wasn't optimistic and rosy in his promise of exploration success, he would be replaced by someone who was! Ditto for the high-tech deal, in a world awash with PhD's.

 

So, how do you know when you are being taken? Look again at

Rule #1. Inside that rule, a few other rules unfold which explain how

a stock price is manipulated.

 

"RULE NUMBER FOUR: ANY STOCK THAT TRADES HUGE VOLUME AT HIGHER PRICES SIGNALS THE DISTRIBUTION PHASE."

 

When there was less volume, the price was lower. Professionals were accumulating. After the price runs, the volume increases. The professionals bought low and sold high. The amateurs bought high (and will soon enough sell low). In older books about market manipulation and stock promotion, which I've recently studied, the markup price referred to THREE times higher than the floor. The floor is the launchpad for the stock. For example, if one looks at the stock price and finds a steady flatline on the stock's chart of around 10 cents, then that range is the FLOOR. Basically, the markup phase can go as high as the market manipulator is capable of taking it. From my observations, a good markup should be able to run about five to ten times higher than the floor, with six to seven being common. The market manipulator will do everything in his power to keep you OUT OF THE STOCK until the share price has been marked up by at least two-three times, sometimes resorting to "shaking you out" until after he has accumulated enough shares. Once the markup has begun, the stock chart will show you one or more spikes in the

volume -- all at much higher prices (marked up by the manipulator, of course). That is DISTRIBUTION and nothing else.

 

Example: Look at Software Control Systems (Alberta:XVN), in which I purchased shares after it had been marked up five times.

There were eight days of 500,000 (plus) shares trading hands, with one day of 750,000 shares trading hands. Market manipulator(s) dumping shares into the volume at higher prices. WHENEVER you see HUGE volume after the stock has risen on a 75 degree angle, the distribution phase has started and you are likely to be buying in -- at or near the stock's peak price.

 

Example: Look at Diamond Fields (TSE FR), which never increased at a 75 degree angle and did not have abnormal volume

spikes, yet in less than two years ran from C$4 to C$160/share.

 

Example: Look at Bre-X Minerals (Alberta:BXM), which did not experience its first 75 degree angle, with huge volume until July

14th, 1995. The next two trading days, BXM went down and stayed around C$12/share for two weeks. The volume had been 60% higher nearly a month earlier, with only a slight price increase. Each high volume and spectacular increase in BXM's share price was met with a price retreat and leveling off. "Suddenly," BXM wasn't trading at C$2/share; it was at C$170/share.... up 8500% in less than a year!

 

In both of the above cases, major Canadian newspapers ran extremely negative stories about both companies, at one time or

another. In each instance, just before another share price run up, retail investors fled the stock! Just before both began yet another

run up! Successful short-term speculators generally exit any stock run up when the volume soars; amateurs get greedy and buy at those points.

 

"RULE NUMBER FIVE: THE MARKET MANIPULATOR WILL ALWAYS TRY TO GET YOU TO BUY AT THE HIGHEST, AND SELL AT THE LOWEST PRICE POSSIBLE."

Just as the manipulator will use every available means to invite you to "the party," he will savagely and brutally drive you away from "his stock" when he has fleeced you. The first falsehood you assume is that the stock promoter WANTS you to make a bundle by investing in his company. So begins a string of lies that run for as long as your stomach can take it.

 

You will get the first clue that "you have been had" when the stock stalls at the higher level. Somehow, it ran out of steam and you

are not sure why. Well, it ran out of steam because the market manipulator stopped running it up. It's over inflated and he can't

convince more people to buy. The volume dries up while the share price seems to stall. LOOK AT THE TRADING VOLUME, NOT THE SHARE PRICE! When earlier, there may have been 500,000 shares trading each day for eight out of 12 trading days (as in the case of Software Control Systems), now the volume has slipped to 100,000 shares (or so) daily. There are some buyers there, enough for the manipulator to continue dumping his paper, but only so long as he can enlist one or more individuals/services to bang his drum.

 

He may continue feeding the promo guys a string of "promises" and "good news down the road." (Believe me, this HAS happened to me!) But, when the news finally arrives, the stock price goes THUD! This is entirely orchestrated by a market manipulator. You'll see it in the trading volume, most of which is CONTRIVED. A market manipulator will have various brokers buying and selling the stock to give the APPEARANCE of increasing volume and price so that YOU do start chasing it higher.

 

At some point during the stall stage, investors get fed up with the non-performance of the stock. It drifts for a while, in a steady retreat, with perhaps a short-lived spike in price and volume (the final signal that the manipulator has finally offloaded ALL of his

paper). Then, the stock comes tumbling down -- having lost ALL of the earlier share appreciation.

 

Sometimes, with the more cruel manipulators, they will throw in a little false hope... giving you a little more rope so they can better

hang you. Just after a severe drop, there will be a "bottom fishing" announcement which sends the share price up a bit on high volume, rises a little more after that and then continues to drift. Meanwhile, you keep getting "shaken out" through a cruel drip-drip water torture of the share price's slow retreat. Again, virtually every movement is completely orchestrated.

 

 

The Deadly Art Of Stock Manipulation Pt3

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"RULE NUMBER SIX: IF THIS IS A REAL DEAL, THEN YOU ARE LIKELY TO BE THE LAST PERSON TO BE NOTIFIED OR WILL BE DRIVEN OUT AT THE LOWER PRICES."

 

Like Jesse Livermore wrote, "If there's some easy money lying around, no one is going to force it into your pocket." The same

concept can be more clearly understood by watching the tape. When a market manipulator wants you into his stock, you will hear LOUD noises of stock promotion and hype. If you are "in the loop," you will be bombarded from many directions. Similarly, if he wants you out of the stock, then there will be orchestrated rumors being circulated, rapid-fired at you again from many directions. Just as good news may come to you in waves, so will bad news.

 

You will see evidence of a VERY sharp drop in the share price with HUGE volume. That is you and your buddies running for the

exits. If the deal is really for real, the market manipulator wants to get ALL OF YOUR SHARES or as many as he can... and at the lowest price he can. Whereas before, he wanted you IN his market, so he could dump his shares to you at a higher price, NOW when he sees that this deal IS for real, he wants to pay as little as possible for those same shares... YOUR shares which he wants to you part with, as quickly as possible.

 

The market manipulator will shake you out by DRIVING the price as low as he can. Just as in the "accumulation" stage, he wants

to keep everything as quiet as possible so he can snap up as many of the shares for himself, he will NOW turn down, or even turn off, the volume so he can repeat the accumulation phase.

