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Afișez conținut cu cea mai mare reputație pe 29.07.2011 în toate secțiunile

  1. Am instalat noua versiune de IP.Board. Mai trebuie sa o slefuiesc putin si sa reintegrez o parte dintre functionalitatile dezvoltate pe vechea platforma, dar sper sa va placa si sa folositi cu placere noul forum. Puteti vedea aici ce-i nou: http://community.invisionpower.com/topic/342380-ipboard-320-and-applications-released Stiu ca vor fi si oameni putin reticenti la schimbare (adevarul e ca schimbarea e majora), dar upgrade-ul era necesar pentru a putea integra noi functionalitati pe viitor.
    4 puncte
  2. BEN e dupa colt. Totul e mai complicat ca acum 5 minute. Probabil ca ne pregatim de o noua masiva cadere a Dolarului in fata AUD, NZD, Jen(probabil) Euro, Lira si CAD. Nu m-as mira sa vin din concediu in Septembrie si Euro sa fie la 1.5 Si uite cum in 5 minute, din ce parea un sell off la 1.41 trecem la 1.4399 target. Sansele ca QE3 sa apara au crescut considerabil.
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  3. Americanii au o expresie "when the shit hits the fan"... La cum arata dow jones-ul mai devreme sau mai tarziu metafora cu ventilatorul se va intampla... e doar o chestie de timp pana cand o sa cada la vale. Oricat ar mai tzopai el pe baza optimismului cred ca pana la urma tot da cu nasu de 9600. Rahatul oricum e pe masa... incepe sa devina destul de evident pt toata lumea, mai ramane doar sa vedem momentul adevarului: "when the shit hits the fan"... si atunci scenariul de care ziceati voi acolo e foarte probabil
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  4. daca nu semneaza, CRIZA din 2007 2008 a fost un bob de nisip fata de ce urmeaza. Bate-te peste gura, pacatosule!
    1 punct
  5. alta exemplu Emerging Market Currencies Brace for Correction “It was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair,” begins Charles Dickens’ The Tale of Two Cities. In 2011, the winter of despair was followed by the spring of uncertainty. Due to the earthquake/tsunami in Japan, the continued tribulations of Greece, rising commodity prices, and growing concern over the global economic recovery, volatility in the forex markets has risen, and investors are unclear as to how to proceed. For now at least, they are responding by dumping emerging market currencies. http://www.forexblog.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/Emerging-Market-Currencies-vs-[acronym="Dolar american' class='bbc ipSeoAcronym"]USD[/acronym]-2011.jpg As you can see from the chart above (which shows a cross-section of emerging market forex), most currencies peaked in the beginning of May and have since sold-off significantly. If not for the rally that started off the year, all emerging market currencies would probably be down for the year-to-date, and in fact many of them are anyway. Still, the returns for even the top performers are much less spectacular than in 2009 and 2010. Similarly, the MSCI Emerging Markets Stock Index is down 3.5% in the YTD, and the JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI+) has risen 4.5% (which is reflects declining growth forecasts as much as perceptions of increasing creditworthiness). There are a couple of factors that are driving this ebbing of sentiment. First of all, risk appetite is waning. Over the last couple months, every flareup in the eurozone debt crisis coincided with a sell-off in emerging markets. According to the Wall Street Journal, “Central and eastern European currencies that are seen as being most vulnerable to financial turmoil in the euro zone have underperformed.” Economies further afield, such as Turkey and Russia, have also experienced weakness in their respective currencies. Some analysts believe that because emerging economies are generally more fiscally sound than their fundamental counterparts, that they are inherently less risky. Unfortunately, while this proposition makes theoretical sense, you can be assured that a default by a member of the eurozone will trigger a mass exodus into safe havens – NOT into emerging markets. http://www.forexblog.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/World-Inflation-Chart-2011.jpg While emerging market Asia and South America is somewhat insulated from eurozone fiscal problems. On the other hand, they remain vulnerable to an economic slowdown in China and to rising inflation. Emerging market central banks have avoided making significant interest rate hikes (hence, rising bond prices) – for fear of inviting further capital inflow and stoking currency appreciation – and the result has been rising price inflation. You can see from the chart above that the darkest areas (symbolizing higher inflation) are all located in emerging economic regions. While high inflation is not inherently problematic, it is not difficult to conceive of a downward spiral into hyperinflation. Again, a sudden bout of monetary instability would send investors rushing to the exits. http://www.forexblog.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/[acronym="Piata valutara internationala (Foreign Exchange)' class='bbc ipSeoAcronym"]Forex[/acronym]-Volume-Summer-Slowdown.jpg While most analysts (myself included) remain bullish on emerging markets over the long-term, many are laying off in the short-term. “RBC emerging market strategistNick Chamie says his team has recommended ‘defensive posturing’ to clients since May 5 and isn’t recommending new bullish emerging currency bets right now….HSBC said Thursday that it isn’t recommending outright short positions on emerging market currencies to clients but suggested a more ‘cautious’ and selective approach in making currency bets.” This phenomenon will be exacerbated by the fact that market activity typically slows down in the summer chart above courtesy of Forex Magnates) as traders go on vacation. With less liquidity and an inability to constantly monitor one’s portfolio, traders will be loathe to take on risky positions. http://images.socialtwist.com/2009021910542/button.png
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