Technical Analysis - Major Pairs (EUR/USD, AUD/USD. GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/CAD) and more...

[Tiberiu]

3). - a) Usd/Chf - 4 Hours Chart (09.05.2012) - Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 0.919 - 0.921 area - confluence between the Weekly Main Pivot, the Monthly R1 Pivot, and the Resistences from the 6th, 9th and 10th of April, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 0.925 - Resistence from the 16th of April,
• 0.927 - Resistence from Sunday,
• 0.934 - 0.936 area - Important confluence between the Weekly R1 Pivot and the Monthly R2 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level).

3). - b) Usd/Chf - 4 Hours Chart (09.05.2012) - Bearish Probability Key Levels:

• 0.918 - Friday close, and the close of the Gap from Sunday opening,
• 0.911 - Important confluence between the Monthly Main Pivot, the Weekly S1 Pivot, the cross between the 100 and 200 SMAs, and the Support from April 12, (2nd Level Key Level)
• 0.905 - Support from the 1st of May,
• 0.900 - Hystorical level and the Support from the 3rd of April, (1st Level Key Level)
• 0.896 - Confluence between the Monthly S1 Pivot and the Weekly S2 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level).

Probability Charts:

• Bullish and Bearish Probabilities:

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/0446b2d056bb6f0c259b295c96ee9f3b/500_2/image986.jpg

 

• Mixed Probabilities:

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/0086543ffdd15452fa72a0073efd93d8/500_2/image364.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/a1f428b1fc46c307a5b010bc971dd6f7/500_2/image977.jpg

 

Multumesc pentru suport,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

4). - a) Usd/Jpy - 4 Hours Chart (09.05.2012) - Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 80,00 - 80.12 area - Important confluence between the Weekly Main Pivot, the Hystorical level, 50% Fibonacci Retracement from the Daily Chart, and the cross between the 30 and 50 SMAs, (2nd Level Key Levels),
• 80.30 - 80.40 area - confluence between the Weekly R1 Pivot and the Resistence from the 16th of April, maybe even a future confluence with the 100 SMA (2nd Level Key Level),
• 80.99 - 81.00 area - Important confluence between the Monthly Main Pivot, the Weekly R2 Pivot, future confluence with the 200 SMA, and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement from the Daily Chart, also a resistence from the 13th of April,(2nd Level Key Level)
• 81.38 - Weekly R3 Pivot,
• 82.25 - confluence between the Monthly R1 Pivot and the 23.6% Fibonacci from the Daily chart,(1st Level Key Level)

4). - b) Usd/Jpy - 4 Hours Chart (09.05.2012) - Bearish Probabilty Key Levels:

• 79.70 - Supports from the 1st and 6th of May, (1st Level Key Level)
• 79.43 - Weekly S1 Pivot,
• 79.15 - 79.05 area - confluence between the Weekly S2 Pivot, and the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement from the Daily Chart, (1st Level Key Level)
• 78.68 - 78.46 area - confluence between the Weekly S3 Pivot and the Monthly S1 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level)

Probability Charts:

• Bullish and Bearish Probabilities:

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/edbc1de0b49d9f3ba39f6674b87fd8d3/500_2/image87.jpg

 

• Mixed Probablities:

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/fd4377e1448af72d7cce48f146884733/500_2/image664.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/fca0de3a4adfa4f9d1567e8072bcb6fa/500_2/image625.jpg

 

Multumesc pentru suport,

Fir intins la pipsi,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>> 1) Gbp/Usd - 4 hours Chart - (15.05.2012)

Market Conditions:

• Sideways Movement from September 2010 (Between 1.525 - 1.675),
• Intermediate Uptrend from January 2012,
• Minor Downtrend from 1st of May 2012, 250 Pips Sell-Off
• Increasing Bearish Volume,

- Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.611 - confluence between the Monthly Main Pivot, Weekly Main Pivot, the Minor Trend Trendline, the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement, (2nd Level Key Level)
• 1.616 - confluence between the Weekly R1 Pivot and the 100 SMA, also resistence fro 2nd of May (2nd Level Key Level),
• 1.625 - Weekly R2 Pivot,
• 1.630 - hystorical level, confluence with the Weekly R3 Pivot Point and resistence from the 30th of April,(2nd Level Key Level),

- Bearish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.605 - confluence between the 200 SMA and the Support from the 3rd of April, (1st Level Key Level)
• 1.600 - confluence between the Weekly S1 Pivot, the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement and the hystorical level, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 1.597 - Important confluence between the Weekly S2 Pivot and the support from the 13th of April and 27th of March, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 1.592 - Monthly S1 Pivot and a support from March,
• 1.587 - Weekly S3 Pivot.

Probability Charts:

Bullish and Bearish Clear Probabilities:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/2dacd23207672270ddcc309aaa028667/500_2/image798.jpg

 

Mixed Probabilities:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/aed29e55c53aa4b7cebf0d5d3076719a/500_2/image502.jpg

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/666aa6498adb53ee7523c938589bb056/500_2/image187.jpg

 

To Your Success,

Multumesc pentru suport,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>> 2) Usd/Chf - 4 hours Chart - (15.05.2012)

Market Conditions:

• Major Uptrend from August 2011,
• Sideways Movement from December 2011 (between 0.955 - 0.892),
• Minor Uptrend from 1st of May 2012, 330 Pips Rally,
• Increasing Bullish Volume,
• Breakout Continuation Gap - 0.918

- Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 0.936 - Important confluence between the Weekly R1 Pivot and the Monthly R2 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level).
• 0.940 - Weekly R2 Pivot Point,
• 0.947 - 0.949 area - confluence between the Monthly R3 Pivot and the Weekly R3 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level)

- Bearish Probability Key Levels:

• 0.927 - 0.928 - Resistence from the 6th of May and Weekly Main Pivot Point, (1st Level Key Level),
• 0.925 - Support from the 15th of April,
• 0.923 - 0.922 area - confluence between the Monthly R1 Pivot Support and the weekly S1 Pivot, also future confluence with the 100 SMA, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 0.915 - confluence between the 200 SMA and the Weekly S2 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level)
• 0.910 - confluence between the Monthly Main Pivot Point and the Weekly S3 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level).

Probability Charts:

 

Bullish and Bearish Clear Probabilities:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/8c437fb71bad80a18140b13ce1244d6b/500_2/image373.jpg

 

Mixed Probabilities:

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/55c415fc6417c9c58bdd82a7a2802973/500_2/image749.jpg

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/b9fcb99c3ee8664d1ed96063b9d73450/500_2/image500.jpg

 

To Your Success,

Thank You for Your support,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>> 3) Usd/Jpy - 4 hours Chart - (15.05.2012)

Market Conditions:

• Major Downtrend from 2007,
• Intermediate Downtrend from 20th of March 2012,
• Minor Sideways Movement from 1st of May 2012,
• Increasing Bearish Volume.

- Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 80.30 - 80.40 area - confluence between the Weekly R1 Pivot and the Resistence from the 16th of April, and from the 2nd and 3rd of May, confluence with the 100 SMA (2nd Level Key Level),
• 80.49 - Weekly R2 Pivot,
• 80.90 - 81.00 area - Key confluence between the 200 SMA, Weekly R3 Pivot, Monthly Main Pivot Point, 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement from the previous Intermediate Uptrend, (2nd Level Key Level)
• 81.80 - the Resistence from the 10th and 20th of April.

- Bearish Probability Key Levels:

• 79.61 - 79.42 area - Major Demand Area, Weekly S1 Pivot, Supports from the 1st, 6th, 9th and 14th of May, (2nd Level Key Level)
• 79.19 - 79.15 area - confluence between the Weekly S2 Pivot and the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement from the previous Intermediate Uptrend, (1st Level Key Level)
• 78.96 - Weekly S3 Pivot.