 

In the mining business, there seems to always be another "area play" around the corner. Just as Voisey's Bay drifted into oblivion,

during the fourth quarter of 1995 and early into 1996, the same Voisey Bay "wannabees" began striking deals in Indonesia. Some

even used new corporate entities. Same crooks, different shingles. The accumulation phase was TOP SECRET. The noise level was deadingly silent. As soon as the insiders accumulated all their shares, they let YOU in on the secret.

 

"RULE NUMBER SEVEN: CONVERSELY, YOU WILL OFTEN BE THE LAST TO KNOW WHEN THIS DEAL SHOWS SIGNS OF FAILURE."

 

Twenty-twenty hindsight will often show you that there was a "little stumble" in the share price, just as the "assays were delayed"

or the "deal didn't go through." Manipulators were peeling off their paper to START the downslide. And ACCELERATE it. The quick slide down makes it improbable for your getting out at more than what you originally paid for the stock... and gives you a better reason for holding onto it "a little longer" in case the price rebounds. Then, the drifting stage begins and fear takes over. And unless you have serves of steel and can afford to wait out the manipulator, you will more than likely end up selling out at a cheap price.

 

For the insider, marketmaker or underwriter is obliged to buy back all of your paper in order to keep his company alive and maintain control of it. The less he has to pay for your paper, the lower his cost will be to commence his stock promotion again... at some future date. Even if his company has no prospects AT ALL, his "shell" of a company has some value (only in that others might want to use that structure so they can run their own stock promotion). So, the manipulator WILL buy back his paper. He just wants to make sure that he pays as little for those shares as possible.

 

"RULE NUMBER EIGHT: THE MARKET MANIPULATOR WILL COMPEL YOU INTO THE STOCK SO THAT YOU DRIVE UP ITS PRICE SHARES."

 

Placing a Market Order or Pre-Market Order is an amateur's mistake, typifying the US investor -- one who assumes that thinly

traded issues are the same as blue chip stocks, to which they are accustomed. A market manipulator (traders included here) can jack up the share price during your market order and bring you back a confirmation at some preposterous level. The Market Manipulator will use the "tape" against you. He will keep buying up his own paper to keep you reaching for a higher price. He will get in line ahead of you to buy all the shares at the current price and force you to pay MORE for those shares. He will tease you and MAKE you reach for the higher price so you "won't miss out." Miss out on what? Getting your head chopped off, that's what!

 

One can avoid market manipulation by not buying during the huge price spikes and abnormal trading volumes, also known as

chasing the stock to a higher price.

 

"RULE NUMBER NINE: THE MARKET MANIPULATOR IS WELL AWARE OF THE EMOTIONS YOU ARE EXPERIENCING DURING A RUN UP AND A COLLAPSE AND WILL PLAY YOUR EMOTIONS LIKE A PIANO."

 

During the run up, you WILL have a rush of greed which compels you to run into the stock. During the collapse, you WILL

have a fear that you will lose everything... so you will rush to exit. See how simple it is and how clear a bell it strikes? Don't think this formula isn't tattooed inside the mind of every manipulator. The market manipulator will play you on the way up and play you on the way down. If he does it very well, he will make it look like someone else's fault that you lost money! Promise to fill up your wallet? You'll rush into the stock. Scare you into losing every penny you have in that stock? You'll run away screaming with horror! And vow to NEVER, ever speculate in such stocks again. But many of you still do.... The manipulator even knows how to bring you back for yet another play.

 

What actors! No wonder Vancouver is sometimes called

"Hollywood North."

"FINAL RULE: A NEW BATCH OF SUCKERS ARE BORN WITH EVERY NEW PLAY."

 

The Financial Markets are a Cruel, Unkind and Dangerous Playing Field, one place where the newest amateurs are generally

fleeced the most brutally.... usually by those who KNOW the above rules.

 

Just as I have a duty to ensure that each of you understand how this game is played, YOU now have that same duty to guarantee

that your fellow speculator understands these rules. Just as I would be a criminal for not making this data known to you, YOU would be just as criminal to keep it a secret. There will always be an unsuspecting, trusting fool whom the rabid dogs will tear to shreds, but it does NOT have to be this way.

 

IF every subscriber made this essay broadly known to his friends, acquaintances and family, and they passed it on to their

friends, word of mouth could cause many of these market manipulators to pause. IF this effort were done strenuously by many,

then perhaps the financial markets could weed out the crooked manipulators and the promoters could bring us more legitimate

plays.

 

The stock markets are a financing tool. The companies BORROW money from you, when you invest or speculate in their companies. They want their share price going higher so they can finance their deal with less dilution of their shares... if they are good guys. But, how would you feel about a friend or family member who kept borrowing money from you and never repaid it? That would be theft, plain and simple. So, a market manipulator is STEALING your money. Don't let him do it anymore. Insist that the company in which you invest be honest or straight... or find another company in which to

speculate. Your money talks in LOUDER volumes than any stock promotion scheme. ALWAYS refuse any deal which smells wrong.

 

Refuse to tolerate the scams prevalent in the financial markets. This can ONLY be accomplished by KNOWING and USING the above rules. Thoroughly COMPLETE your due diligence on a company before risking a dime. Dig up the Insider Reports to find out who is blowing out their paper, how often they are blowing out their paper and whatever happened to their "last play."

 

Begin to use this as YOUR rule of thumb: If the insider's paper is really worthless, then avoid it. Find another's whose paper DOES

hold promise and honest possibilities. In these small cap stock markets, you are investing more in the INDIVIDUAL behind the play, than the "possibility" of the play itself. Ask yourself before speculating: Could I lend this person $5,000 for a year and hope to

get it back? If not, then don't! Do it for your own good and the good of everyone else who is so foolish as to speculate in these financial markets!

 

The truly sane and only somewhat safe solution to all of this: FIND GOOD COMPANIES IN WHICH TO SPECULATE AND GET INTO THEM AT THE GROUND FLOOR LEVEL. Anything else is criminal or stupid. This is a case where there really isn't a gray area. It's either

Black or it's White. The company and its management are scamsters

or they really intend to bring value to their shareholders.

 

 

What is Circular Trading

 

Circular Trading is a fraudulent activity in the stock market involving two brokers or market players trading a stock back and forth to give the impression of huge trading volume.

 

In Circular Trading sell orders are entered by a broker who knows that offsetting buy orders, the same number of shares at the same time and at the same price, either have been or will be entered.

 

Circular trading is typically rampant in a market that is tending upwards. The problem is that retail investors trade on momentum. This means that these investors enter the market when volumes are high; for high volumes are perceived to mean higher market interest and therefore higher prices.

