Technical Analysis - Major Pairs (EUR/USD, AUD/USD. GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/CAD) and more...

[Tiberiu]

>> 1) EUR/USD - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.

 

 

 

Bearish Probability - We can clearly see an important Key Area between 1.317-1.320 (Key confluence between 200 SMA, Uptrend Line, and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Bearish).

 

If the price will break and confirm that breakout from that area, we could see a downside move to reach 1.308 (Weekly S1 Pivot), further a retracement back to 1.317, and a bearish continuation to 1.304(Monthly S1 Pivot) and even further to 1.298(Important Key Support level, confluence between Weekly S2 Pivot, Main support, and 261.8% Fibonacci from Pitchfork on the higher time frames).

 

Bullish Probability - If the price will find support at 1.317-1.320 area (Key confluence between 200SMA, Uptrend Line and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement), the Uptrend Could continue further a little more to reach first 1.326 (Key confluence between 100 SMA and the Monthly Main Pivot line) and 1.328(Key confluence between 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement bearish and Weekly Main Pivot).

 

This Resistence area is very important for the uptrend continuation futher to reach 1.336-1.338 area (23.6% Fibonacci Retracement and Weekly R1 Pivot). From this Level price could retrace back to 1.326-1.328 area (Weekly Pivot, Monthly Pivot, 38.2% Fibonacci and Uptrend Line Dynamic Support).

 

To Your success,

Doctortyby - Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

- 1) EUR/USD - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/4409cb1e57ed39b3d94f9d62bc31b31b/500_2/image881.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/ffd2fda96b098ee4aa1baa7dd90e0fe4/500_2/image213.jpg

 

 

Bullish Probability - Price has broken the Downtrend Line but has found resistence at 1.319(61.8% Fibonacci, close to the future confluence between 200 and 100 SMAs on the 4 Hours chart). Further the price could retrace back to 1.312 (Weekly main Pivot, confluence with the 50 SMA), and then continue upside to reach 1.324(50% Fibonacci, confuence with weekly R1 Pivot), and rise further to 1.326 (Monthly Main Pivot). The next resistence could be 1.330-1.331 area (Weekly R2 Pivot, confluence with 38.2% Fibonacci).

 

Bearish Probability - Under the weekly Pivot (1.312, confluence with the 50 SMA on the 4 hours chart), the price could find support at 1.306 (Key confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and Downtrend Line, now support), retrace back to the weekly pivot and then continue further dwnside to reach 1.304(Monthly S1 Pivot) and 1.30 Support. Further support could be 1.294(Weekly S2 Pivot).

 

 

 

- 2) USD/Chf - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/cc7e1e1b183c6ef905c81fb7e0e01df5/500_2/image455.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/0ee24ab5c9f7db1fd85aa7caec9f3ca2/500_2/image584.jpg

 

 

 

Bullish Probability - Price has broken the Uptrend line on the 4 Hours chart last week. If it will find support around 0.913 (50% Fibonacci and confluence between 200 and 100 SMAs on the 4 hours Chart), it will rise back up above 0.918 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) and continue bullish above 0.921 (Weekly Main Pivot). Further resistence is 0.925-0.928 area (Key confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot and Uptrend Line, and Weekly R1 Pivot). If this key area will be broken and confirmed, price will move further upside to 0.933 resistence and 0.940(Weekly R2 Pivot).

 

Bearish Probability to confirm the breakout from Friday, will break 0.913 (Key Level confluence between 50% Fibonacci Retracement and 100 and 200 SMAs cross), and it will reach first the 0.908 support area (Key confluence between Monthly Main Pivot, Weekly S1 Pivot and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement). This is an important Key Level to watch for a strong bearish move to reach 0.902(weekly S2 Pivot) and 0.893 Support.

 

 

 

- 3) GBP/USD - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/77357ed7ea9dcafc93c3e9ce8bb80363/500_2/image654.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/255eaf85378f35e0d8ef3b875098d9d3/500_2/image940.jpg

 

 

Bullish Probability - Please keep into Your attention the fact that Cable has been moving sideways in the last few weeks and it is accumulating strenght. Price is standing above 1.585 (Monthly Pivot) at the moment and it could reach 1.592 (Weekly R1 Pivot) very soon. From this resistence level price could retrace back to 1.585(Monthly Pivot) and then continue further upside to break the uptrend line (now dynamic resistence) and reach 1.602 (Weekly R2 Pivot).

