Barbones

Google e rege. Si eu tot pe google am invatat. Succes

15 25 pe an? Orice fond ti-ar da bani grei sa lucrezi pentru ei

BEN e dupa colt. Totul e mai complicat ca acum 5 minute. Probabil ca ne pregatim de o noua masiva cadere a Dolarului in fata AUD, NZD, Jen(probabil) Euro, Lira si CAD. Nu m-as mira sa vin din concediu in Septembrie si Euro sa fie la 1.5 Si uite cum in 5 minute, din ce parea un sell off la 1.41 trecem la 1.4399 target. Sansele ca QE3 sa apara au crescut considerabil.

4250 a picat. 4120 next daca Panda nu-si baga labuta ps. Si totusi, Grecia ia banii in Septembrie.

nice

daca nu semneaza, CRIZA din 2007 2008 a fost un bob de nisip fata de ce urmeaza. Bate-te peste gura, pacatosule!

Nu stiu cand se va semna si daca se va semna acordul intre republicani si democrati dar in secunda semnarii, daca se semneaza, prevad o nebunie pe buy la actiuni. La dolar e mai complicat caci s ar putea sa fie in ambele directii, unii marcheaza profit ce au vandut si altii intra pe risk on. Mai e si final de luna dar chiar si asa nivelele sunt bune de speculat short Dolar.

alta exemplu Emerging Market Currencies Brace for Correction “It was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair,” begins Charles Dickens’ The Tale of Two Cities. In 2011, the winter of despair was followed by the spring of uncertainty. Due to the earthquake/tsunami in Japan, the continued tribulations of Greece, rising commodity prices, and growing concern over the global economic recovery, volatility in the forex markets has risen, and investors are unclear as to how to proceed. For now at least, they are responding by dumping emerging market currencies. http://www.forexblog.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/Emerging-Market-Currencies-vs-[acronym="Dolar american' class='bbc ipSeoAcronym"]USD[/acronym]-2011.jpg As you can see from the chart above (which shows a cross-section of emerging market forex), most currencies peaked in the beginning of May and have since sold-off significantly. If not for the rally that started off the year, all emerging market currencies would probably be down for the year-to-date, and in fact many of them are anyway. Still, the returns for even the top performers are much less spectacular than in 2009 and 2010. Similarly, the MSCI Emerging Markets Stock Index is down 3.5% in the YTD, and the JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI+) has risen 4.5% (which is reflects declining growth forecasts as much as perceptions of increasing creditworthiness). There are a couple of factors that are driving this ebbing of sentiment. First of all, risk appetite is waning. Over the last couple months, every flareup in the eurozone debt crisis coincided with a sell-off in emerging markets. According to the Wall Street Journal, “Central and eastern European currencies that are seen as being most vulnerable to financial turmoil in the euro zone have underperformed.” Economies further afield, such as Turkey and Russia, have also experienced weakness in their respective currencies. Some analysts believe that because emerging economies are generally more fiscally sound than their fundamental counterparts, that they are inherently less risky. Unfortunately, while this proposition makes theoretical sense, you can be assured that a default by a member of the eurozone will trigger a mass exodus into safe havens – NOT into emerging markets. http://www.forexblog.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/World-Inflation-Chart-2011.jpg While emerging market Asia and South America is somewhat insulated from eurozone fiscal problems. On the other hand, they remain vulnerable to an economic slowdown in China and to rising inflation. Emerging market central banks have avoided making significant interest rate hikes (hence, rising bond prices) – for fear of inviting further capital inflow and stoking currency appreciation – and the result has been rising price inflation. You can see from the chart above that the darkest areas (symbolizing higher inflation) are all located in emerging economic regions. While high inflation is not inherently problematic, it is not difficult to conceive of a downward spiral into hyperinflation. Again, a sudden bout of monetary instability would send investors rushing to the exits. http://www.forexblog.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/[acronym="Piata valutara internationala (Foreign Exchange)' class='bbc ipSeoAcronym"]Forex[/acronym]-Volume-Summer-Slowdown.jpg While most analysts (myself included) remain bullish on emerging markets over the long-term, many are laying off in the short-term. “RBC emerging market strategistNick Chamie says his team has recommended ‘defensive posturing’ to clients since May 5 and isn’t recommending new bullish emerging currency bets right now….HSBC said Thursday that it isn’t recommending outright short positions on emerging market currencies to clients but suggested a more ‘cautious’ and selective approach in making currency bets.” This phenomenon will be exacerbated by the fact that market activity typically slows down in the summer chart above courtesy of Forex Magnates) as traders go on vacation. With less liquidity and an inability to constantly monitor one’s portfolio, traders will be loathe to take on risky positions. http://images.socialtwist.com/2009021910542/button.png