 

The trouble starts when the market players who engage in circular trading decide to offload their holdings, sending the stock into a tailspin. Should retail investors get stuck with such stocks, the total money flow into the market will reduce. And that could be some cause for concern for the economy as a whole. The reason is that vibrant markets can propel economic growth, if they sustain for a long while. It is to prevent circular trading and, perhaps, its consequences that the stock exchange has shifted certain stocks to the trade-for-trade segment.

 

What is Trade-for-trade?

 

Under the trade-for-trade segment, every transaction is individually settled. Suppose a trader buys 1,000 shares of a stock for Rs 45 per share in the morning and sells the same quantity of shares in the afternoon for Rs 50 per share. Under the rolling settlement system, the broker is permitted to net the buy and sell transactions, and pay Rs 5 per share less brokerage to the trader.

 

In the trade-for-trade segment, the trader will have to pay Rs 45,000 to take delivery of the 1,000 shares bought, and will have to make delivery for the shares sold. Since each transaction is treated separately, scope for circular trading is restricted. The reason is that trader ramping up the stock price will have to pay the amount to take delivery of the shares bought. And that would entail large outlays.

 

The trade-for-trade segment appears a good measure to lower the systemic risk due to circular trading. The stock exchanges should, hence, actively consider shifting stocks to this segment rather than slapping special margins on the stocks considered speculative.

 

Now the BSE routinely raises the special margin on stocks based on some undisclosed criteria to deter speculative trading. But it is not effective in a vibrant market because retail investors enter in droves in stocks based on momentum; and such speculative stocks carry high momentum.

 

That said, shifting stocks to the trade-for-trade segment would help contain systemic risk better if the stock exchanges are more transparent in their criteria for choosing such stocks.

 

Transparency: At present, neither the BSE nor the NSE states the criteria for shifting a stock to the trade-for-trade segment. Defining the basis for such a shift would provide a perspective for traders and retail investors of the quality of trading in each stock.

 

Suppose the exchanges state that they consider stocks with delivery-to-traded quantity ratio of less than 10 per cent, and price change of more than 50 per cent in a week for shifting to the trade-for-trade segment.

 

Traders and investors will keep hawk-eye on stocks that fit such a criteria (such an information can be obtained from the NSE Web site). This will prevent retail investors from getting trapped in stocks that are victims of circular trading. Such transparency is important because stocks may decline in value after they are shifted to the trade-for-trade segment because of a likely drop in volumes.

 

In short, the BSE and the NSE should actively consider shifting stocks to the trade-for-trade segment as a measure to curb circular trading. Importantly, the exchanges should be transparent in their criteria for choosing such stocks.

 

 

http://www.traderji.com/trading-psychology...lation-pt1.html

 

MORE: George Chelekis - Essays On Stock Market Manipulation

The Smoking Gun

 

By: Theodore Butler, Posted 22 August, 2008

 

Cursul metalelor pretioase nu prea mai are legatura cu cererea si oferta...

 

For years, the data contained in the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COT), issued by the CFTC, have indicated that several large COMEX traders have manipulated the price of silver and gold. For an equal number of years, the CFTC has reluctantly responded to public pressure over this issue with blanket denials of any wrongdoing. Many analysts have agreed with the CFTC’s position, conjuring up various ways to explain why a massive short position held by a handful of traders is not manipulative.

 

The recent widespread shortage of silver for retail purchase coupled with a price collapse appears to have shaken these analysts’ confidence that the COMEX silver market is operating ‘fair and square.’ Well it should, since there is no rational explanation for a significant price decline going hand in hand with product shortages other than collusive manipulation.

 

For any remaining doubters that COMEX silver and gold pricing is manipulated, the following CFTC data should be considered. This data is taken from a monthly report issued by the CFTC, called the Bank Participation Report. Here’s the link for the report -

 

http://www.cftc.gov/marketreports/bankparticipation/index.htm The relevant data is found in the July and August futures sections. I will condense it.

 

http://silverseek.com/news/TedButler/2008/8-22tb.jpg

 

These facts speak for themselves. Here are the facts. As of July 1, 2008, two U.S. banks were short 6,199 contracts of COMEX silver (30,995,000 ounces). As of August 5, 2008, two U.S. banks were short 33,805 contracts of COMEX silver (169,025,000 ounces), an increase of more than five-fold. This is the largest such position by U.S. banks I can find in the data, ever. Between July 14 and August 15^th, the price of COMEX silver declined from a peak high of $19.55 (basis September) to a low of $12.22 for a decline of 38%.

 

For gold, 3 U.S. banks held a short position of 7,787 contracts (778,700 ounces) in July, and 3 U.S. banks held a short position of 86,398 contracts (8,639,800 ounces) in August, an eleven-fold increase and coinciding with a gold price decline of more than $150 per ounce. As was the case with silver, this is the largest short position ever by US banks in the data listed on the CFTC’s site. This was put on as one massive position just before the market collapsed in price.

 

This data suggests other questions should be answered by banking regulators, the CFTC, or by those analysts who still doubt this market is rigged. Is there a connection between 2 U.S. banks selling an additional 27,606 silver futures contracts (138 million ounces) in a month, followed shortly thereafter by a severe decline in the price of silver? That’s equal to 20% of annual world mine production or the entire COMEX warehouse stockpile, the second largest inventory in the world. How could the concentrated sale of such quantities in such a short time not influence the price?

 

Is there a connection between 3 U.S. banks selling an additional 78,611 gold futures contracts (7,861,100 ounces) in a month, followed shortly by a severe price decline in gold? That’s equal to 10% of annual world production and amounts to more than $7 billion worth of gold futures being sold by 3 U.S. banks in a month. How can this extraordinary concentrated trading size not be manipulative?

 

Because prices fell so sharply after the short sales were taken (with the appropriate dirty tricks as I have previously explained) holders of known physical silver in the world suffered a decline in value of more than $2.5 billion and long COMEX silver futures holders suffered a similar $2.5 billion decline in the value of their contracts. In gold, because the dollar value held is much greater than silver, investor losses were much greater, on the order of hundreds of billions of dollars on their physical holdings. Declines in the value of mining shares adds many billions more. Was this loss of value caused by the concentrated short selling of 2 or 3 U.S. banks?

 

What real legitimate business do 2 or 3 U.S. banks suddenly have for selling short such quantities of speculative instruments over a brief time period? Do we want banks to be engaging in this type of activity? If the manipulation was not successful, would U.S. taxpayers be called on to bail out yet another bank speculation gone bad?

 

Do the traders who lost money in the recent price collapse of silver have a reason to believe that their money is now in the pockets of these two or three U.S. banks? If so, do they have recourse?