 

Bearish Probability - If the price will go back under 1.585 (Monthly Main Pivot), it could find the first support around 1.577-1.579 (Key confluence between Weekly Main Pivot and 100 and 200 SMAs on the 4 Hours Chart), and then maybe move further downside to 1.571 (Monthly S1 Pivot) and 1.567 (Weekly S1 Pivot). If this key area will also be broken price could only be stopped by the 1.56 Support or the Key Level - 1.550 (Key confluence between Monthly S2 Pivot and Weekly S2).

 

 

 

- 4) Aud/USD - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/598e9d7c1c450dbc7d7670705672f042/500_2/image599.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/815495b1e20e50ff33b90932807fd504/500_2/image548.jpg

 

 

Bullish Probability - Price has broken the Downtrend Line on the 4 Hours chart, and has retraced to 1.059 (Key Level, confluence between Monthly S1 Pivot and 61.8 % Fibonacci Retracement). If the price will find support at 1.054 (Weekly Main Pivot, confluence with 50 SMA), the the bullish breakout will move further upside to reach 1.063(confluence between 50% Fibonacci Retracement and 100 SMA), and then 1.067-1.069 Key Area (Key confluence between 38.2 % Fibonacci Retracement, 200 SMA and Weekly R1 Pivot). Further resistence is the 1.072-1.074 area (confluence between Monthly Main Pivot and Weekly R2 Pivot).

 

Bearish Probability - if the Breakout of the 1.059 Level (Key Level confluence between Monthly S1 Pivot and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement) will prove to be a false breakout, then the price will break 1.054 (confluence between Weekly Pivot and 50 SMA) and move further downside to 1.048 (Weekly S1 Pivot) and 1.043 (Monthly S2 Pivot and Support). Further support could be 1.035 (Key confluence between Downtrend Line, now dynamic support and weekly S2 Pivot).

 

Success,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

- 5) USD/JPY - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 20 Pips Range Bars Charts:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/8c79c46dea0b8fd3e9f9b2d4194228a6/500_2/image145.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/06ef671f6901a7bb21affd67ac6d7916/500_2/image885.jpg

 

 

Bullish Probability - The Yen is currently moving in a Parabolic Uptrend. We have to be careful if We want to chase the uptrend, because when it will turn back bearish, it will be a waterfall strong move. If the 83.20 - 83.29 Area (Key confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot, Weekly Main Pivot and 30 SMA) will hold as support then price will move further upside to reach 84.18 - 84.43 Area (Resistence and Weekly R1 Pivot). further resistence could be 85.30-85.41 Area (Key confluence between Monthly R2 Pivot and Weekly R2 Pivot).

 

Bearish Probability - If the 83.29-83.20 Key Support Area (confluence between Weekly Main Pivot, 30 SMa and Monthly R1 Pivot) will be broken and confirmed, price could fall under 82.82 (confluence between 50 SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement) to reach first the 82.22-82.40 Key Area (confluence between 50% Fibonacci, Weekly S1 Pivot and Uptrend Line support). Next Support could be 81.97 (Key Level, confluence between 100 SMa and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement). Further support could be the Key Level that holds the uptrend on the 4 Hours chart, 81.99 (Key confluence between 200 SMA and Weekly S2 Pivot).

 

 

 

- 6) USD/Cad - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 20 Pips Range Bars Charts:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/3225953bdc0b7ebb9e68566ce9e9cbaf/500_2/image548.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/11fef479efb88c07ded40531743a0d04/500_2/image217.jpg

 

 

 

 

- 7) Nzd/USD - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/317a5dcab9823a626bf031857c263f0f/500_2/image265.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/4dcc02caa6fd18022d99b09f19d99704/500_2/image279.jpg

[Tiberiu]

1)Eur/Usd-Daily chart (23.04 Update)-

 

Bullish probability - KEY LEVELS to watch

 

>> 1.321 (1st level Key-Level, the last Resistence, confluence with the 50 DMA)<<,

 

>> 1.326 (2nd level Key-Level, confluence between the Main Monthly Pivot and the Main Downtrend dynamic Resistence Trendline, and Secondary Uptrend dynamic Trendline/ now Resistence)<<,

 

>> 1.340 (next resistence)<<,

 

>> 1.350 (2nd Level Key Level, confluence between the Monthly R1 Pivot, the 200 DMA dynamic resistence and the Resistence from February)<<,

 

>> 1.377 (Monthly R2 Pivot)<<

 

 

 

Bearish probability - KEY LEVELS to watch

 

>> 1.316 (1st level Key-Level, confluence between the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 30 DMA support)<<,

 

>> 1.312 (100 DMA)<<,

 

>> 1.306-1.304 area (2nd level Key Area, confluence between the Monthly S1 Pivot, 50% Fibonacci Retracement and the Support of the congestion area from the last 2 weeks)<<,

 

>> 1.300-1.297 (2nd level Key-Level, Hystorical level, support from 15th of March and 16th of February, and the 38.2 Fibonacci Retracement)<<,

 

>> 1.275-1.270 (Monthly S2 Pivot and the support from 16th of January)<<

 

 

To Your success,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

1) Eur/Usd - Daily Chart (02.05.2012) - Monthly view,

 

a) - Bullish probability - Key Levels to watch:

 

- 1.316 - 1.320 area - confluence between the Main Monthly Pivot, Main Downtrend line and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement (2nd level Key Area),

 

- 1.328 - confluence between the 200 DMA and 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement (1st level Key Level),

 

- 1.341 - confluence between the Monthly R1 Pivot, resistence from the 1st of April and the Secondary Uptrend line (2nd level Key Level),

 

- 1.349 - Resistence from the 1st of March (simple Key Level),

 

- 1.359 - Monthly R2 Pivot (simple Key Level).

 

 

b) - Bearish probability - Key Levels to watch:

 

- 1.303 - 1.306 area - confluence between the Monthly S1 Pivot, the supports from the 15th of March and 16th of April, and 50% Fibonacci Retracement (2nd level Key Area),

 

- 1.295 - 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement, confluence with the support from the 16th of February (1st level Key Level),

 

- 1.282 - Monthly S2 Pivot (simple Key Level),

 

- 1.264 - 1.262 area - confluence between the Monthly S3 Pivot and the support from the 15th of January (1st level Key Level).

 

 

Probability Charts:

 

Bullish and Bearish Probabilities - Eur/Usd - Daily Chart :

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/0ed780da68d6d19eed2188cd89d3a16e/500_2/image402.jpg

 

 

Mixed Probabilities - Eur/Usd - Daily Chart :

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/da3e56ec086306e73b0ea4e06f59898b/500_2/image595.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/a1d3cf546927bd0416e4deaf3955f82d/500_2/image815.jpg

 

To your success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

2) Eur/Usd - 4 Hours Chart (02.05.2012), Weekly view,

 

a) - Bullish probability - Key Levels to watch:

 

- 1.320 - Key confluence between the Monthly Main Pivot, the Weekly Main Pivot, and the 200 SMA on the 4 Hours chart (2nd level Key Level),

 

- 1.323 - 38.2 % Fibonacci Retracement from the last swing up on the 4 hours chart (simple Key Level),

 

- 1.329 - 1.330 area - confluence between the Weekly R1 Pivot, the 23.6% fibonacci Retracement and the Main Downtrend line and secondary Uptrend line cross (2nd level Key Level),

 

- 1.337 - 1.338 area - Key confluence between the Weekly R2 Pivot and the Resistence from the beginning of April (1st level Key Level),

 

- 1.347 - Weekly R3 Pivot (simple Key Level).

 

 

b) - Bearish probability - Key Levels to watch:

 

- 1.314 - Key confluence between the Weekly S1 Pivot and the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement from the last swing up (1st level Key Level),

 

- 1.304 - 1.303 area - confluence between the Weekly S2 Pivot and the Monthly S1 Pivot (1st level Key Level),

 

- 1.300 - 1.297 area - confluence between the historical level, the Support from the 16th of April (2nd level Key Level).

 

 

Bullish and Bearish Probabilities - Eur/Usd - 4 Hours Chart :

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/b0f75535d7f98d7ad5435509108f2139/500_2/image215.jpg

 

To your success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

3) Gbp/Usd - Daily chart (02.05.2012) - Monthly view,

 

a) - Bullish probability - Key Levels to watch:

 

- 1.611 - 1.616 area - the Monthly Main Pivot, confluence with the Support from October and November 2011 (1st Level Key Level),

 

- 1.641 - Monthly R1 Pivot (simple Key Level),

 

- 1.660 - Monthly R2 Pivot (simple Key Level).

 

 

b) - Bearish probability - Key Levels to watch:

 

- 1.592 - 1.589 area - Key confluence between the Monthly S1 Pivot, the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement from the last swing up, and the support from February (2nd level Key Level),

 

- 1.577 - confluence between the 50% Fibonacci Retracement and the 100 and 200 DMAs crossover (1st level Key Level),

 

- 1.564 - 1.562 area - Key confluence between the Monthly S2 Pivot and the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement, and the Supports from February and March (2nd level Key Level),

 

- 1.542 - confluence between the Monthly S3 Pivot and the Supports from November and December 2011 (2nd level Key Level).

 

 

Probability Charts:

 

Bullish and Bearish Probabilities - Gbp/Usd - Daily Chart :

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c90066edd18d74cf2999c217f9992839/500_2/image385.jpg

 

 

Mixed Probabilities - Gbp/Usd - Daily Chart :

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/81bd65eed26c654dadfce116d5dd4de6/500_2/image555.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c49c9f3ca7ee94501ef331862376a68a/500_2/image760.jpg

 

To your success,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

4) Gbp/Usd - 4 Hours chart (02.05.2012) - Weeklly view,

 

a) - Bullish probability - Key Levels to watch:

 

- 1.621 - the Weekly Main Pivot (simple Key Level),

 

- 1.630 - the last Resistence (simple Key Level),

 

- 1.634 - the Weekly R1 Pivot (simple Key Level),

 

- 1.642 - confluence between the Weekly R2 Pivot and the Monthly R1 Pivot (1st level Key Level).

 

 

b) - Bearish probability - Key Levels to watch:

 

- 1.614 - 1.611 - confluence between the Weekly S1 Pivot, the Monthly Main Pivot and the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement from the last swing up (2nd level Key Level),

 

- 1.606 - confluence between the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, the Support from the 30th of March, and the 100 SMA (2nd level Key Level),

 

- 1.600 - Key confluence between the historical support, the Weekly S2 Pivot, the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement, and the 200 SMA (2d level Key Level),

 

- 1.594 - 1.593 area - confluence between the Monthly S1 Pivot and the Weekly S3 Pivot (1st level Key Level).

 

 

Bullish and Bearish Probabilities - Gbp/Usd - 4 Hours Chart :

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/3f1521c5f0ea2adb3808ad22cc765dc2/500_2/image944.jpg

 

To your success,

Thank you for your support,

 

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

1). - a) Eur/Usd - 4 Hours Chart (09.05.2012) - Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.300 - 1.303 area - confluence between the hystorical level and support from 16th of April and the Monthly S1 Pivot, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 1.307 - 1.308 area - confluence between the main Weekly Pivot and the Friday close which formed a Gap on Sunday, (1st Level Key Level),
• 1.318 - 1.320 area - Important confluence between the Monthly Main Pivot, the Weekly R1 Pivot and the 200 SMA, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 1.325 - dynamic resistence from the Downtrend line,
• 1.339 - 1.341 - Important resistence, confluence between the Monthly R1 Pivot, the Weekly R2 Pivot, the two dynamic resistences from the secondary Uptrend lines, and the Resistence from 3rd of April, (2nd Level Key Level).

1). - b) Eur/Usd - 4 hours Chart (09.05.2012) - Bearish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.295 - Last Support from Sunday,
• 1.285 - 1.282 area - confluence between the Weekly S1 Pivot and the Monthly S2 Pivot.

Probability Scenarios Charts:

• Bullish and Bearish Probabilities:

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/1ede480b4cf665e9e950440cea54ab88/500_2/image759.jpg

 

• Mixed Probabilities:

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/024127555b182d73968beddf4b3b1bd9/500_2/image382.jpg

 

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/b01544c15eb570db2046208b2eea9c8f/500_2/image839.jpg

 

Multumesc pentru suport,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

2). - a) Gbp/Usd - 4 Hours Chart (09.05.2012) - Bullish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.618 - confluence between the Weekly main Pivot and the 30 and 50 SMAs, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 1.624 - confluence between the Weekly R1 Pivot and the Resistence from the 1st and 2nd of May, (1st Level Key Level),
• 1.630 - hystorical level and resistence from the 30th of April,
• 1.636 - Weekly R2 Pivot.

2). - b) Gbp/Usd - 4 Hours Chart (09.05.2012) - Bearish Probability Key Levels:

• 1.611 - confluence between the Monthly main Pivot and the 100 SMA, (1st Level Key Level)
• 1.605 - confluence between the Weekly S1 Pivot and the support from the 3rd of April, (1st Level Key Level),
• 1.597 - 1.600 area - Important confluence between the Weekly S2 Pivot, the 200 SMA, the hystorical level and the support from the 13th of April and 27th of March, (2nd Level Key Level),
• 1.592 - Monthly S1 Pivot,
• 1.587 - Weekly S3 Pivot,
• 1.582 - Supports from the 5th, 10th and 16th of April. (2nd Level Key Level).

Probability Charts:

• Bullish and Bearish Probabilities:

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/647387b121269f5d03494bf1aa956444/500_2/image484.jpg

 

• Mixed Probabilities:

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/676cb3f6acfc62d55c7ea5ec62c4443e/500_2/image111.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c1e008b0f8bab772b1c7e3cf13b5112d/500_2/image285.jpg

 

Multumesc pentru suport,

Doctortyby