Paralelele tale cu legume nu prea le inteleg, dar ... ma rog, piata forex e un pic mai complexa, chiar mai complexa decat cea de actiuni. Nu-ti recomand sa faci forex la piata caci s-ar putea sa ramai cu rosii stricate in final. Lasand gluma la o parte, da si tu sarci pe goagal la - safe haven currencies . Nu se numeste Euro/USD pentru ca prima e risc si a doua e altfel, tot pe google ai sa gasesti pe wiki explicatii complete si modul cum au fost denumite si cand. Faptul ca esti de 4 ani in domeniu si nu ai aflat pana acum ce am spus mai sus nu prea e bine, dar e bine ca te intereseaza. Cred ca e mai avantajos, sau mai profitabil sa gandesti ca un pro sau ca Big Boys. Eu caut constant sa aflu cum gandesc cei ce misca piata. Chartul tau si al meu, paternurile de tot felul sa sti ca le vad toti din piata, mai greu este sa sti daca acel patern care l-ai folosit pana acum ca sa faci profit va merge si de data asta pentru ca "baietii" se uita la ele dar daca ceva exceptional se intampla acel patern se sterge cu buretele iar interesul economic primeaza. Cand am zis de CAD am dat un exemplu ce se intalneste des in randul traderilor retail, nu spun ca tu nu stiai. PS. uite un articol care te mai lamureste si ma face mai credibil . Safe Haven Currencies By Sienna Jane Miller What is a safe haven currency? A safe haven currency is a currency that is considered to be safe during geopolitical and economic turmoil. Consequently, when events like natural disasters, war and stock market crashes occur, currency traders invest in safe havens, causing the value of the safe haven currency to rise and the value of currencies paired with it to fall, even though the events may not have had an obvious impact on the currency in question. What makes a safe haven currency? Due to the popularity of the carry trade, interest rate differentials have often been associated with safe-haven status. However, this trend isn't consistent across the market, as it only seems to be a factor when trading the currencies of advanced countries as opposed to emerging countries. This implies that the liquidity of the currency being traded is a driver of safe-haven status, as major currency pairs have greater liquidity than exotic currency pairs. Also, when global risk aversion is high, liquidity in some markets may dry up, causing traders to invest in highly liquid currencies. In turn, this gives the most liquid currencies an extra boost. For a country to be considered safe and low risk, it should be isolated from global events in case there is a crisis, and it should have good fundamentals, like economic management and strong industry. In theory, the currencies of such countries could be seen as safe haven currencies. In practice, it is increasingly difficult to achieve isolation in an increasingly globalised world. So factors like the size of a country's stock market, which indicates its financial development and market size, now seem to outweigh the external vulnerability associated with its net foreign asset position. Which currencies are considered to be safe havens? The USD, CHF and JPY are all referred to as safe haven currencies. However, due to the carry trade the fact that the Japanese Yen rises in times of global turmoil is more likely to be a reversal of investors' carry trades (which usually go long on a currency with a high interest rate against currencies with low interest rates, like the yen) rather than an intentional investment in the currency. The CHF is considered to be a safe-haven currency for a number of reasons: 1. Liquidity - the Swiss Franc is a very liquid currency and is paired with the USD 2. Switzerland has a highly competitive business environment, along with low corporate tax, a transparent economy and a history of good economic management. 3. Switzerland is traditionally neutral, so it is viewed as less likely to be affected by political turmoil in Europe than the euro. 4. The Swiss National Bank keeps a large part of its reserves in gold, causing the CHF to appreciate with the price of gold. Although the CHF briefly fell from grace in the global financial crisis due to its exposure to the banking sector, it has since regained its footing as a safe haven currency, and has attracted investors as several members of the eurozone struggle. Why is the USD a safe haven currency? If we look at the factors that contribute to a currency being a safe haven, the US and the dollar don't measure up. The US is not isolated from global events, having major trading partners across North and Central America, Asia and Europe. The US has not fully recovered from the financial crisis, with unemployment still around 10% and growth having slowed again for the three quarters to June 2011. So why aren't currencies like the AUD and CAD - both from countries that didn't suffer a banking crisis or a recession, and both of which have strong economies and lower unemployment rates than the US - considered to be safe haven currencies? The AUD, CAD and NZD are all commodity currencies, meaning that, as commodity exports contribute a large about to their GDP, they usually benefit from strong commodity prices. Strong commodity prices are encouraged by a global economy, meaning that when the global economy might be in danger, these currencies fall in value as investors turn to safe havens. Which brings us back to the question - why is the USD a safe haven currency? The main reasons for this are the size of the US economy, including the widespread use of the USD globally, the belief in the USD as a safe-haven currency, and the liquidity of the USD. The majority of fx trades involve the US dollar - the major currency pairs are all paired with the USD, and formulas to figure out exchange rates between crosses (currency pairs that don't contain the USD) use the USD exchange rate. As liquidity is how short-term currency traders make their profits, there are constantly many long and short trades taking place on the USD. In a risk adverse environment, we have already said that liquidity in some markets dries up. This causes more traders to invest in the most liquid currencies, of which the USD is at the top of the heap. As the USD has been considered to be the world's top safe-haven currency for years, there is a prevailing sentiment in the market that the USD is safe, regardless of what the current economic data might show. This is one of the reasons why the USD strengthened in 2008 despite the financial crisis - it was still seen to be safer than other markets. The main reason that the USD is considered to be a safe haven currency is that the USD is "too big to fail". Currently there are more US dollars in circulation around the world than any other currency, with two-thirds of the rest of the world's foreign reserves denominated in US dollars. If the USD falls by too much, it will have ramifications across global markets. The dominance of the USD, and the dominance of the US in world trade, means that other central banks won't allow the dollar to fail. Check out my blog Talking Forex - a beginner's guide to forex to learn more about safe haven currencies. Also, the site of my preferred forexprovider has a lot of good information on forex and forex trading, including examples and FAQs. I am not a financial adviser, and the information in this blog is just intended to inform and not advise. Please remember that forex is a leveraged product, so it's possible to lose more than your original investment. Forex trading might not suit everyone, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved with this type of trading. Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Sienna_Jane_Miller si direct de pe Wiki http://en.wikipedia....i/Hard_currency