 

The data in the Bank Participation report is clear and compelling. that it is hard to conclude anything but manipulation. It is beyond credulity to conclude other than two or three banks caused one of the most severe price collapses in precious metals history. The CFTC has a lot to answer for as the regulatory agency responsible for preventing this type of blatant manipulation.

Editat August 24, 200817 ani de tavi_star

multumesc de link!!! am gasit si alte lucruri interesante acolo.

We were about to piss $700 billion into a tornado and lose it forever.

 

Un super articol:

http://market-ticker.denninger.net

 

Inainte de votul din Camera Reprezentantilor, Federal Reserve tocmai aruncase in piata 630 de miliarde de dolari ... si degeaba ... bursele tot s-au prabusit.

"Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve will pump an additional $630 billion into the global financial system, flooding banks with cash to alleviate the worst banking crisis since the Great Depression.

 

The Fed increased its existing currency swaps with foreign central banks by $330 billion to $620 billion to make more dollars available worldwide. The Term Auction Facility, the Fed's emergency loan program, will expand by $300 billion to $450 billion. The European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan are among the participating authorities.

 

The Fed's expansion of liquidity, the biggest since credit markets seized up last year, came hours before the U.S. House of Representatives rejected a $700 billion bailout for the financial industry. The crisis is reverberating through the global economy, causing stocks to plunge and forcing European governments to rescue four banks over the past two days alone."

 

 

Now let's think about this folks.

 

The Fed threw $630 billion into the market before the vote, and yet the S&P 500 was down 40 handles anyway, and in fact tanked after the vote.

 

Note carefully - Paulson's plan was $700 billion, and Bernanke spent $630 billion - almost the entire amount proposed - but failed to fix the problem.

 

Got it?

 

Good.

 

Now do you see what I've been saying?

 

We were about to piss $700 billion into a tornado and lose it forever.

Editat Septembrie 30, 200817 ani de tavi_star

are cineva macar parti traduse din primele posturi despre manipularea pietei ?

thnx

am dat peste un topic interesant pe forexfactory.

nu l-am citit tot, dar intentionez s-o fac.

un exemplu luat la intimplare, ca sa va suscit interesul:

 

...the function of marketmaking is to provide liquidity. In most every market, theres always the bands of orders sitting looking at each other. namely the stops orders. They mostly congregate at the critical S/R bands, sitting there staring at each other. In not so many ways our job was to move the market around to match them. So we have to use our capital resources to move the markets around to fill them. The reward for that would be the spreads between these order. Of course there are other players , the limits orders which we try to fill if there are customer papers hitting beyond their OB prices. Sometimes , we get hit or taken, large, by institutions and have to distribute the risk amongs our peers to off load to other sectors to keep market at best equilibrium, these are the more risky operations to perform , cos normally these corps don't come alone, behind them, you find their squad of buddies.

 

So making marker isn't a bed of roses, sometimes we hit torns. There was one incident during my watch, where we tier 1's went crawling to the CB for bail out because the corps, wacking us was getting beyond our capacity, and we couldn't off load the positions anywhere. The CB 's impromtu intervention saved our a s s e s.

 

For us to make markets, there entails risk, so profits are our rewards, and we keep the rewards in the books to buffer any eventualities, if comes.

...

 

 

p.s. individul care zice asta mai are un topic. pentru cine nu stie si este interesat.

Editat Ianuarie 25, 200916 ani de Scrat

ARTA MORTALA A MANIPULĂRII PREŢULUI ACŢIUNILOR

 

 

By George Chelekis

 

(Am gasit traducerea postului #1 cu care a inceput topicul)

 

 

 

În fiecare profesie,probabil sunt o duzină sau două de reguli majore. Cunoscându-le la rece este ceea ce separă profesionistul de amator.A nu le şti pe toate? Ei bine, sa o punem astfel: Cat de sigur te-ai simţi dacă te-ai trezi brusc pilotind singur (solo) un Boeing 747 in timp ce se apropie de aterizare pe pistă? Dacă nu eşti un pilot profesionist, ai fi probabil speriat de moarte şi ai face pe tine. Păstrează in gand cele spuse anterior in timp de citeşti acest eseu, pentru că am să explic cum funcţionează manipulare pieţeii de capital.

 

 

Pentru a specula cu succes, trebuie să presupui următoarele: Pieţele mici de capital există in primul rând pentru a te escroca pe TINE! Ma refer la pieţele de capital din Vancouver, Alberta,Canadian Dealing Network şi US Over-the Counter Markets (Pink Sheets, Bulletin Board, etc.). Am putea de asemenea să ne intindem asupra mai multor acţiuni, pentru a include si pieţele mari de acţiuni din lume, inclusiv Toronto, New York, NASDAQ, Londra, etc. Ca investitor mediu sau jucător la bursă este foarte probabil să nu aveţi mult succes în pieţele mici de capital. Cred că este ceea ce m-a atras la aceste pieţe. Am tot încercat, de ceva timp, să răspund la această întrebare, "Cum?" Acum, ştiu. Şi ar trebui si voi de asemenea să ştiti!

 

De altfel, premisa acestei cărţi este una uniformă: "În timp ce aceste companii speculative,de fapt nu dau dividende,se poate profita din specularea lor." Aceasta este premisa după care aceste pieţe sunt facute să functioneze, atât de către promotorii de acţiuni, persoanele iniţiate, brokerii, analiştii şi alţii din această industrie. Asta este logica defectuoasă în care se presupune ca "altcineva" o să se ajungă să detină rufele murdare(n.t. actiunile). Urmaţi această premisă pana la capăt şi veti ajunge la urmatoarea concluzia nebuneasca : Pentru ca aceste pieţe sa functioneze, trebuie ca noi fraieri să intre pe piaţă în continuu. Concluzia este nebunească deoarece o astfel de activitate nebună poate avea doar o viaţă scurtă. Nu sunt de acord cu această idee de bază şi as propune o altă soluţie (a se vedea celălalt eseu al meu: A Modest Proposal). Ce ştiu şi înţeleg profesionişti şi reglementatorii de valori mobiliare , si noi,ceilalţi, NU, este asta.

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMĂRUL UNU: TOATE MIŞCĂRILE MARI DE PREŢ - CHIAR DACĂ SUNT ÎN SUS SAU ÎN JOS - SUNT REZULTATUL A UNUL SAU MAI MULŢI (DE OBICEI UN GRUP DE) PROFESIONIŞTI CARE MANIPULEAZĂ PREŢUL ACŢIUNII."

 

 

 

Aceasta ar trebui să explice de ce o companie minieră găseşte ceva bun si "nu se întâmplă nimic" sau preţul se duce în jos. În acelaşi timp, pentru niciun motiv aparent, o altă actiune creste brusc pana la ceruri! Pe volum mic! Cineva manipulează acea actiune, de cele mai multe ori pe baza unui zvon nefondat.

 

Pentru a face aceste manipulări să functioneze,profesionisti presupun: (a) publicul este prost şi (b) publicul va cumpăra în principal la cel mai înalt nivel de pret şi va vinde la minime. Prin urmare, manipulatorul actiunii poate fi de succes atâta timp cât el poate tine mulţimea sub control.

 

Să recunoaştem: Motivul pentru care speculaţi în astfel de pieţe este faptul că sunteţi lacomi şi optimişti. Tu crezi într-un viitor mai bun şi vrei sa faci bani rapid. Este acest sentiment care este exploatat de manipulatorul pieţei. El vă controlează lăcomia şi frica asupra unei anumite acţiuni. Dacă el vrea să cumperi,perspectivele companiei arată ca viitorul Microsoft. În cazul în care manipulatorul vrea să părăseşti vaporul care se scufunda(n.t. actiunea), el devine brusc foarte atent în observaţiile sale despre companie, nu este în preajmă pentru a răspunde zambind la întrebările despre companie şi/sau sunt emise ştiri foarte proaste despre companie. Ceea ce ne duce la următoarea regulă importantă.

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMĂRUL DOI: ÎN CAZUL ÎN CARE MANIPULATORUL VREA SĂ DISTRIBUIE (SCAPE DE) ACŢIUNILE SALE, EL VA ÎNCEPE O CAMPANIE DE ŞTIRI BUNE."

 

 

 

Te-ai întrebat vreodată de ce o companie este facută special să arate ca cel mai bun lucru de când s-a inventat pâinea feliată? Acest sentiment este fabricat.Scriitori de ştiri sunt angajaţi - fie sau nu in secret - pentru a fi majoretele unei companii.Firmele de relatii cu publicul sunt angajate şi lăsate libere asupra publicului care nu suspectează nimic. Contractele pentru a apărea in emisiuni de radio sunt semnate şi puse în aplicare. Brokerii primesc actiuni ieftine pentru a recomanda acţiunile companiei "clientilor" (Asta se refera la TINE, clientul brokerului). O campanie de publicitate este pornită (reclame TV, publicitate in ziare, cărţi poştale cu reclamă). Compania se inscrie sa apară la "conferinţe de investiţii" şi "emisiuni de top" (în principal, astfel încât să poată primi un pic de "timp la audienţă maximă" pentru a exagera asupra companiei şi a vă spune cum "compania lor este diferită" şi "nu e o promovare a acţiunilor.") Mesaje exagerate(reclame) sunt postate pe site-urile de ştiri de către aceeaşi suspecţi. Cu cat mai multe ,cu atat mai bine. Şi puţin "promoţie" poate merge departe spre a creste pretul acţiunilor.

 

Exagerarea a inceput. Cu cat este mai inteligent un promotor de acţiuni, cu atat cunoştinţele sale de a face publicitate la afaceri sunt mai bune. şmecherii ca "poziţionare" sunt utilizate. Exemplu: Face o companie complet necunoscuta sa arate calda şi atractivă pentru tine prin compararea cu poveşti de succes recente, Diamond Fields sau Bre-X Minerals(n.t. doua companii miniere). Aceasta este vrăjeala cu poziţionarea, realizata de Al Ries si Jack Trout(n.t. mai multe detalii aici http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positioning_(marketing)) (faimoşi pentru "AVIS: vrem sa fim # 1" sau "vom încerca mai mult" şi alte astfel de sloganuri). Aceşti executivi in publicitate / relaţii cu publicul trebuie să fi descoperit această formulă după ce au pierdut şi camaşa de pe ei speculind în câteva promoţii de acţiuni Canadiene! Singurul motiv pentru care ai fost invitat la acest banchet deşi pare incredibil este acela că tu eşti felul principal. După ce manipulatorul te-a fraierit sa intri în "investiţiile sale" schimbind hârtiile sale pentru banii tăi, zidurile încep sa se strânga in jurul TAU. De ce?

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMARUL TREI: IN MOMENTUL CÂND MANIPULATORUL A TERMINAT DISTRIBUIŢIA DE ACŢIUNI, EL VA ÎNCEPE O CAMPANIE FARA ŞTIRI SAU DE ŞTIRI PROASTE."

 

 

Acţiunile tale preferate au inceput să stagneze sau s-au retras puţin din maxime. Dintr-o data, este un VID de ştiri. Fie nu mai apar ştiri sau apar zvonuri rele. Am descoperit asta cu destul de multe acţiuni. De obicei curgeau informaţii şi "sfaturile la cald." Dintr-o data, conducta s-a oprit. Unele companii chiar au emis un comunicat de presă prin care ma CONDAMNAU ( "Noi nu avem nevoie de "exagerari" referindu-se la mine!). Draguţ, nu? Când compania a vrut exagerari fantastice sa circule încoace şi incolo, era cineva acolo pentru a ma hrani informaţii cu lingura. Cea de-a doua fază de distribuţie a fost TERMINATA ....ooops! Ne pare rău, gata cu ştirile, sau "Îmi pare rău. El nu e în birou.", sau " El nu va fi înapoi până luni."

 

Manipulatoarii grosolani contacteaza grupuri de ştiri de pe internet sau alti jurnalişti pentru a planta ştiri negative despre compania respectivă. Sau încep o campanie de propagandă cu zvonuri negative prin toate mijloacele de comunicare disponibile. Chiar şi prin angajarea unui "contrarian" sau "firmă de relaţii cu publicul specializată" cu scopul de a duce preţul în jos. Chiar şi prin angajarea cuiva care sa il atace pe tipul care a scris mai devreme ştirile bune despre companie. (Acesta nu este un joc pentru fricoşi!)

 

Vei vedea actiunea in cadere liberă. Chiar s-ar putea să te cuprindă o stare de neajutorare, ca şi cum ai pluti în spaţiu dezorientat. Astfel este exact cum manipulatorii vor să te simţi. Vezi Regula 5 de mai jos.El poate face de asemenea asta, pentru a evita dezamăgirea severă a unei "afaceri eşuate." Veţi auzi adesea refrenul"Asta e treaba cu companiile incepatoare in industria mineraliera ... foarte riscantă!" Sau des citatul statistician, "Nouă din 10 companii eşuează în fiecare an, asta este o Bursa de Valori pentru Stocuri Incepatoare..." Sa nu crezi că nu a fost planuit totul. Dacă un geolog la o companie minieră incepatoare nu este optimist în promisiunea de explorare cu succes, el va fi înlocuit cu cineva care este! Idem pentru afacerile high-tech, într-o lume plina de PhD's (Doctori).

