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Insiders Selling At A Furious Pace
Last week there was a report that corporate insiders were selling at a faster rate that at any time since October, 2007 -- right near the top of the market. Well, the market's only raged higher since then and insider selling is only getting more intsense.
The Pragmatic Capitalist has aggregated recent insider transactions. As you can see from his data collected (unfortunately the tables won't fit here, do click over), insider sales dwarf insider buys both in frequency and in volume. Insiders are selling their stocks in multi-million dollar blocks, while the few buys are much smaller.
If nothing else, it means that a lot of executives probably saw the abyss (a violent drop from the ranks of the wealthy to poor) and want to de-risk to ensure that no matter what happens to their stock, they've taken some skin out of the game.
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THE MYTHOLOGY OF MONEY. THE STORY OF POWER
By Stephen A. Zarlenga
CH. 9- THE RISE OF CAPITALISM IN AMSTERDAM
THE AMSTERDAM STOCK EXCHANGE
The Amsterdam Stock Exchange was built in 1611, modeled on that of Antwerp from 1531. Commodities as well as stocls were traded, with specific areas (“pits”) designated for trading in different items.
Amsterdam from 1600s onwards was the direct origin of our present exchange mecanisms and procedures. She got them from Antwerp, which is said to have gotten them from the Levant.
In the 1980s and 90s attention often focused on the “innovations” known as “derivative products”: stock market indexes and futures and options contracts based on them. Nearly all of these innovations were in use on the great Amsterdam Stock Exchange in the 1600s and 1700s.
We find the same types of contracts, the same general rules of trading, the same methods to cheating the public and of manipulationg markets!
The Exchange offered many type of transactions:
- Stock sold for immediate cash.
- Stock sold on margin up to 80%.
- Monthly settlement dates – the 20th of the month, payment due the 25th.
- Future settlement dates.
- Put and call options, with premium payable immediately at the Bank of Amsterdam.
- The “DUCATOON” – an imaginary share representing 1/10 of a Dutch East India Company Share, with a monthly settlement price.
Agreements on trades were signaled by handshakes or hands claps.
Trading in various items could be extremely thin or very hectic. During speculative periods “Feverish buying and selling and gambling were continued until 4 o’clock in the morning in the French Coffe House” adjacent to the Exchange, wrote historian Charles Wilson
CHETING THE PUBLIC
As with today’s Exchanges, cheating was an inseparable part of the Amsterdam Stock Exchange’s activity, and as today, it occurred on three levels:
a) Broker’s abuse of client’s orders
b) Behind the scenes manipulation of prices
c) Using structural faults in market mechanism to fleece participans.
BROKERS ABUSE OF CLIENT'S ORDERS
There were two types of brokers on the Amsterdam Exchange: officially appointed or “sworn” brokers, of which there were 375 Christians and 20 Jews; and more than 700 unsworn brokers, or “free” brokers, who were mainly Jewish. The free brokers were somewhat wild and not proscribed by law from certain practises that took advantage of the clients.
In particular, the sworn brokers were forbidden the engage in “dual trading”. This means they were to execute orders for their users accounts but were not to trade for their own accounts. The free brokers traded their own accounts as well, and would “front run” their clients orders, as well as orders that they could see entering the pit through the sworn brokers.
“Dual trading” was an important issue in the commodity trading scandals of the late 1980s in America. Though public prosecutors suggested forbidding it, the public never undertood the process. The politically powerful commodity Exchanges, with their large contributions, blocked legislation against it.
Dual trading should be banned because it represent a conflict of interest. If a broker haolding a client’s order to buy or sell, is allowed to trade for his own account at the same price, or just in “front” of it, to “front run” it, as it is called on the Exchanges, the market mechanism ceases to function in a fair manner. For the “front running” broker has been given an unfair advantage over other market participants.
For example, suppose a broker has an order to buy at a certain price. If he “front runs” it and before filling the order buys for his own account at, or just above the order price, he then controls the client’s order which will buy it back from him, that is, protect his trade from a loss. The same holds true for selling in front of a clients sell order. Just knowing of the order’s existance gives a big advantage.
This is serious because with Members’ margin requirements (the cash deposit they must put up) being only about 1% the front running brokers have a posibility of a great gain in a short time period with almost no posibility of loss. If the broker enters and exists a trade on the same day, the margin requirements are generally even lower than 1%.