@dani Nu pot sa spun decat ca forexul privit pur tehnic este mai usor de privit, dar daca vrei in schimb sa afli de ce se misca pretul in anumite momente si de ce anumite valute au o importanta diferita este nevoie de putin studiu, nu mult. RON nu este o valuta de siguranta, este o valuta (privita din perspectiva speculatorului) ca moneda de risc . Francul este azi considerata printre cele mai sigure. Cei care au cu ce si stiu sa profite de pe urma tendintelor economice inclusiv din previziunea viitoarelor diferente de curs, in perioada asta pariaza pentru profit pe valutele tarilor cu crestere economica. In momentul in care economiile vor incepe sa scartaie isi vor transfera banii pe acele monede asa zis Safe Heaven. Euro, Leul sau Leva nu sunt Safe Heaven. Dolarul inca mai este, Francul, Jen ul iar AUD ul - care in afara de o dobanda mare, are si o economie bazata in mare masura pe export de materii prime ce azi sunt primele cotate la cumparare intr-un raport general, valute, actiuni sau materii prime si NZD ul care are proximativ aceleasi calitati ca si AUD ul . Daca vrei sa sti mai multe nu pot decat sa ma bucur ca vrei sa inveti. Apropo de modul de scriere al perechilor . Am intalnit oameni cu vechime in tranzactionare care nu stiau sa citeasca o pereche pentru ca, pentru ei conta desenul de pe chart si mai putin ce tranzactioneaza, Un exemplu clar l-am avut atunci cand vorbeam de perechea USD/CAD. Cineva spunea ca perechea va cadea caci economia Canadei scartaie ceea ce era un non sens. Cad ul se intarea iar pe chart arata ca slabire pentru ca acea persoana nu stia ca valutele se citesc asa cum sunt scrise - prima vs a doua. Cand vinzi o pereche defapt vinzi prima valuta pentru a o cumpara pe a doua. Actiunea de a vinde CAD se face prin a cumpara USD contra vanzare CAD deci actiune in piata BUY - USD/CAD ca sa vinzi CAD.

Sell ul pe orice piata, actiuni sau forex este tot Sell. Euro/USD nu degeaba e scris asa si nu invers. Vorbim de o moneda cu risc vs una de siguranta. Orice contine risc se va vinde rapid in caz de ceva, pe o moneda de siguranta. Ceea ce as putea eu sa continui sa explic contine multa informatie si-mi va lua timp. Pe scurt, sell ul este frica si buy ul e speranta. Piata e sentiment si nu matematica chiar daca profitul azi se face matematic. Cei cae fac HFT au inteles asta si cauta sa prinda fractiuni de pip si nu zeci de pips tocmai pentru a scapa de problema fundamentului care creaza sentimentul.

in ziua aia eram pe casti cu mai multi. Unul din ei pur si simplu a facut atac de panica. De atunci n am mai auzit de el. Era un trader de Sell ca marea majoritate ce a observat ca selul e mai rapid si ca cei care cred in cel de al 3 lea razboi mondial . Defapt, majoritari sunt cei ce asteapta Sell ul . Foarte interesant. Sunt chiar traderi specializati pe sell. Rapid si Curat ai putea spune doar ca unii chiar fac jocurile pentru a fi Sell Off, si nu ma refer la flash crash ci la cei care se asociaza sa dea cu piata de pamant chiar daca nu e cazul pentru ca stiu ce panica creaza si ce tavalul atrage.

August orice ar fi nu mai intru , Dupa NFP ul din Septembrie e de joaca, deocamdata la sala cu mine. Euro termina pozitiv luna. Cand s-or intoarce si Trichet si Ben din concedii avem treaba nu gluma. Euro dupa o corectie pe Sept are sanse la 1,6 dupa cum vad economia SUA azi, si nu are nicio legatura cu "incapacitatea de plata". In SUA a inceput campania. Cine stie sa scrie coduri are un musteriu gras pentru mt4. Astept provincia.

a iesit oficiala si mai mult, Trichet o da la deal

In sfarsit avem o rezolutie pe Grecia si nu numai - inca neoficiala- dar sanse mici sa nu fie asa cum se spune. Miscarea Euro a fost mai mult decat previzibila: Mai rar asa zi. The euro zone bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), will provide loans to Greece, Ireland and Portugal at a lower interest rate and for longer maturities, according to draft summit conclusions seen by Reuters on Thursday. http://media.cnbc.com/i/CNBC/Sections/News_And_Analysis/__Story_Inserts/graphics/__CURRENCY/GLOBAL_CURRENCIES/euros_bills_1_200.jpgAPThe document detailed plans to extend the maturity of bailout loans, expand the bailout fund’s mandate, stimulate growth in the Greek economy and include private-sector participation. Loans from the EFSF will be extended from 7.5 years to at least 15 years and the interest rate will be lowered from around 4.5 percent currently—in the case of Greece and Portugal—to around 3.5 percent, the draft document said. “We will provide EFSF loans at lending rates equivalent to those of the balance of payments facility (currently approx 3.5 percent) without going below the EFSF funding cost,” according to the draft. “This will be accompanied by a mechanism which ensures appropriate incentives to implement the program, including through collateral arrangements where appropriate,” a nod to Finland’s demand for collateral against new loans. The EFSF will also be allowed to provide precautionary credit lines to countries in the euro area, including those that are not under EU/International Monetary Fund bailout programs, the draft said. It added that talks with the private sector on shouldering some of the burden of a second bailout package for Greece continue, with all options still on the table. “The financial sector has indicated its willingness to support Greece on a voluntary basis through a menu of options (bond exchange, rollover, and buyback) at lending conditions comparable to public support with credit enhancement,” it said.