 

Deci, de unde stii, atunci când esti păcălit? Uita-te din nou la Regula #1. În aceasta regulă, vei regasi alte câteva reguli care explică cum preţul acţiunii este manipulat.

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMĂRUL PATRU: ORICE STOC CARE SE TRANZACŢIONEAZA IN VOLUME IMENSE LA PREŢURI MARI SEMNALEAZA FAZA DE DISTRIBUŢIE."

 

 

 

Când volum a fost mai mic si preţul a fost mai mic. Profesioniştii acumulau. După ce preţul incepe să creasca si volumul creşte.Profesionişti au cumparat jos şi au vandut sus. Cumpăratorii amatori au cumparat sus(şi vor vinde în curând destul de jos). În cărţi mai vechi despre manipularea pieţei si promovarea acţiunilor, pe care le-am studiat recent,preţul umflat(markup) al acţiunii este de trei ori mai mare decât "baza"."Baza" este preţul de lansare al unei actiuni. De exemplu,dacă cineva se uita la preţul unei actiunii pe un grafic şi găseşte o linie dreapta de echilibru la aproximativ 10 cenţi, atunci aceasta este "baza".Practic, faza de umflare a preţului unei actiuni poate merge atat cat manipulatorul este capabil să o creasca.Din observaţiile mele, un preţ umflat bine ar trebuie să aibă posibilitatea de a se tranzactiona de la cinci pana la zece ori mai mult decât "baza", cu de şase pana la şapte ori fiind comune. Manipulatorul va face tot ce stă în puterea lui, pentru a te ţine deoparte de actiuni până cand preţul a fost umflat de cel puţin două-trei ori, uneori recurgind la "fluctuaţii mari" până după ce el a acumulat suficiente acţiuni. Odată ce a început marcarea, graficul va arăta unul sau mai multe varfuri la volume - toate la preţuri mult mai mari (marcate de manipulator, desigur). Asta este faza de distribuţiei şi nimic altceva.

 

Exemplu: Uite-te la Software Control Systems (Alberta:XVN), în care am achiziţionat acţiuni după ce pretul a fost umflat de cinci ori.

 

Au fost opt zile de 500000(plus) de acţiuni tranzactionate, cu o singură zi de tranzacţionare a 750000 de actiuni. Manipulatorii au inceput distributia pe volume mari, la preţuri mari. Ori de câte ori vezi volume imense dupa ce preţul a crescut intr-un unghi de 75 grade, a inceput faza de distribuţie şi sunteţi pasibil de a cumpara -- la sau aproape de vârful preţului.

 

Exemplu: Uite-te la Diamond Fields (TSE FR), care niciodată nu a crescut intr-un un unghi de 75 grade şi nu au avut tulburări de volum, in mai puţin de doi ani a crescut de la C$4(4 dolari canadieni)/actiune la C$160/actiune.

 

Exemplu: Uite-te la Bre-X Minerals (Alberta:BXM), care nu a experimentat primul său unghi de 75 grade, pe volume mari până în iulie 14, 1995.In următoarele două zile de tranzactionare BXM a a scazut şi a rămas în jurul la C$2/actiune pentru două săptămâni. Volumul a fost cu 60% mai mare decat acum o lună , cu doar o uşoară creştere de preţ. Fiecare volum mare şi creştere spectaculoasă a pretului BXM a fost cu o retragere de preţ şi apoi stabilizare. "Dintr-o data," BXM nu a mai fost tranzactionata la C$2/actiune; ci a fost la C$170/actiune .... creştere de 8500% în mai puţin de un an!

 

În ambele cazuri de mai sus,la un momentdat sau altu, principalele ziare canadiane au facut campanii cu articole extrem de negative despre ambele companii. În fiecare caz, chiar înainte de o alta creştere de pret, investitorii au ieşit de pe acţiune!Chiar inainte de începutul unei noi creşteri la ambele companii! Speculatorii de succes pe termen scurt ies în general de pe orice stoc cand volumul incepe sa creasca; amatorii se lacomesc şi cumpara la aceste preturi.

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMĂRUL CINCI: MANIPULATORII VOR ÎNCERCA ÎNTOTDEAUNA SĂ TE FACĂ SĂ CUMPERI LA CEL MAI MARE PREŢ POSIBIL, ŞI SA VINZI LA CEL MAI MIC PREŢ POSIBIL."

 

 

 

Manipulatorul va folosi toate mijloacele disponibile pentru a te invita la "petrecere", şi la fel dupa ce te-a jecmănit, va folosi cele mai crude şi brutale mijloace pentru a te face sa ieşi de pe "actiunile sale". Prima presupunere falsa ar fi ca promotorul acţiunii vrea sa devii investitor în compania sa. Aşa începe un şir de minciuni care ţin atât timp cât stomacul tău poate să reziste.

 

Vei avea primul indiciu că "ai fost facut" în cazul în care preţul acţiunii stagnează la maxime. Cumva, a ramas fara vlaga şi nu eşti sigur de ce. Ei bine, a rămas fără vlagă, pentru că manipulatorul s-a oprit.Acţiunea este supraevaluată şi nu mai poate convinge lumea sa cumpere. Volumul scade in timp ce preţul acţiunii stagnează. UITA-TE LA VOLUMUL DE TRANZACŢIONARE, NU LA PREŢUL ACŢIUNII! Când mai devreme, este posibil să fi fost 500000 de actiuni tranzacţionare în fiecare zi timp de 8 zile din 12 (ca şi în cazul Software Control Systems), acum volumul a scazut la cca. 100000 acţiuni pe zi. Mai există unii cumpărători acolo, destul ca manipulatorul sa continue distribuţia acţiunilor, dar numai atât timp cât el poate angaja una sau mai multe persoane/servicii sa il mai promoveze.

 

El poate continua hrănirea promotorilor cu o serie de "promisiuni" şi "urmeza veşti bune" (Crede-mă, asta mi s-a întâmplat şi mie!). Dar când ştirile sosesc in sfarşit, preţul acţiunii se duce in cap! Aceasta este orchestrată în întregime de manipulator. O veţi vedea în volum de tranzacţionare, care in mare parte este manipulat. Un manipulator va avea diferiti brokeri cumpărind şi vânzind acţiuni pentru a da IMPRESIA ca volumul şi preţul cresc, astfel încât tu să intri la cumparare cu gandul ca va mai creşte.

