Technical Analysis - Major Pairs (EUR/USD, AUD/USD. GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/CAD) and more...

[Tiberiu]

6) USD/JPY -Weekly View - 09-13. On 4H chart and 15 Pips Range Bars

 

Usd/Jpy has found resistence at Main Downtrendline on the Higher Time Frames. Now the price seems to Resume the downtrend, but we have to be careful for a BOJ intervention to depreciate Jpy.

 

Bullish Action would break 76,96(Weekly Pivot confluence with the secondary Downtrendline), to reach 77,31(Weekly R1, maybe confluence with 100 SMA), and move further to 77,68-77,7area(Important Key-Area, confluence betweet Monthly Pivot, Weekly R2, 200 SMA and Main Downtrendline).

 

Bearish Probability would break the secondary uptrendline to reach 76,58(Weekly S1), 76,445(Monthly S1) and 76,23(Weekly S2).

 

 

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

7) NZD/USD -Weekly View - 09-13. On 4H chart and 35 Pips Range Bars

 

Price has broken the Downtrendline on 4H chart and then retraced to it. But the volume doesn't seem to be Bullish to sustain the Upmove.

 

Bullish Action could break 0,789(Weekly R1) to reach 0,798(Weekly R2).

 

Bearish Probability would break 0,781(Weekly Pivot) to reach 0,7754(Monthly Pivot confluence with Weekly S1 and Downtrendline- now support) and fall further to 0,764(Weekly S2 Pivot) and break the Main Uptrendline to reach 0,747(Weekly R3).

 

 

 

To Your success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

USD INDEX,4H Chart,11.01

 

The price is moving in an Uptrend confirmated by the Moving averages on 4 H chart.

 

Bearish Probability would break 80,71(Weekly Pivot),move further to 80,5(50SMA)and 80,3(100SMA) and reach 80,02(Weekly S1).If price will fall further to 79,70(confluence between 200SMa and Monthly Pivot),be careful for a trend reversal on 4H chart.

 

Bullish probability will break resistence at 81,43(Monthly R1) and 81,90(Weekly R1), and then maybe move further to 82,59(confluence between Weekly R2 and Monthly R2).

 

To Your success,

 

Doctortyby

 

USD INDEX,1H Chart,11.01

 

We can see a confirmation of the Uptrend on the 4H chart.

 

Bullish Action would Break 81,12(Daily R1), and move further to the next resistences at 81,26(Daily R2) and 81,45(confluence between daily R3 and Monthly R1).

 

Downside, price has retraced Already to 100 SMA, and if it will break 80,92(confluence between 100SMA and Daily Pivot),could move further to 80,78(Daily S1) and 80,71(Weekly Pivot).The 80,58(Daily R2 confluence with 200SMA)level is an Important Key-Level to watch for a trend reversal signal on 1H chart.

[Tiberiu]

EURO INDEX,4H Chart,11.01

 

-Clear Downtrend confirmed by the Moving Averages.

 

Bearish Probability would break 100,79(Monthly S1), and move further to 100,2(Weekly S1), or even 99,5(confluence between Weekly S2 and Monthly S2).

 

Bullish Action would break 101,52(Weekly Main Pivot) 101,75(50 SMA) and move further to 102,22(confluence between 100SMA and Weekly R1). Above that Level 103,54(confluence between 200SMA, Monthly Main Pivot and Weekly R2)is the Key-Resistence to Reverse the Downtrend on 4H chart.

 

 

EURO INDEX,1H Chart,11.01

 

-The Downtrend from the 4H chart is also confirmed on 1H chart.

 

Price has Already retraced to 100SMA on 1H chart, and could Retrace even More if it Breaks the Resistence at 101,24(Daily R1)and move further to 101,52(confluence between Weekly Pivot and Daily R2).The Main resistence is the 101,7(Daily R3 and 200SMa on 1H chart)level.

 

Bearish Probability would break 100,81(confluence between daily S1 and Monthly S1) and move further to 100,65(Daily S2 strong Support).

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

GBP/AUD,4H Chart,11.01

 

-Price is trending inside a Downtrend Channel.

If 1,494(Weekly S2) will be Broken, price could Fall Further all the way to 1,477(confluence between Weekly S3 and Channel support).

Bullish Probability could break 1,50(confluence between Dontrendline and Weekly S1) and move futher to 1,5113(Weekly Pivot),further 1,5197(confluence between 100SMA and Weekly R1), or even 1,5283(future confluence between 200SMA and Weekly R2)

 

 

EUR/AUD,4H chart,11.01

 

 

-Price is moving in a downtrend and has found support around 1,233(Weekly S1).

Bearish action under that level will take price to 1,2233(Weekly S2), where it could find support at least for a Retracement.

Bullish probability will break 1,240(Daily Pivot) and rise to 1,252(Weekly Pivot) to break 30 and 50 SMA and reach 1,262(Weekly R1).100SMA is now Standing at 1,268 and the next resistences would be 1,28(Weekly R2) and 1,29(200SMA)

 

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

12.01 Analysis-1Hour Chart UPDATE - USD/CAD,USD/JPY, NZD/USD

USD/JPY,1H chart,12.01/

 

Price broke out of the 200SMA on 1H chart.Bullish probability above 76,96(Weekly Pivot) will move through 77,995(Daily R1) and reach 77,12(Daily R2) or even 77,31(Weekly R1 confluence with Daily R3). Bearish action under 76,791(Daily S1), will break 76,71(Daily S2) and move further to 76,58(Weekly S1 Pivot).

 

 

USD/CAD,1H chart,12.01/

 

Price look neutral to bearish, standing right on 200SMA on 1H chart.Bearish Probability would go under 1,0178(Daily Pivot), reach 1,014(confluence between Daily S1 and Weekly S1 Pivots) and 1,01(Daily S2). Bullish Action above 1,022(confluence between 100SMA, Daily R1 and Weekly Pivot), could rise to 1,024(Daily R2) and 1,031(Confluence between Daily R3 and Downtrendline on higher time frames).

 

 

NZD/USD,1H chart,12.01/

 

Price is trending between 30 and 50SMA on 1H chart, in an Uptrend confrimed by the Moving Averages.Bullish Action would break 0,796(daily Pivot) and reach 0,7985(Weekly R2) where from it could retrace or continue further to 0,7995(Daily R1). Bearish retracement would fall under 0,7946(Daily R1), could go all the way to 0,790(confluence between 100SMA and daily R2), break 0,789(Weekly R1 now support) and reach 0,787(200SMA).Higher Probability seems Bearish(retracement).

 

 

You support is very Valuable to me.

 

Thank You,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

12.01 Analysis-1Hour Chart UPDATE - Eur/usd,aud/usd,gbp/usd,usd/chf

EUR/USD,1H Chart,12.01/

 

Price has been moving sideways all Week between 1,280(Weekly Pivot) and 1,265(Support, Daily S1).

 

- Bullish Probability could break the Downtrendline and reach 1,285(Daily R2 confluence with 200SMa on 1H).Above that level stands 1,2948(downtrendline confluence with Weekly R1).

 

- Bearish probability under 1,265(Daily S1), could reach 1,259(Daily S2) or even 1,2536(weekly S1).

 

 

 

AUD/USD,1H chart,12.01/

 

Price has reached 1,034(confluence between Daily R1 and Downtrendline on Higher Time Frames).This Break would signal a trend reversal and a confirmation for the Uptrend on 1H chart.Conflictual signals on different time frames.

 

- Bullish, if price goes beyond 1,0367(Daily R2), it could reach 1,043(Daily R3).

 

- Bearish probability could form a false Breakout and fall under 1,03(Daily Pivot confluence with uptrendline) and 1,027(Daily S1 confluence with 200SMA on 1H).Further 1,0255(Weekly Pivot) and 1,017(Daily S3).

 

 

 

 

GBP/USD,1H Chart,12.01/

 

The most Volatile Major Pair in the last few Days has broken 1,53(confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and Downtrend Channel support) and has retraced back above the Pivot to maybe signal a false breakout.

 

- Higher Probability remains Bearish under 1,530(weekly S1) to reach at least 1,519(confluence between Weekly S2 Pivot and Daily S2).

 

- Bullish Probability would confirm the False Breakout, and move above 1,537(daily Pivot), and break the 1,541(Resistence maybe future confluence with 100SMA).Above that 1,544(daily R1 confluence with downtrendline) is a Strong Key-Level.

 

 

 

 

USD/CHF,1H Chart,12.01/

 

- Bearish Probability under 0,949(Weekly Pivot and Daily S1) would signal a fall to 0,947(200SMA). This Important level could be a strong support for the uptrend on 1 chart. The area between 0,944-0,943(Daily S2 and Uptrendline on higher time frames) is the next support.

 

- Bullish Action would Break 0,9527(Daily Pivot and 30,50 and 100SMA confluence) and reach 0,957(Daily R1) or 0,961(Daily R2).

 

 

 

Your support is very Valuable to me.

 

Thank You,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

The Downgrade roumour Has Already done its Job.

 

Eur/Usd has touched 1,364 Support. Be careful for a Strong upside Move if the Roumour will be deniedmdisclosed. Price could Return to 1,273(Daily S1) or move even higher to 1,278-1,280 (confluence between Daily and Weekly Pivots)

 

Just follow the volumes,

Doctortyby

 

[Tiberiu]

S&P has confirmed the France Downgrade from AAA to AA+, outlook negative (source Standard&Poors)

 

Portugal cut to BB from BBB-, outlook negative

 

Austria cut to AA+ from AAA, outlook negativ

 

Italy cut to BBB+ from A, outlook negative

 

German kept AAA, outlook stable

 

Finland kept AAA rating, outlook negative

 

Spain cut to A from AA-, outlook negative

Editat Ianuarie 13, 2012 de Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

EURO INDEX, weekly View(16-20.01),4Hours chart-

 

 

Price has found support at 100,78(Monthly S1 Pivot) after the S&P Downgrades on Friday, and it is moving in a downtrend confirmed by the 30,50,100 and 200 Moving Averages on 4H chart.

- Bullish Probability could retrace the price above the 30 and 50 SMA, and beak 101,50(confluence between Daily and Weekly Main pivots).The next resistence area is 102,05-102,22area(100SMA, downtrendline and Last Week R1 Pivot).Above that stands 102,75(61,8 fibo maybe confluence with 200SMA).

- Bearish Action without retracement would break 100,20 and reach 99,5(pivots)

 

USD INDEX, Weekly view(16-20.01),4Hours Chart-

 

 

Price has found resistence between 81,5-81,9area(Weekly R1 and Monthly R1) and it is moving in an Uptrend confirmed by the Moving averages.

- Bearish Probability would break 80,95(Daily Pivot maybe confluence with 50SMA), and 80,71(confluence between 100SMA, Weekly Pivot and Uptrendline). The Key-Level 80,00(confluence between 200SMA and weekly R1) could show signals of a Trend reversal on 4H chart.

- Bullish Probability without a retracement would break 81,9(last week R1 Pivot) and reach 82,59(confluence between Monthly and Weekly R2)or even 83,78(WR3)

 

To your success,

 

Tiberiu (Doctortyby)