Technical Analysis - Major Pairs (EUR/USD, AUD/USD. GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/CAD) and more...

[Tiberiu]

>> GBP/USD << Thursday UPDATE(29,12):

 

Currently at a Key Level, price has a higher probability of Bearish Movement, under 1,5546(Weekly S1), could Break 1,5374(Monthly S1)and we could see a higher amplitude move to 1,53(weekly S2 Pivot), or even 1,5(Monthly S2 and Psychological Level).

 

Upside we have strong resistence 1,552(Daily Pivot), 1,56(confluence between Weekly Main Pivot, Daily R1, and trendlines). Above that 1,5755(confluence between Monthly Pivot and Weekly R1) is a Strong resistence.

 

To Your success,

 

Doctortyby

 

 

Editat Decembrie 29, 2011 de Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

>> AUD/USD << Thursday UPDATE(29.12):

 

Currently in a neutral Area, inside a large triangle on 4h and daily charts, price is standing at 1,008(Weekly Main Pivot).

 

There is a higher Probability that price would resume the Down Move from yesterday, under 1,005 support, break through 1,003(daily S1), and reach targets 0,998(daily s2 Pivot confluence with Uptrendline), and 0,994(Weekly S1).

 

Bullish Probability will break 1,0116(Daily Pivot) and reach 1,016(Monthly Pivot confluence with Daily R1 and Trendline on 1H chart).Above that we have Strong Downtrendline on higher Times Frames around 1,02.

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

 

 

[Tiberiu]

>> NZD/USD << Thursday UPDATE(29.12):

 

Still trending inside a congestion area between 0,778 and 0,766 price action seems neutral until a break of 0,7685(weekly Pivot), with a confirmation break of 0,766 support, followed by a break of 0,763(Daily S1) to reach 0,7595(Weekly S1 confluence with daily s2).

 

Further Downside watch for the Uptrenlind on 4H chart.

 

Smaller Probability upside 0,77(daily Pivot) with tragets at 0,7754(Monthly Pivot confluence with Uptrendline on 4H chart) and maybe 0,778 resistence.

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

 

 

[Tiberiu]

And Finally EUR/USD(29.12 UPDATE):

 

Price broke down from two congestion areas on 1H and 4H charts.

 

Fundamentals are Negative(waiting for S&P ratings).

 

Higher Probability is Short from 1,285(Monthly S1 and Weekly S2)to target 1,364(Weekly S3).

 

It could retrace to 1,295(Weekly S1 now resistence) or further to 1,297(daily Pivot) or even 1,30(resistence confluence with downtrendline on higher time frames).

 

To Your success,

 

Doctortyby

 

 

[gigi]

Hai ca am inteles smecheria. Daca dam click pe link-ul din semnatura, si apoi citim unul din articolele tale de acolo, castigi puncte in concursul Dukascopy de articole.

 

Dar ai observat ca pt a primii banii, trebuie sa realizezi un anumit volum de tranzactii? Pt premiul 1, de $5000, trebuie sa ai rulaj $10 mil in luna respectiva.

[Tiberiu]

In primul rand, realizez si postez aceste Analize tehnice, pentru mine, si pentru a primi feed-back din partea traderilor de pe acest Forum si nu numai.

 

Articolele din acel concurs sunt tot analize, pe care daca le citesti, nu cred ca poti avea nimic de pierdut. Si avand in vedere ca tot muncesc destul de mult la acele analize, de ce sa nu le postez si intr-un Concurs. Nu cred ca e nimic Imoral in asta. Dimpotriva cred ca ofer munca mea gratis, si nu imi amintesc sa fi cerut ceva in schimb.

 

Cu respect,

 

Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

GBP/USD is accumulating strenght around 1,552 Weekly Main Pivot Line confluence with 100 Simple Moving Average on 1H chart and 30 SMA on 4H chart. I am bullish currently on Gbp/USd because it hasn't filled the Opening gap Yet.