 

La un moment dat în timpul etapei de stagnare, investitorii se satura de non-performanţa acţiunii. Acţiunea aluneca pentru un timp, într-o tendinţă stabilă de descreştere, probabil, cu un scurt vârf în preţ şi volum (semnul final că manipulatorul a descărcat în sfarşit, TOATE hârtiile lui). Apoi, acţiunea scade puternic - pierzind toata aprecierea de mai devreme.Uneori, manipulatoarii mai sadici,vor arunca un pic de speranţă falsă... oferindu-vă inca un pic de frânghie, astfel încât să va poată spanzura mai bine.Doar după o scădere majora,va fi un anunţ de cumparare pe minime care va ridica puţin preţul acţunii pe volum mare,dupa care va mai creşte inca puţin si apoi va continua să scadă in deriva.Intre timp vei fi "indepartat" folosind tortura cu picatura chinezeasca prin care preţul actiunii scade lent. Din nou, fiecare mişcare este complet orchestrată.

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMĂRUL ŞASE: DACĂ ACEASTA ESTE O ADEVĂRATĂ AFACERE, ATUNCI CEL MAI PROBABIL VEI FI ULTIMA PERSOANĂ CARE VA AFLA SAU VE FI SCOS DIN PIAŢA LA PREŢURI MICI."

 

 

 

După cum a scris Jesse Livermore "Dacă există bani uşor de facut in jur, nimeni nu o sa ţii bage in buzunar." Acelasi concept poate fi mai clar înţeles urmarind caseta.Cand un manipulator vrea sa ii cumperi acţiunile, vei auzi "zgomotele" puternice ale promovatorilor de acţiuni şi exagerări. Dacă esti "prins in joc", vi fi bombardat din multe direcţii. În mod similar, dacă vrea să vinzi o acţiune, vor fi orchestrate zvonuri care sa circule, trimise catre tine din nou din mai multe direcţii. Cum ştirile bune vin in valuri, la fel vin si ştirile proaste.

 

Vei vedea dovada prin scăderi "masive" a preţului pe volume "imense". Asta eşti tu şi prietenii tăi fugind catre ieşiri. Dacă afacerea este pe bune, manipulatorul vrea sa puna mana pe TOATE ACŢIUNILE TALE sau cat mai multe cu putinţa ... şi la cel mai mic preţ posibil.Chiar dacă înainte te voia in piaţa LUI, pentru a-ţi distribui acţiunile la un preţ cat mai mare, ACUM, când vede că această afacere este buna, vrea să plătească cât mai puţin posibil pe acţiuni ...Pe acţiunile TALE de care vrea să te despartă, cât mai repede posibil.

 

Manipulatorul te va indeparta scăzind preţul acţiunilor cat mai mult posibil. Ca în faza de "acumulare" , vrea sa păstreze cat mai multa linişte pentru a acumula cat mai multe acţiuni pentru sine, va scadea sau chiar va opri de tot volumul sa poata repeta faza de acumulare.

 

In afacerea miniera, se pare că va fi mereu un alt "loc de joaca" chiar după colţ. Dupa ce Voisey's Bay a scazut enorm,în timpul celui de-al patrulea trimestru din 1995 şi inceputul lui 1996, aceiasi "amatori" Voisey Bay au început sa gaseasca afaceri in Indonezia. Unii s-au folosit chiar de noi entităţi corporative. Aceeasi Marie cu alta palarie. Faza de acumulare a fost STRICT SECRETA. Nivelul de zgomot a fost extrem de silenţios. În momentul în care cei din interior şi-au facut plinul de acţiuni, te-au informat si pe TINE despre SECRET.

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMĂRUL ŞAPTE: INVERS, DE CELE MAI DESE ORI CÂND AFACEREA INCEPE SA MEARGA PROST VEI FI PRINTRE ULTIMII CARE VA AFLA."

 

 

 

Ulterior iţi va arăta că a fost o "mica poticnire" în preţul actiunilor, in timp ce "expertizele au fost întârziată" sau "respectiva afacerea nu a mers". Manipulatorii işi pregatesc hârtiile(n.t. acţiunile) pentru a INCEPE scaderea. Şi a o accelera. Scaderea rapidă a preţului face foarte puţin probabil ca să poti ieşi de pe actiuni la un pret mai mare decat ai platit iniţial... şi vă oferă un motiv bun pentru a le mai ţine "un pic mai mult" in caz că preţul işi va reveni. Apoi, etapa de scaderi începe şi frica pune stapanire. Şi dacă nu ai nervi de oţel şi iţi poţi permite să il aştepti pe manipulator sa işi facă jocul, mai mult decât sigur vei vinde la un preţ foarte ieftin.

 

Persoanele iniţiate, marketmakerii sau underwriterii sunt obligaţi să cumpere înapoi toate hârtiile(n.t. acţiunile) TALE, pentru a menţine compania în viaţă şi controlul asupra acesteia. Cu cat trebuie să plătească mai puţin pentru hârtiile(n.t.acţiunile) tale, cu atât mai mic va fi costul lui de a începe promovare acţiunilor din nou ... la o data viitoare. Chiar dacă compania sa nu are perspective DELOC, "bucata" sa de companie are ceva valoare (numai prin faptul că alţii ar putea să utilizeze structura creata, pentru a rula propriile lor promovări de actiuni). Deci, manipulatorul VA cumpara inapoi hartiile(n.t. acţiunile). El vrea să fie sigur ca plăteşte cat mai puţin posibil pentru acele acţiuni.

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMĂRUL OPT: MANIPULATORUL TE VA ATRAGE IN PIAŢA , ASTFEL ÎNCÂT SA II CREŞTI PREŢUL ACŢIUNILOR."

 

 

 

Plasarea unui ordin la preţ de piaţă sau ordin in pre-deschidere este o greşeala de incepator,tipizind investitorul din SUA - unul care presupune că acţiunile tranzacţionate pe volume mici sunt la fel cu blue chip stocks, cu care sunt obisnuiţi.Un manipulator (şi speculanţii sunt inclusi aici) poate ridica preţul din piaţă în timpul in care aţi plasat ordinul la preţ de piaţă pentru a vă servi, la un nivel ridicol de mare. Manipulatorul va folosi aceasta "metodă" împotriva ta. El işi va cumpara propriile hartii(n.t.acţiunile),pentru a te face sa cumperi la un preţ cat mai mare. El se va baga in faţă ta cumparind toate actiunile de la nivelul curent de preţ şi te va forţa sa plateşti MAI MULT pentru aceleaşi acţiuni. El se va juca cu tine şi te va FACE sa cumperi din ce in ce mai scump, astfel încât "să nu ratezi intrarea." Sa nu ratezi ce? Sa te alegi cu capul taiat, asta ratezi!