Extension of EFSF loans from 7.5 years to 15 yearsInterest rate lowered to 3.5% on new loans to GreeceEFSF will be able to intervene on a precautionary basisESFS will be able to buy bonds on secondary marketCalls for Marshall Plan of investment, growth stimulation for Greek economy 50 pips in 3 min

fxdd

am inchis la 4250 azinoapte ambele. 'Franco-German' plan will now be formally presented to Van Rompuy, who will in turn present it to Eurozone officials. They will use the plan to help draft a formal Greek bailout deal proposal, which Eurozone leaders will then approve later in the day at a meeting scheduled to begin at 1100GMT. dupa anunt mai vad.

multam, acolo a fost si 61 fib ultima reduta de buy inainte de db. Piramida am pus-o la noroc pe final de Londra acu D zeu cu mila ca e mica distanta. Se tot muta sedinta hotaratoare si am zis ca daca apare vreo vorbulita de speranta sa ma prinda cu 2 daca nu BE si la revedere. Oricum ar trebui sa se termine pana Vineri cu Grecia si sa vedem ceva miscare ori la deal ori la vale. Nimeni nu stie, eu doar SPER sa nu fie de vale caci atunci si la noi in Romanica e de jale.

Question: Whose fault do you think it is mainly that the euro area is in a debt crisis? Some experts say that Germany is also responsible for the crisis, since it lent money to Greece and other indebted countries recklessly in order to make them buy German goods. Do you agree? Trichet: The sovereign risk tensions are a global phenomenon which, after the crisis of the financial system, is affecting the sovereign bonds of a number of advanced economies. A small number of European countries are particularly affected, but it is a global issue. In Europe there is a paradox because the euro area as a whole is in a better situation than several other advanced economies. For instance, at the end of this year, our public finance deficit will probably be at the level of around 4½%. So we will have a yearly deficit level which will be half the level of the public finance deficit of the two other very big economies of the G7, namely Japan and the United States. We have to keep that in mind. The tensions and problems are due to the absence of sound, rigorous and correct management by the countries themselves: they have the primary responsibility. Second, they are due to the lack of rigorous surveillance by all the other countries, which is required by the Stability and Growth Pact. Parca cel care a luat interviu mi-a citit "Povestea " hi hi hi

Speculez un final fericit pe Grecia pana Vineri am adaugat trail de 100 si inca o pozitie la misto ca ciripesc oficialii astia de se sperie euro si sa raman cu ceva, macar de tigari.

banca care a luat foc e Lehman iar tara e Grecia care a fost ajutata "doar cu cateva galeti" de Germania.

Cercetatorii americani au studiat evolutia indicelui S&P 500, intre anii 1973 si 1997, pentru a vedea daca exista o legatura intre zilele saptamanii si piata de capital. Lunea e ziua cea mai putin productiva iar miercurea se castiga cel mai mult. Explicatia este una de ordin psihologic: traderii sunt mai putin dispusi sa isi asume riscuri in prima zi din saptamana si se lasa prada rutinei de munca, ca in orice job. Pana miercuri, acestia se dezmortesc si incep sa faca investitii, unele dintre ele foarte inspirate. Actuala criza mondiala a pornit de la lacomia institutiilor de credit, care au relaxat creditarea atat de mult, incat a alimentat lacomia oamenilor de rand. Ce ar putea sa opreasca acest mecanism sa se reia din nou este credinta intr-o pedeapsa vesnica. Este rezultatul unui studiu demarat de Federal Reserve, dublat de concluziile la care au ajuns cercetatorii de la Harvard. Acestia au studiat informatia din mai multe tari, corelandu-le cu gradul de coruptie. Rezultatul: cu cat populatia crede mai mult in iad, cu atat nivelul de coruptie este mai redus, iar economia este mai prospera. Cocluzie Federal Reserve ca gasit traderul perfect. :traderii satanisti ca si grup sunt prosperi si cu coloana vertebrala., dorm de vineri pana marti cand se gandesc ce tradeuri sa mai faca miercuri .