 

to your success,

 

Doctortyby

 

 

Editat Ianuarie 2, 2012 de Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

- EUR/USD - January Analysis - Week 02-06.01

 

On the Daily chart, we can see a Clear Downtrend, confirmed by the Main Simple Moving averages (30,50,100 and 200 DMA).

The smaller downtrendline has been broken on Tuesday Morning, at the confluence with the Main Weekly Pivot (1,2961). Price has found resistence at 1,305(weekly R1 Pivot and Daily R3 Pivot).

 

Be careful for a False Breakout, even if volumes confirm the Breakout of the trendline.

 

Bullish Probability finds the first resistence at Monthly Main pivot line(1,312) confluence with 30 DMA, then 1,329(bigger time frames uptrendline confluence with 50 DMA), 1,3383(Monthly R1, confluence with 61,8% Fibonacci retracement and maybe 100 DMA), and finally 1,371-1,381 area(38,2% Fibonacci confluence with 200 DMA and Monthly R2).

 

Bearish probability would return price under Weekly Pivot(1,2961) and take it to new lows under 1,285 support, to Monthly R1(1,2693) and 1,264 support, or even 1,243 Monthly R2.

 

 

On 4H chart Eur/Usd has broken 100 SMA, and could retrace to the downtrendline and then resume the upside move. If price breaks 1,306(weekly R1), it could reach 1,312(Monthly Pivot), and 1,3187(Weekly r2 Pivot confluence with 200 SMA on 4H chart).Above that level we could see a Trend reversal on 4H chart.

 

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

-GBP/USD - January Analysis - Week 02-06.01

 

On the Daily chart price has broken the Monthly Pivot(1,556), but it has not broken yet the downtrendline. The downtrend is confirmed by the Moving Averages, but the high Volumes on the Upmove show signes of a trend reversal. Be careful, it can be a false breakout.

 

Bullish probability finds strong resistence at the 2 downtrendlines and 50,100 and 200 DMA. 1,576(confluence between Monthly R1 pivot and main downtrendline) holds price until it could reach 1,597(Monthly R2 confluence with 200 DMA). Above that Level, we have a Strong Confirmation of Trend Reversal.

 

Downside Probability could Break 1,552(Weekly Pivot) and take price to 1,54 support, and further to Monthly S1 Pivot (1,5346), 1,527 support and 1,5147(Monthly S2 Pivot).

 

 

On 4H chart the price has Broken the 200 SMA and has retraced to it, it could be a signal for a trend reversal especially because the volume is Huge on the bullish Move.

Be careful for a False Breakout, even if the bullish Probability seems to be the best choice for this moment.

 

 

To your Success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

AUD/USD - January Analysis - week 02-06.01:

 

On the daily chart AUD/USD had an impressive bullish volume on Tuesday, and has reached 1,037(200 DMA).This is an Important Key level for the trend reversal on daily chart.

 

Price could retrace to 1,015(Monthly Main Pivot) and then resume the bullish probability to reach 1,044(Monthly R1 Pivot confluence with the downtrendline) and to reverse the trend.The next bullish target would be 1,067(Monthly R2).

 

Downside probability could break Monthly Pivot and reach 0,992(Monthly S1 Pivot confluence with the uptrendline - Key Level).

 

 

On 4H chart, we can see a begining of an uptrend, confirmed by the 30,50,100 and 200 SMA.If price will retrace under 1,031(weekly R1 Pivot), it could reach 1,017(weekly Pivot) and then resume the uptrend to break Weekly R1a dn go to 1,04(weekly R2).

 

Upside that level we have the downtrendline on daily chart resistence.Bearish Probability would break Weekly Pivot, then Monthly Pivot and reach 1,008(confluence between Weekly s1 and 100 SMA, close to 200 SMA).This is a Key area to watch for a Bearish continuation of the Main trend.

 

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby