Technical Analysis - Major Pairs (EUR/USD, AUD/USD. GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/CAD) and more...

[Tiberiu]

USD/CHF - January analysis-Week 02-06.01:

 

On the Daily Chart, price has broken 0,9334(Monthly Pivot confluence with 30 DMA) and could retrace to 0,925(50 DMA confluence with Weekly S2), and further to 0,912(Monthly S1, confluence with 100 DMA).

 

If it will break this key level it will probably move further to 0,886(Monthly S2) and 0,865(200 DMA).

 

Bullish probability could resume after this small retracement above 0,933(Monthly Pivot) and reach 0,96(Monthly R1) and further to 0,981(Monthly R2).

 

 

On 4Hours Chart price has found support on 0,931(weekly S1 coonfluence with 200SMA- very important key level to signal the trend reversal on 4H chart).

 

If price breaks 200SMA, it will reach 0,9239(Weekly S2), further to 0,912(Monthly s1), and 0,9089(weekly S3).

 

Bullish probability to resume the uptrend after this retracement, will break 0,933(Monthly Pivot), reach 0,939(Weekly Pivot),and move upside to 0,946(confluence between downtrendline and Weekly R1). If it will break this key level it could reach 0,9539(Weekly R2).

 

 

To Your success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

USD/JPY - January analysis-Week 02-06.01:

 

On the daily chart price is standing under 100 DMA which hasn't crossed yet with 50 and 30 DMA to signal an secondary Uptrend reversal.

 

- Bearish probability could break 76,55(weekly S1 Pivot) and 76,39(Monthly S1) to reach 75,93(Monthly S2) and 75,55 Main Support.

 

- Bullish probability on daily chart could break 76,77 and move to 77,30-77,32 area (confluence between Weekly and Monthly Main pivots and 100 DMA). Above that 77,77-77,8 area (Weekly r1 confluence with Monthly R1) and 78,16(200 DMA) could signal the Main downtrend reversal on Daily chart.

 

 

On 4H chart 50 SMA cross with 200 SMA signals the uptrend reversal.Another important bearish signal would be 100 SMA and 200 SMA cross.

 

- Bearish probability would break 76,55(Weekly s1), and 76,39(Monthly S1) to reach 76,07(Weekly S2) and 75,93(Monthly S2).

 

- Bullish probability would break 76,77(Daily Pivot) and reach 77,15(confluence between 30 SMA and Daily R2), and move further to 77,3(confluence between Monthly and Weekly Pivots). Next Key Level 77.65(200 SMA confluence with 100 SMA) is an important resistence to resume the uptrend on 4H chart.

 

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

USD/CAD - January analysis-Week 02-06.01:

 

On Daily Chart, price has found support on the secondary uptrendline around 1,01(confluence with Weekly S1 Pivot). Uptrend is confirmed by 50,100, and 200 DMA.

 

- Bullish probability would take price above 1,019(weekly Pivot and 100 DMA) and 1,023(Monthly Pivot confluence with the Main uptrendline resistence and 50 DMA). Next Key-level is 1,033(Weekly R2 confluence with Secondary downtrendline).

 

- Bearish action would break the 1,00(confluence between Weekly S2 and Monthly S1) level and reach 0,997(200DMA). Under that level Main Uptrend reversal may apear.

 

 

On 4H chart we have signals of a secondary downtrend from Moving averages.

 

- Bearish Probability under 1,00 Level(Weekly S2) could reach 0,99(Weekly S3 Pivot).

 

- Higher probability is bullish above 1,019(weekly Pivot) and 1,023(monthly Pivot). Next Key-Level 1,025(confluence between 100 and 200SMA and Weekly R1), to break the Smaller Downtrend.Next 1,033(Weekly r2, confluence with Main downtrendline).

 

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

Editat Ianuarie 4, 2012 de Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

NZD/USD - January analysis-Week 02-06.01:

 

On daily chart the price has broken the downtrendline 0,781(100 DMA).

 

- Bullish probability above 0,79(Weekly R2) will reach 0,7945(Monthly R1) and 0,806(confluence between Weekly R3 and 200 DMA). Above this level 0,812(Monthly R2) is holding price against the downtrend Reversal.

 

- Bearish Probability under 0,781(100 DMA) would break 0,774(Weekly Pivot) and 0,77(Monthly Pivot confluence with the sec. uptrendline), to reach 0,753(Monthly S1).

 

 

On 4H chart, Moving averages(30,50,100 and 200 SMA) signal a clear uptrend.The price has broken the downtrend from the higher time frames and could retrace to the trendline and then resume the secondary uptrend after an 123 formation.

 

- Bullish targets above 0,79(Weekly R2), would be 0,7945(Monthly R1) and 0,80(weekly r3).

 

- Bearish Probability would break 0,774(weekly pivot) and Monthly pivot to reach 0,768 area(confluence 100,200 SMA and Weekly s1, and secondary uptrendline, key level). Under that level uptrend reversal to 0,759(weekly S2) and 0,743(Weekly S3).