 

Se poate evita manipularea prin a nu cumpăra in perioadele in care preţul actiunilor crestere foarte mult şi volumele de tranzacţionare sunt anormale.Această metodă este cunoscută ca şi fuga dupa acţiuni la preţuri din ce in ce mai mari.

 

 

 

 

 

"REGULA NUMĂRUL NOUĂ: MANIPULATORUL ESTE CONŞTIENT DE EMOŢIILE CU CARE TE CONFRUNŢI ÎN TIMPUL UNEI CREŞTERI RAPIDE SAU SCADERI RAPIDE A PREŢULUI ŞI SE VA JUCA CU SENTIMENTELE TALE CA LA UN PIAN."

 

 

 

În timpul creşterei rapide a preţurilor, vi avea o sclipire de lăcomie care te va obliga să intri la cumpărare. În timpul scaderii abrupte a preţului, vei avea o teama ca poţi pierde totul ... deci te vei grăbi sa vinzi. Vezi cât de simplu este si cat de clar suna un clopotel?Sa nu crezi că această formulă nu este intipărită in mintea fiecarui manipulator. Manipulatorul te va juca si pe creşteri de preţuri si pe scaderi. Dacă el o face foarte bine,te va face să crezi ca altcineva e de vina că ţi-ai pierdut banii! Promisiuni de a-ţi umple portofelul? Te vei grabi sa cumperi. Te sperie ca iţi vei pierde fiecare banuţ investit in acea acţiune? Vei fugi ţipind de groază! Şi vei jura ca NICIODATA nu vei mai specula pe astfel de acţiuni. Dar mulţi dintre voi inca o fac .... Manipulatorul ştie chiar si cum să te atraga înapoi pentru încă un joc.

 

 

 

 

 

"REGULA FINALĂ: UN LOT NOU DE FRAIERI SE NAŞTE CU FIECARE JOC NOU."

 

 

 

Pieţele financiare sunt Terenuri de Joacă,Crude, Nemiloase şi Periculoase, un loc unde în general incepatorii sunt jecmăniţi in modul cel mai brutal .... de obicei, de către cei care ştiu regulile de mai sus.

 

Cum eu am datoria de a ma asigura că fiecare dintre voi inţelege cum este jucat acest joc, acum este de datoria TA sa ii faci pe colegii speculatori să inţeleagă aceste reguli.Cum aş fi un criminal,daca nu as face cunoscute aceste date, la fel de criminal ar fi să le păstraţi secrete.Intotdeanuna va fi un naiv pe care câinele turbat il va rupe în bucăţi, dar NU trebuie să fie în acest mod.

 

Dacă fiecare abonat ar face acest eseu cunoscut la prieteni, cunoştinţe şi familie, si aceştia la randul lor ar da mai departe la prietenii lor,cu siguranţă ar putea să ii oprească pe mulţi din aceşti maipulatori. Dacă acest efort ar fi facut de mai mulţi, atunci poate că pieţele financiare ar putea stârpi aceşti hoţi de manipulatori şi promotori şi ne-ar putea aduce mai multe jocuri legitime.

 

Bursele de valori sunt un instrument de finanţare.Companii IMPRUMUTA bani de la tine, atunci când investeşti sau speculezi.Ei vor ca preţul la actiuni să crească astfel incat sa işi poata finanţa afacerea cu o diluare cat mai mică a acţiunilor... dacă sunt baieţi buni. Dar ce ai simţi despre un prieten sau un membru din familie care împrumută bani de la tine şi nu ii mai restituie? Asta ar fi furt, pur si simplu. Deci, un manipulator iţi FURĂ banii. Nu-l lăsati să o mai faca. Insistă asupra companiei, în care vrei să investeşti să fie sinceră si directă ... sau caută o altă companie în care să speculezi. Banii tai vorbesc în volume mult mai mari decât orice sistem ce promoveaza acţiuni. Întotdeauna refuză orice afacere ce miroase urat.

 

Refuză să tolerezi răspânditorii de escrocherii de pe pieţele financiare. Aceasta poate fi realizată doar prin cunoaşterea şi utilizarea regulilor de mai sus. Verificaţi complet o societate înainte de risca vreun ban pe ea.Căutaţi raportările persoanelor iniţiate pentru a afla cine işi vine hârtiile(n.t. actiunile), cât de des işi vand hârtiile(n.t. actiunile) şi ce s-a întâmplat in "ultimul joc."

 

Începeti să utilizaţi aceasta ca pe o regula empirica: În cazul în care hârtia(n.t. actiunea) companiei este cu adevărat lipsită de valoare, atunci evit-o. Găsiţi o alta companiei a căror actiuni AU promisiuni şi posibilităţi oneste. În aceste pieţele de capital mici, investeşti mai mult in INDIVIDUL din spatele jocului, decât in "posibilitatea" de a juca în sine. Intreaba-te înainte de a specula: Aş putea împrumuta acestei persoane 5000$ pentru un an şi sa sper sa ii primesc inapoi? Dacă nu, atunci nu o fă! Fă-o pentru binele tău şi spre binele oricui este atât de naiv să speculeze în aceste pieţe financiare!

 

Condiţia cu adevărat sănătoasă şi oarecum sigură la toate acestea: GASEŞTE COMPANII BUNE IN CARE SA SPECULEZI ŞI CUMPARA CAND SUNT LA MINIME. Orice altceva este criminal sau prostie. Acesta este un caz unde nu există o zona gri. E ori Negru ori Alb. Compania şi conducerea ei sunt ori hoţi ori au intenţia de a aduce valoare acţionarilor săi.

Editat Martie 18, 200916 ani de tavi_star

uite de aia avem acces foarte greu sau deloc la volumele reale de tranzactionare. pentru ca ele sunt singurele care indica ce se petrece in spatele pretului.

un post foarte bun!!!

eurusd: 220 pipsi in 3 secunde. Oare pica America?

Nu m-am enervat de mult timp in halul asta... Sa fiu pe + vreo 200 de pips de dimineata (cu stoploss la vreo 350) si inca vreo 100 pe plus pe la 8 si sa vad miscari de genul asta... Tocmai cand am zis ca nu ma mai uit la stiri ca tranzactionez prost din cauza lor

Scuzati off-topicul.

eurusd: 220 pipsi in 3 secunde. Oare pica America?

va bagatzi short pana la 13300?