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  1. LONDON (Dow Jones)--U.K. consumer price inflation fell to its lowest annual rate for thirty months in August, casting further doubt on the need for any more interest rate hikes from the Bank of England this autumn. The Office for National Statistics said Tuesday that annual CPI inflation was 1.8% in August, down from 1.9% in July. The rate was also just below the 1.9% level expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires last week. On the month, the consumer price index was up 0.4%, compared with a fall of 0.6% in July. That was in line with expectations. The annual
  2. LONDON (Dow Jones)--The euro zone's trade surplus with the rest of the world narrowed in July from June, but export growth remained strong despite the strength of the region's currency. The 13 countries that share the euro recorded a surplus of EUR4.6 billion in trade in goods with the rest of the world in July, the European statistics agency Eurostat said Monday, narrower than the figure reported in June, but well ahead of the EUR1.1 billion surplus recorded a year earlier. Eurostat revised June's surplus down to EUR7.6 billion from an originally reported EUR7.8 billion surplus. The
  3. U.K. seasonally adjusted input prices fell 0.5% on the month and grew 0.7% on the year in August, below economists' expectations. Output prices rose 0.1% on the month and 2.5% on the year, the Office of National Statistics says. Core output prices, which exclude volatile items, such as food, drink, tobacco, and petrol, rose 0.2% on the month and 2.4% on the year. In a DJN survey, economists predicted that output prices would rise 0.1% on the month and 2.4% on the year. They estimated that input prices would fall 0.2% on the month and rise 0.9% on the year, and that core prices would rise 2.3%
  4. LONDON (Dow Jones)--Retail trade in the euro zone disappointed in July, growing more slowly than economists had expected. The volume of retail sales rose just 0.1% on the month in July, dragged down by sales of nonfood products such as clothing and household goods which fell by 0.1% on the month, European statistics agency, Eurostat said Wednesday. Compared with July 2006, retail sales grew 0.5%, substantially less than economists had predicted. In a Dow Jones survey last week economists said they expected sales to grow 0.3% on the month and 1.0% on the year. Eurostat revised Ju
  5. SINGAPORE (Dow Jones)--The Japanese currency has taken another leg higher in Asia Wednesday on comments suggesting further dark days for the yen-funded carry trade, but there is no need to get swept away yet. Japan's banking minister, Yoshimi Watanabe, has startled markets a bit with what would appear to be a fairly benign comment - that there's always the chance of further carry trade unwinding. As Westpac Banking Corp.'s Sean Callow puts it, "I guess the fear is someone in Watanabe's position might be seeing signs of outstanding yen carry positions that had on some measures seemed
  6. Japan Bank Minister Yoshimi Watanabe says in early afternoon session that Tokyo shares may fall more on U.S. subprime mortgage problems. "I think this is in line with the views of everyone in the market," says manager at sales department at Japanese brokerage. Nikkei could dip below Aug. 17 low of 15262.10 if players see greater impact from subprime issue, such as USD/JPY fall that could significantly affect earnings outlooks for Japanese exporters, he says. Japan Bank Minister Watanabe's comment there's chance JPY carry trade unwinding will continue is likely behind recent drop in EUR, USD
  7. Bank of Canada statement later today likely to sound dovish, says Tohru Sasaki, chief FX strategist at JP Morgan Chase Bank. Expects BOC to keep rates on hold, while "focus will be on BOC statement to assess how the change in environment since the last interest rate decision has influenced (its) policy stance." Adds, facing a possible U.S. economic slowdown, tightening of credit market, and with CAD hovering at high levels despite falling commodity prices, there's a high possibility BOC statement will be dovish. Copyright © 2007 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
  8. BUCHAREST (Dow Jones)--Weaker-than-expected Romanian economic growth of 5.8% in the first half of the year drove analysts Tuesday to lower their year-end forecasts to well below official estimates, news agency Mediafax reported. Romania's economy has recorded robust growth over the past few years, with growth accelerating to 7.7% last year, and Romanian authorities expect economic growth of 6.5% this year. "It's highly unlikely that Romania's GDP growth will top 5.8% this year," said Ionut Dumitru, an analyst at Raiffeisen Bank Romania. Agriculture will be mostly responsible for
  9. Romania's economy slowed markedly in the second quarter despite hefty private spending, heightening concern about the country's ballooning external debt. Romania's gross domestic product expanded 5.6% in the second quarter, sharply down from the 7.4% pace posted in the same period a year earlier, and close to the rate achieved in 2005, when the country was wracked by devastating floods. Most economists had anticipated an acceleration from the 6.0% growth of the first three months of the year. Now they must pencil in the effects of higher food prices and lower farm output, both large comp
  10. Sell stops in GBP/USD below 2.0125 on top of those already triggered at 2.0148 are putting 2.0 back in range, says a dealer at Societe Generale. Says intraday technicals show a downward trend forming, and advises selling on a break below Friday's low of 2.0111. Pair now at 2.0134, day's low 2.0123 on EBS. (JSE) Copyright © 2007 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
  11. NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index is expected to have slipped a bit, but remained firmly in positive territory in August. The median estimate of 13 economists surveyed Friday by Dow Jones Newswires is for a reading of 53.0 in August for the ISM manufacturing index, down slightly from the reading of 53.8 in July. Readings above 50 point to expansion in activity. The ISM is due to release its manufacturing index for August at 10:00 a.m. EDT (1400 GMT) on Tuesday. After the release of the National Association of Purchasing Management-Chicago'
  12. FRANKFURT -(Dow Jones)- The European Central Bank is widely expected to keep interest rates on hold Thursday on volatile financial market conditions and liquidity concerns, but may flag plans to lift rates later this year. Thirty-nine of the 51 private-sector banks polled by Dow Jones Newswires say that the minimum bid rate for the ECB's weekly refinancing operations will remain at 4.0%. "Maintaining the status quo seems to be the most probable scenario, since it would give the central bank more time to judge the financial situation and its impact on growth and inflation," BNP Paribas ec
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