The client loses the oportunity the gain, where his order is never filled and the market rises or falls from his order point. Second, if the broker let the order get filled because he can see that the market is going to go through it anyway, the client’s order is filled in an obviously (to the broker) losing situation.
Third, any market that systematically gives an advantage to particular participants over time will harm the relative positions of all others. If some participants can trade with little or no risk, over time everyone else will be hurt.
Some modern exchanges put limitations on brokers trading for their own accounts, but they are not always effective because the brokers use what are called “bag men” who they signal to do the offending trade; while they hold back the client’s order, to protect to accomplice’s trading position, and they divide the profits later.
Efforts made by Amsterdam Stock Exchange to curb dual trading and front running were not effective, as they have not been in modern times. Computerized trading, as opposed to an “open outcry” system, would largely solve this problem (and perhaps introduce a diffent form of cheating by the computer literati).
MANIPULATING MARKETS: BEAR RAIDS
In 1688 Joseph De La Vega, a Jewish stockbroker in Amsterdam, wrote a book called Confusione de Confusiones, vividly describing exchange activity. He gave a detailed roadmap of how manipulators would launce a bear campaign (to lower prices) , outlining 12 stratagems, which I’ll summarize:
At the beginning of the campaign the syndicate borrows all the money available at the exchange and makes it “apparent” it wishes to buy (!) shares with the money. When they start their campaign to drive prices down, the bears actually begin with purcases (which raise prices) and take all items offered! Then, having driven prices up as high as they can, they start selling:
5th stratagem – sell the largest possible quantity of call options
6th stratagem – buy the largest possible quantity of put options
7th stratagem – loan the bulls money, taking their shares as collateral, then sell their shares.
8th stratagem – spread false news by droping a letter: “They have a letler writen and arrange to have the letter dropped as if by chance at the right spot”.
9th stratagem – They get some new person to sell, and finance his loss, if any, in the belief, that anything new gets more attention.
10th stratagem – Whisper loud enough to be heard.
12th stratagem – Sell government bonds to shock the general situation.
The manipulation of news was also important: “The small boats which were supposed to meet the Enghish ships and speed back to harbour with the news, in reality merely took a turn outside the harbour and having invented their plausible gossip, came back and sold itto the feverish crowds of speculators,” wrote Wilson.
USING STRUCTURAL MARKET FLAWS TO FLEECE PARTICIPANTS
The “ducatoon” trading introduced structural flaws in the market. They were not real shares but were fictious or imaginary units, kept as account book entries by a cashier. Each Ducatoon represented 1/10 of the value of a Dutch East India Company share.
The Ducatoons were a monthy phenomenom with a new series of Ducatoons each month. They attracted the small investors ans speculators, and the market makers were mainly Jewisj brokers. While each Ducatoon represented 1/10 of a DEIC share, the market price of the Ducatoons fluctuated independently and the only time they were officially valued at the 1/10 of a DEIC share was on settlement day, the first of each month at 1 pm, as signaled on the floor of the Exchange by an appointed person “raising the stick”. This settlement price would the determine whether speculators had made or lost money on thei Ducatoons and accounts would be settled, debiting and crediting accounts.
Readers familiar with modern stock index futures will immediately see the Ducatoon was similar to a stock index future, except in was based on only one company, and for one month at a time; whreas stock indexes are based on index of many companies, and futures expirations are more extended.
The same type of riskless arbitrage was engaged in then as show. The market makers in the Ducatoon would sell the Ducatoons to speculators at a premium over the DEIC stock, and purchase the underlying stock to guarantee a profit for themselves on expiration day. Alternatively, they would purchase the Ducatoons at a discount, and sell short the underlying DEIC shares. “The members initiate action only when they can foresee its result so that apart from unlucky incidents, they can reckon on a raher sure success,” wrote De La Vega.
Such trading is structurally defective because it allows the price of an item (the Ducatoon, or index future) to be artificially determined by the supply and demand of an entirely separate item (the DEIC share or in modern times the stock index). When a large enough position (open interest) is established in the artificiallly dependent item (the Ducatoon or index future), it will attract and encourage market manipulators to attempt to fix or rig the independent price determining item at the moment of price determination (expiration date or settlement time). The one factor that makes this manipulation and cheating possible or easy is that the dependent contract is settled for cash rather than for delivery of the underlyng item.