Probability Charts:

 

Bullish and Bearish Clear Probabilities:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/25fa06d96eeda27974917f72d54639a0/500_2/image653.jpg

 

Mixed Probabilities:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/9d7030f6ce019651b25006eb38884eb7/500_2/image608.jpg

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/f05d46afdf4e05365c097e487d50ed3d/500_2/image816.jpg

 

Thank You for your support,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>> 4) Aud/Usd - 4 hours Chart - (15.05.2012)

Market Conditions:

• Major Uptrend from February 2009 - Sideways Movement from May 2011,
• Intermediate Downtrend from February 2012,
• Minor Downtrend from 30th of April 2012, 525 Pips Sell-Off
• Increasing Bearish Volume,

- Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.002 - Psychological Level, the resistence from the 9th of May, Monthly S3 Pivot Point resistence, (1st Level Key Level)
• 1.008 - Weekly Main Pivot Point,
• 1.013 - 1.016 area - Major Supply Area, Key confluence between the resistences from the 7th and 10th of May, the Monthly S2 Pivot, the Weekly R1 Pivot, and the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement from the Sell-Off in May, (2nd Level Key Level)
• 1.020 - Resistence from the 8th of May, confluence with the 100 SMA,
• 1.027 - 1.029 area - confluence between the 200 SMA, the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement from the Sell-Off in May, and the Weekly R2 Pivot Point, (2nd Level Key Level)
• 1.037 - confluence between the Monthly Main Pivot and the Weekly R3 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level)

- Bearish Probability Key Levels:

• 0.994 - 0.993 area - confluence between the support from the 9th of August 2011 and the Weekly S1 Pivot,
• 0.987 - support from the 15th December 2011, and Weekly S2 Pivot.

Probability Charts:

 

 

Bullish and Bearish Clear Probabilities:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/6229b3f1f2280a29b74abe7f174d357d/500_2/image16.jpg

 

Mixed Probabilities:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/4132d70968871800261f960ebc6beb24/500_2/image278.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/ae1814a89fd15e432189a6c9704cb7b0/500_2/image655.jpg

 

Multumesc pentru support,

To your success,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>> 5) Eur/Usd - 4 hours Chart - (15.05.2012)

 

Market Conditions:

• Major Downtrend from May 2011,
• Intermediate Downtrend from March 2012,
• Minor Downtrend from 1st of May 2012, 470 Pips Sell-Off
• Increasing Bearish Volume,
• 2 Breakout Continuation Gaps (1.308, 1.291)

- Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.291 - the close from Friday and the continuation Gap from Monday opening,
• 1.295 - weekly Main Pivot Point and the Resistence from 6th of May, (1st Level Key Level),
• 1.300 - 1.303 area - confluence between the hystorical level and support from 16th of April and the Monthly S1 Pivot and the Weekly R1 Pivot, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 1.308 - the close from 4th of May which formed a Breakout Continuation Gap maybe future confluence with the 100 SMA,
• 1.313 - confluence between the Weekly R2 Pivot Point and the 200 SMA, (1st Level Key Level),
• 1.318 - 1.320 area - Important confluence between the Monthly Main Pivot, the Weekly R3 1Pivot Point and the Intermediate Downtrend Trendline, (2nd Level Key Level),

- Bearish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.285 - 1.282 area - confluence between the Weekly S1 Pivot and the Monthly S2 Pivot. (1st Level Key Level),
• 1.276 - Weekly S2 Pivot Point,
• 1.262 - 1.264 area - Important Demand area confluence between the Support from 15th of January, the Monthly S3 Pivot and the Weekly S3 Pivot Point.