 

 

To your Success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

I hope You will have a Great week-end My Friends...

 

I will post the weekly analysis for Week 09-13.01 on Monday for EUR/USD , USD/CHF, USD/JPY , USD/CAD , AUD/USD , NZD/USD , GBP/USD .

 

I will also post analysis for other important pairs, next week.

 

Your comments and feed-back and support are very valuable to me. Thank You!!!

 

To Your success,

 

Doctortyby

 

 

[Tiberiu]

1) Eur/Usd -Weekly View - 09-13. 4H chart and 35 Pips Range Bars

 

The daily candle from Friday was strongly bearish, with a Bearish Volume. That alone could be a Bearish Signal for this Week. On 4 hours chart price has already broken 1,285(Monthly S3 Pivot) and 1,2736(last Week's S2 Pivot).

 

- Bearish Probability would break the next support at 1,265 and move on to 1,251(last week's S3 Pivot). If price will break that level next support will be 1,219(Monthly S3 Pivot).

 

- Bullish Probability could break the downtrendline at 1,285(confluence with Monthly S2 and last Week's S2 Pivots) and move upside to 1,296(last Week's Pivot maybe confluence with 100 SMA) and further to 1,3065(last week's R1 Pivot, confluence with 23,6 fibonacci retracement from October and 200 SMA). A Breakout above this level would signal a possible Trend reversal on 4H chart. The next resistence would be 1,3287(38,2 fibonacci retracement from October).

 

 

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

Editat Ianuarie 8, 2012 de Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

2) GBP/USD, WEEK 09-13: 4 Hours chart and 35 Pips Range Bars Chart

 

The Friday Daily Candle had a strong Bearish Volume. On 4H chart, Gbp/Usd in moving sideways inside a congestion area between 1,5751(Monthly Pivot) and 1,5374(Monthly S1 Pivot).

 

- Higher Probability for this week seems to be Bearish if 1,5374(Monthly s1) level will be Broken. Price could move down under 1,534(last week's S1 Pivot) to break 1,527(Support) and 1,5184(last week's S2 Pivot) to reach 1,5045(Monthly S2). That is a Key Level from Where price could retrace upside.

 

- Bullish Probability will apear if 1,5374(Monthly S1) will hold as support. Price could break 1,552(last week's Main Pivot) to reach the Key Level 1,557(200 SMA confluence with the secondary Downtrendline) and further to 1,5751(Main downtrendline confluence with Monthly Pivot).

 

 

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

Editat Ianuarie 9, 2012 de Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

3) Aud/Usd -Weekly View - 09-13. 4H chart and 35 Pips Range Bars

 

On 4H Chart price is moving inside an Uptrend, and has retraced to 100 SMA close to a secondary uptrendline.

 

Bearish Probability could break 1,016(Monthly Pivot) and 1,012(Weekly S1 confluence with the 200 SMA, the secondary uptrendline and with the secondary downtrendline on higher time frames). Under this important Key-Level price could reach 1,005(Weekly S2) and Move Further to 0,9845(Weekly S3). Be careful to the Main Uptrendline on 4H chart. Next Support 0,9754(Monthly S1).

 

Bullish Action would break 1,0255(Weekly Pivot) and reach 1,0239(Weekly R1 confluence with the Main downtrendline on the higher time frames). This is an important Key-Level. Next support will be 1,046(Weekly R2).

 

 

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

4) Usd/Chf -Weekly View - 09-13. 4H chart and 35 Pips Range Bars

 

The Volume was Bullish on Friday, a good signal to remain long with the uptrend. But we have to Be careful to see the Signals of a Retracement, at least to 100 SMA on 4H chart.

 

Bullish Probability would break the uptrend channel and 0,9645(Monthly R2) level to reach 0,9684(Weekly R1 Pivot). Next resistence 0,9785(weekly R2).

 

Bearish Action could fall under 0,9493(Weekly Pivot) and reach 0,9393(Important Key-Level, confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot, Weekly S1, 100 SMA and Uptrendline). Under that support 0,9333(200 SMA) holds the Uptrend on 4 Hours Chart. Lower support could be 0,92(Weekly S2) and 0,907(Monthly Pivot).

 

 

 

To Your success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

5) USD/CAD -Weekly View - 09-13. 4H chart and 35 Pips Range Bars

 

On 4H chart price has broken an Important Key-Level, 1,0225(confluence between Monthly and Weekly Pivot) and also 1,0245(200 SMA). Be careful, on 35 pips Range Bars(Candles) Chart, 100 SMA and 200 SMA have crossed, that could be an important bullish signal.

 

Bullish probability could break the Downtrendline, after a retracement to 200 SMA. If the Trendline will be broken, 1,0369(Weekly R1 Pivot) and 1,0448(Weekly R2) will be the next resistences.

 

Bearish Probability would fall under 1,0225(Weekly and Monthly Pivots), to reach 1,014(Weekly S1) and to break the Uptrendline around 1,012Level. Downside, the next support is 0,9996(Weekly S2 Support).

 

 

 

To Your success,

 

Doctortyby