In modern commodity markets this structural defect is unique to futures contracts settled in cash – primarily the stock indexes and financials. For example, a corn futures contract couldn’t be so easily manipulated because of the threat that those who were “long“ corn futures might demand delivery of corn. Supplying corn on a particular date, to fulfill the contract, is a completely different matter then coming up with cash. Cash can be always be borrowed in an emergency, allowing the manipulators wide leeway in their machinations.
The Ducatoon was settled for cash, not the underlying DEIC shares, making the Ducatoon the first known example of this type of structurally flawed futures instrument which have now been made easier to manipulate by the existance of cash-settled options on the futures. These types of contracts are primarily a gambling activity and could be outlawed whitout loss to society.
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o gasiti aici
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By Ellen Hodgson Brown
This book exposes important, often obscured truths about our money system and our economic past and future. Our money is not what we have been led to believe. The creation of money has been "privatized," or taken over by a private money cartel. It is all done by sleight of hand, concealed by economic double-speak. "Web of Debt" unravels the deception and presents a crystal clear picture of the financial abyss towards which we are heading, pointing out all the signposts. Then it explores a workable alternative, one that was tested in colonial America and is grounded in the best of American economic thought, including the writings of Benjamin Franklin, Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln. If you care about financial security, your own or the nation's, you should read this book.
Chapter 33
MAINTAINING THE ILLUSION: RIGGING FINANCIAL MARKETS
The Dow is a dead banana republic dictator in full military uniform
propped up in the castle window with a mechanical lever moving the
cadaver’s arm, waving to the Wall Street crowd.
– Michael Bolser, Midas (April 2004)1
While people, businesses and local and federal governments
are barreling toward bankruptcy, market bulls continue to
insist that all is well; and for evidence, they point to the robust stock
market. It’s uncanny really. Even when there is every reason to think
the market is about to crash, somehow it doesn’t. Bill Murphy, editor
of an informative investment website called Le Metropole Cafe,
described this phenomenon in an October 2005 newsletter using an
analogy from The Wizard of Oz:
Every time it looks like the stock market is on the verge of collapse,
it comes back with a vengeance. In May for example, there
were rumors of derivative problems and hedge fund problems,
which set up the monster rally into the summer. The London
bombings . . . same deal. Now we just saw Katrina and Rita
precipitate rallies. There must be some mechanism at work, like the
Wizard of Oz behind a curtain, pulling on strings and pushing
buttons.2
What sort of mechanism? John Crudele writes that the cat was let
out of the bag by George Stephanopoulos, President Clinton’s senior
adviser on policy and strategy, in the chaos following the World Trade
Center attacks. Stepanopoulos blurted out on “Good Morning
America” on September 17, 2001:
“[T]he Fed in 1989 created what is called the Plunge Protection
Team, which is the Federal Reserve, big major banks,
representatives of the New York Stock Exchange and the other
exchanges, and there – they have been meeting informally so
far, and they have kind of an informal agreement among major banks
to come in and start to buy stock if there appears to be a problem.
“They have, in the past, acted more formally.
“I don’t know if you remember, but in 1998, there was a crisis
called the Long Term Capital crisis. It was a major currency
trader and there was a global currency crisis. And they, at the
guidance of the Fed, all of the banks got together when that started
to collapse and propped up the currency markets. And they have
plans in place to consider that if the stock markets start to fall.”3
The Plunge Protection Team (PPT) is formally called the Working
Group on Financial Markets (WGFM). Created by President Reagan’s
Executive Order 12631 in 1988 in response to the October 1987 stock
market crash, the WGFM includes the President, the Secretary of the
Treasury, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the Chairman of the
Securities and Exchange Commission, and the Chairman of the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission. Its stated purpose is to enhance
“the integrity, efficiency, orderliness, and competitiveness of our
Nation’s financial markets and [maintain] investor confidence.” According
to the Order:
To the extent permitted by law and subject to the availability of
funds therefore, the Department of the Treasury shall provide
the Working Group with such administrative and support
services as may be necessary for the performance of its functions.4
In plain English, taxpayer money is being used to make the markets
look healthier than they are. Treasury funds are made available,
but the WGFM is not accountable to Congress and can act from behind
closed doors. It not only can but it must, since if investors were
to realize what was going on, they would not fall for the bait. “Maintaining
investor confidence” means keeping investors in the dark about
how shaky the market really is.