Probability Charts:

Bullish and Bearish Clear Probabilities:http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/91065fb0d8933bf8251515219ea0fc8f/500_2/image495.jpg

 

Mixed Probabilities:

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/fe616bd6916563281aa2001294c37aa0/500_2/image73.jpg http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c6f4dbac57069cc007c693ca9054f65e/500_2/image969.jpg

 

 

Multumesc pentru support,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

1)Gbp/Usd - 4 hours Chart - (17.05.2012 Update) - Bullish Probability Key Levels:

 

>>1.611 -Monthly Pivot, Weekly Pivot, the Minor Trend Trendline,61.8% Fibonacci, (2nd Level Key Level)

 

>>1.616 - Weekly R1 Pivot 100 SMA,resistence from 2nd of May (2nd Level Key Level),

 

>>1.605 -200 SMA and resistence from the 3rd of April, (1st Level Key Level),

 

>>1.600 -Weekly S1 Pivot, the 38.2% Fibonacci and the hystorical level, (2nd Level Key Level),

 

>>1.597 -Weekly S2 Pivot and the resistence from the 13th of April and 27th of March (2nd Level Key Level),

 

>>1.592 - Monthly S1 Pivot and resistence from March,>>

 

1)Gbp/Usd - 4 hours Chart - (17.05.2012) - Bearish Probability Key Levels:

 

Price has broken 1.592 - 1.591 area (Monthly S1 Pivot and support from 19th,21st of March, 5th, 10th, 16th and 19th of April).

 

If the breakout will be confirmed we will see the minor sell-off continuation to reach first 1.587 - Weekly S3 Pivot, and finally 1.582 (support from March and 5th, 10th and 12th of April).

 

 

Thank You for your support

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>> 2) Usd/Chf - 4 hours Chart - (17.05.2012 Update)>>- Bearish Probability Key Levels:

 

>>0.940 - Weekly R2 Pivot Point,

 

>>0.936 - Weekly R1 Pivot and the Monthly R2 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level).

 

>>0.927 - 0.928 - Support from the 6th of May and Weekly Main Pivot Point, (1st Level Key Level),

 

>>0.925 - Support from the 15th of April,

 

>>0.923 - 0.922 area -Monthly R1 Pivot, weekly S1 Pivot,the 100 SMA, (2nd Level Key Level),

 

>>0.915 - confluence between the 200 SMA and the Weekly S2 Pivot, (1st Level Key Level)>>>

 

>> 2) Usd/Chf - 4 hours Chart - (17.05.2012 Update)>>- Bullish Probability Key Levels:

 

Price has found resistence at 0.946 - 0.949 area (confluence between the Monthly R3 Pivot and the Weekly R3 Pivot).

 

If we will see a breakout and confirmation of this key level area price could reach 0.955 - 0.960 area (Major supply area from december 2011 and January 2012).

 

This would be a continuation of the minor rally from the beggining of May, without an important retracement.

 

 

Thank You for your support,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>> 3) Usd/Jpy - 4 hours Chart - (17.05.2012 Update)>> - Bullish Probability Key Levels:

 

>>80.49 - Weekly R2 Pivot,

 

>>80.90 - 81.00 area - Key confluence between the 200 SMA, Weekly R3 Pivot, Monthly Main Pivot Point, 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement from the previous Intermediate Uptrend, (2nd Level Key Level)

 

>>81.80 - the Resistence from the 10th and 20th of April.

 

>> 3) Usd/Jpy - 4 hours Chart - (17.05.2012 Update)>>- Bearish Probability Key Levels:

 

>>80.30 - 80.40 area -Weekly R1 Pivot and the Support from the 16th of April, and from the 2nd and 3rd of May,100 SMA (2nd Level Key Level),

 

>>79.61 - 79.42 area - Major Demand Area, Weekly S1 Pivot, Supports from the 1st, 6th, 9th and 14th of May, (2nd Level Key Level)

 

>>79.19 - 79.15 area - Weekly S2 Pivot and the 61.8% Fibonacci from the previous Intermediate Uptrend, (1st Level Key Level)

 

>>78.96 - Weekly S3 Pivot.

 

 

Thank You for your support,

Doctortyby