http://www.blogcdn.com/www.engadget.com/media/2011/07/gscreen-spacebook-1310754443.jpg Look out, ThinkPad W700ds -- there's a new dual-screen beast in town, and it's not settling for second best. After first appearing in September of 2009, we hadn't heard a peek from GScreen save for one brief blip in 2010. Now, however, it seems that a dream has become reality. The first run of SpaceBooks is now up for pre-order, with each one offering a pair of 17.3-inch displays that boast a 1920 x 1080 screen resolution. Each panel slides out horizontally (think wings, but on a laptop), and creates quite the spacious area for creative professionals to immerse themselves in. The entry-level piece is being hawked for $2,395, which nets you a 2.66GHz Core i5-560M CPU, 4GB of DDR3 memory, NVIDIA's GeForce GTS 250M (1GB), a 500GB HDD, DVD burner and a magnesium alloy frame. The pricier sibling is marked at $2,795, with that premium grabbing you a 1.73GHz Core i7-740QM, double the RAM and quadruple the bragging rights. There's no exact word on when these will ship out, but you'll need th in-between time just to wrap your mind around the object you're certainly still peering at above. http://www.engadget....hers-now-up-fo/

Intr-un sat stiut de multa lume isi ducea linistita zilele o banca mare mare cu bancheri foarte destoinici ce avea zeci de ani de experienta in manuirea fisicurilor de bani. Si uite asa cum trudeau ei sa agoniseasca profit de pe urma altor banci mai micute sau de pe la tot felul de firmulite mai mici sau mai mari, intr-o zi, un grup de flacai rai si hapsani au gandit ca daca vor pune foc la temelia bancii, va arde si ea dar si alte institutii cu care avea ea pod facut, iar Iarba puterii va incapea in mainile lor. Cu ajutorul ei, toate placerile din lume, stiute si nestiute, gustate si negustate, vor fi doar ale lor. http://www.picturicelebre.ro/images/monet%20capite%20la%20sfarsitul%20verii.jpg Asa s-a si intamplat. La cativa ani dupa aceea, cand flacaii au vazut cat de bine le merge si ce minunate sunt placerile lumii si cat de repede s-a intins valvataia peste mari si tari, de greu o mai puteai stinge s-au intrebat: daca ar urzi iar si ar da foc unei tari intregi nu cumva ar lua foc mai multe iar iarba puterii acum mult mai grasa a unei tari intregi ar incapea toata in capitele lor? Asa s-a si intamplat, Doar ca, in inima continentului unde acea tara a luat foc se afla o tara foarte bogata si cu flacai inalti si muncitori. Cand au vazut focul atat de mare la portile ei s-au gandit ca s-ar putea sa ajunga si la casele lor frumoase si ridicate cu exactitate si au dat o mana de ajutor saracei tari ce ardea mocnit aducand cateva galeti de apa sa mai domoleasca focul. Problema a fost ca nu s-au spetit foarte tare sa arunce cu apa peste acel foc pentru ca aveau de muncit si la industriile lor, care mergeau din ce in ce mai bine de cand focul aprinsese tarile din jur. Asa s-a intamplat. Si uite asa, incalecand pe-o banca grea, am spus povestea ce nu s-a mai povestit, decat pe anumite situri obscure si fara audienta, cum Iarba Puterii e cosita in timp ce citim asta poveste si stransa in capite grase de cativa flacai hapsani dar cu mult viclesug in suflet.