Crudele tracked the shady history of the PPT in his June 2006 New
York Post series:
Back during a stock market crisis in 1989, a guy named Robert
Heller – who had just left the Federal Reserve Board – suggested
that the government rig the stock market in times of dire
emergency. . . . He didn’t use the word “rig” but that’s what he
meant.
Proposed as an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal, it’s a seminal
argument that says when a crisis occurs on Wall Street “instead
of flooding the entire economy with liquidity, and thereby
increasing the danger of inflation, the Fed could support the
stock market directly by buying market averages in the futures
market, thus stabilizing the market as a whole.”
The stock market was to be the Roman circus of the twenty-first
century, distracting the masses with pretensions of prosperity. Instead
of fixing the problem in the economy, the PPT would just “fix”
the investment casino. Crudele wrote:
Over the next few years . . . whenever the stock market was in
trouble someone seemed to ride to the rescue. . . . Often it
appeared to be Goldman Sachs, which just happens to be where
[newly-appointed Treasury Secretary] Paulson and former
Clinton Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin worked.
For obvious reasons, the mechanism by which the PPT has ridden
to the rescue isn’t detailed on the Fed’s website; but some analysts
think they know. Michael Bolser, who belongs to an antitrust group
called GATA (the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee), says that PPT
money is funneled through the Fed’s “primary dealers,” a group of
favored Wall Street brokerage firms and investment banks. The device
used is a form of loan called a “repurchase agreement” or “repo,”
which is a contract for the sale and future repurchase of Treasury
securities. Bolser explains:
It may sound odd, but the Fed occasionally gives money
[“permanent” repos] to its primary dealers (a list of about thirty
financial houses, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, etc). They never
have to pay this free money back; thus the primary dealers will
pretty much do whatever the Fed asks if they want to stay in the
primary dealers “club.”
The exact mechanism of repo use to support the DOW is
simple. The primary dealers get repos in the morning issuance
. . . and then buy DOW index futures (a market that is far smaller
than the open DOW trading volume). These futures prices then
drive the DOW itself because the larger population of investors
think the “insider” futures buyers have access to special
information and are “ahead” of the market. Of course they
don’t have special information . . . only special money in the form
of repos.
The money used to manipulate the market is “Monopoly” money,
funds created from nothing and given for nothing, just to prop up the
market. Not only is the Dow propped up but the gold market is held
down, since gold is considered a key indicator of inflation. If the gold
price were to soar, the Fed would have to increase interest rates to
tighten the money supply, collapsing the housing bubble and forcing
the government to raise inflation-adjusted payments for Social Security.
Most traders who see this manipulation going on don’t complain,
because they think the Fed is rigging the market to their advantage.
But gold investors have routinely been fleeced; and the PPT’s secret
manipulations have created a stock market bubble that will take
everyone’s savings down when it bursts, as bubbles invariably do.
Unwary investors are being induced to place risky bets on a nag on its
last legs. The people become complacent and accept bad leadership,
bad policies and bad laws, because they think it is all “working”
economically.
GATA’s findings were largely ignored until they were confirmed
in a carefully researched report released by John Embry of Sprott Asset
Management of Toronto in August 2004.6 An update of the report
published in The Asia Times in 2005 included an introductory comment
that warned, “the secrecy and growing involvement of privatesector
actors threatens to foster enormous moral hazards.” Moral hazard
is the risk that the existence of a contract will change the way the
parties act in the future; for example, a firm insured for fire may take
fewer fire precautions. In this case, the hazard is that banks are taking
undue investment and lending risks, believing they will be bailed
out from their folly because they always have been in the past. The
comment continued:
Major financial institutions may be acting as de facto agencies of the
state, and thus not competing on a level playing field. There are
signs that repeated intervention in recent years has corrupted the
system.7
In a June 2006 article titled “Plunge Protection or Enormous Hidden
Tax Revenues,” Chuck Augustin was more blunt, writing:
. . . Today the markets are, without doubt, manipulated on
a daily basis by the PPT. Government controlled “front
companies” such as Goldman-Sachs, JP Morgan and many others
collect incredible revenues through market manipulation. Much
of this money is probably returned to government coffers,
however, enormous sums of money are undoubtedly skimmed
by participating companies and individuals.
The operation is similar to the Mafia-controlled gambling
operations in Las Vegas during the 50’s and 60’s but much more
effective and beneficial to all involved. Unlike the Mafia, the
PPT has enormous advantages. The operation is immune to
investigation or prosecution, there [are] unlimited funds available
through the Treasury and Federal Reserve, it has the ultimate
insider trading advantages, and it fully incorporates the spin
and disinformation of government controlled media to sway
markets in the desired direction. . . . Any investor can imagine
the riches they could obtain if they knew what direction stocks,
commodities and currencies would move in a single day,
especially if they could obtain unlimited funds with which to
invest! . . . [T]he PPT not only cheats investors out of trillions of
dollars, it also eliminates competition that refuses to be “bought”
through mergers. Very soon now, only global companies and
corporations owned and controlled by the NWO elite will exist.
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BANK STRESS-TEST RESULTS TERRIBLE
The Turner Radio Network has obtained "stress test" results for the top 19 Banks in the USA.
The stress tests were conducted to determine how well, if at all, the top 19 banks in the USA could withstand further or future economic hardship.
When the tests were completed, regulators within the Treasury and inside the Federal Reserve began bickering with each other as to whether or not the test results should be made public. That bickering continues to this very day as evidenced by this "main stream media" report.
The Turner Radio Network has obtained the stress test results. They are very bad. The most salient points from the stress tests appear below.
1) Of the top nineteen (19) banks in the nation, sixteen (16) are already technically insolvent.
2) Of the 16 banks that are already technically insolvent, not even one can withstand any disruption of cash flow at all or any further deterioration in non-paying loans.
3) If any two of the 16 insolvent banks go under, they will totally wipe out all remaining FDIC insurance funding.
4) Of the top 19 banks in the nation, the top five (5) largest banks are under capitalized so dangerously, there is serious doubt about their ability to continue as ongoing businesses.
5) Five large U.S. banks have credit exposure related to their derivatives trading that exceeds their capital, with four in particular - JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, HSBC Bank America and Citibank - taking especially large risks.
6) Bank of America`s total credit exposure to derivatives was 179 percent of its risk-based capital; Citibank`s was 278 percent; JPMorgan Chase`s, 382 percent; and HSBC America`s, 550 percent. It gets even worse: Goldman Sachs began reporting as a commercial bank, revealing an alarming total credit exposure of 1,056 percent, or more than ten times its capital!
7) Not only are there serious questions about whether or not JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citibank, Wells Fargo, Sun Trust Bank, HSBC Bank USA, can continue in business, more than 1,800 regional and smaller institutions are at risk of failure despite government bailouts!
The debt crisis is much greater than the government has reported. The FDIC`s "Problem List" of troubled banks includes 252 institutions with assets of $159 billion. 1,816 banks and thrifts are at risk of failure, with total assets of $4.67 trillion, compared to 1,568 institutions, with $2.32 trillion in total assets in prior quarter.
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NFA has received notice that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has approved new NFA Compliance Rule 2-43 regarding forex orders. The prohibition on carrying offsetting transactions will be effective for any positions established after May 15, 2009. The requirements regarding price adjustments will become effective as to all customer orders executed after June 12, 2009.
Offsetting Transactions
New Compliance Rule 2-43(b) requires an FDM to offset positions in a customer account on a first-in, first-out basis, thereby prohibiting a trading practice commonly referred to as “hedging.” A customer may, however, direct the FDM to offset same-size transactions even if there are older transactions of a different size. Rule 2-43(b) is effective for any positions established after May 15, 2009. Offsetting positions that were established prior to the effective date do not have to be liquidated, but once either position is closed out after May 15, it may not be reestablished as a hedge.
You can read more about this news in these links:
http://www.nfa.futures.org/news/news...ArticleID=2273
http://www.nfa.futures.org/news/PDF/CFTC/C...eAdj_112408.pdf
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This only affect US traders and brokers.
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Se pare ca pinbarul daily din scenariul meu a fost un pinbar valid. Un trade long frumos de peste 100 de pips intr-o zi care nu anuntza nimic . Astept testarea lui TP2 incepand cu 1.3330.Posibil sa inchid 50 % din pozitie in acea zona. Depinde ce va spune price action acolo!
Tocmai ca nu anunta nimic.
Volatilitate pe volum zero. Azi e zi de Pasti. Pe nicaieri in lumea asta nu se tranzactioneaza.
Momente perfecte pt. fragezirea mieilor ...
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The Hidden History of Money & New World Order Usury Secrets
History of how the current enslaving monetary system, in which Banklords get a credit monopoly (which gives them the power to create unlimited money from nothing at no liability to themselves because it is redeemable for goods or services produced by anyone forced to accept the private Federal Reserve dollar currency notes and cheques) and use our tax system to collect the fraudulent interest was brought about by the forces of banking family dynasties working to establish a tyrannical New World Order through a series of wars, depressions, deficits, propaganda and crimes in which good politicians are murdered or removed by the New World Order (NWO) mafias (CIA, Mossad, MI5/6, Vatican, Jesuits, CFR, Bilderbergers, Trilateral C., Knights, etc). How ancient pagan cults are elitist-made inventions designed to allow their priesthood (Pharisees) to con value out of the public and how they are leading everyone back towards feudal fascist enslavement.
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Dacă o mai ţine criza economică tot aşa, vor mai rămâne doar două bănci: banca de spermă şi banca de sânge.
Când vor fuziona, noua bancă se va numi "The Bloody Fucking Bank"
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MANIPULAREA LA STIRI
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Mp -- News Trading For Newbs !
NEWS TRADING !
this may NOT happen every single time, USUALLY if there is multiple news from different countries being released, but if interested in the US market, watch for what direction the price is moving BEFORE THE NEWS is released, including the night before, and then understand that if the FINAL trade will be LONG, the banks are pushing the price DOWN so as to have the greatest runup possible and vice versa and they will continue to move the price down, even if the news is GOOD, until it hits the H1 support level ---- if the price is going up, it will continue going up to the H1 top resistance level, and then the banks will SHORT the danged thing all the way down !
Once you look for it, its pretty danged simple to see whats going on, and you can easily work the first position for at least 30 minutes and the second position for the rest of the day.
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Mp --- More On Trading News, For Those Who Missed The Last One!
one more post of mine on a "trading news" thread that i thought of interest.
IT WORKS but you should try it a few times on a demo to get your finger reflexes down and to appease any squeemies you gots about doing this.
TRY THIS ! (on a demo or on paper)
understand that the banks have tons of analysts working on this every second, as well as some well placed "moles" (well, thats supposition, but i know i would do it if i ran a central bank) so they have a pretty danged good idea of what the news is, what effect it will have, and trade accordingly.
the action of the price before the news release will give away what will happen, and you only need WATCH a few times to confirm what i say.
if the news will be GOOD, the price DROPS during the night and definitely before the news and will continue dropping for the first half hour after the release with everyone scratching their heads because the news was GOOD.
What happens is THEN, once the H1 or H4 support is reached (usually around 10am est) THE MARKET REVERSES and UP SHE GOES, just as if it was all planned (cause IT WAS all planned)
reverse the situation for BAD news, and you can now see why i LOVE news, dont worry about slippage cause im already in the trade before the news release, take the REAL direction trade after the half hour, when things slow down, and set my tp points based on the visible support and resistance areas on the higher timeframes.
IF YOU WATCH, and take note of what happens and how the prices are moved, you will be AMAZED at how simple it is to trade news, but if you try to catch the moves, once theyre moving, you get the wide spreads, slippage and all the other stuff everyone complains about !
Before you try it, DEMO the sucker and see if you agree with me or want to throw stones ---- betcha there be NO stones !
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CE SE INTAMPLA LA STIRI???
Luati aminte!!!
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this may NOT happen every single time, USUALLY if there is multiple news from different countries being released, but if interested in the US market, watch for what direction the price is moving BEFORE THE NEWS is released, including the night before, and then understand that if the FINAL trade will be LONG, the banks are pushing the price DOWN so as to have the greatest runup possible and vice versa and they will continue to move the price down, even if the news is GOOD, until it hits the H1 support level ---- if the price is going up, it will continue going up to the H1 top resistance level, and then the banks will SHORT the danged thing all the way down !
Once you look for it, its pretty danged simple to see whats going on, and you can easily work the first position for at least 30 minutes and the second position for the rest of the day.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
one more post of mine on a "trading news" thread that i thought of interest.
IT WORKS but you should try it a few times on a demo to get your finger reflexes down and to appease any squeemies you gots about doing this.
TRY THIS ! (on a demo or on paper)
understand that the banks have tons of analysts working on this every second, as well as some well placed "moles" (well, thats supposition, but i know i would do it if i ran a central bank) so they have a pretty danged good idea of what the news is, what effect it will have, and trade accordingly.
the action of the price before the news release will give away what will happen, and you only need WATCH a few times to confirm what i say.
if the news will be GOOD, the price DROPS during the night and definitely before the news and will continue dropping for the first half hour after the release with everyone scratching their heads because the news was GOOD.
What happens is THEN, once the H1 or H4 support is reached (usually around 10am est) THE MARKET REVERSES and UP SHE GOES, just as if it was all planned (cause IT WAS all planned)
reverse the situation for BAD news, and you can now see why i LOVE news, dont worry about slippage cause im already in the trade before the news release, take the REAL direction trade after the half hour, when things slow down, and set my tp points based on the visible support and resistance areas on the higher timeframes.
IF YOU WATCH, and take note of what happens and how the prices are moved, you will be AMAZED at how simple it is to trade news, but if you try to catch the moves, once theyre moving, you get the wide spreads, slippage and all the other stuff everyone complains about !
Before you try it, DEMO the sucker and see if you agree with me or want to throw stones ---- betcha there be NO stones !
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forex[/acronym]-trading/"]The Death of Leveraged Forex Trading?
O preocupare "suspecta" si "previzibila" a lui Big S. Sa reducem levierul la nivelul unde noi, pleaba, pierde orice sansa de-a mai intra pe piata.
Nu stiu daca propunerea a trecut sau daca a fost respinsa dar o asemenea preocupare ma "ingrijoreaza", vorbind in limbaj de lemn de ministru de externe.
Suntem, oare, in fata unei schimbari majore in reglementarea pietei de capital mondiale?
Recently I received several emails about a proposal to limit the leverage available to U.S. Forex traders to 1.5 to 1. One of the main reasons that Forex trading is so popular today is because of the high leverage with 100:1 being standard and 200:1 or even 400:1 available through some brokers. This enables traders to open accounts with a small amount of capital and realize profit on trades that control a much larger amount of capital. For instance a Forex trader can open an account with $5000 and enter a trade with only 5% of the capital at risk and if the trade is profitable by 100 PIPS, $500 could be earned in one day which is, of course, a 10% return on capital in one day. Many Forex traders are willing to accept the risk of loss in order to learn to realize this kind of profit consitently over time.
Some Forex traders were a little nervous when they heard that the FINRA, Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, proposed to virtually eliminate high leverage for Forex trading accounts. Well, that is how some misinformed traders were interpreting this proposal. As it turns out, there is more to the story.
Last year Rosenthal Collins bought MG Forex just as the first capital requirement was set to kick in. RCG then announced that MG Forex was a subsidiary of Rosenthal Collins Securities, which is regulated by FINRA, not the NFA. Thus MG Forex was able to avoid the $20 million capital requirement since FINRA members need only $250,000 in capital. That was then.
Last week FINRA released a proposal capping the margin level that forex brokers can offer at 1.5 to 1. Essentially, FINRA is saying you can’t trade Forex on margin.
FINRA - Regulatory Notice 09-06:
The rule will not effect NFA registered forex brokers. But for those Forex brokers with FINRA licenses the party appears to be over. Why is FINRA doing this?
Quote:
"FINRA has observed a potential migration of retail forex activity from the FCM channel to Broker Dealers…"
Hmmm, couldn’t be that forex dealers who didn’t have the capital to keep their NFA licenses were suddenly showing up to get a broker dealer license on the cheap? Well, if that was the case consider that escape hatch to be boarded up. My take is that FINRA does not want to regulate forex brokers. So what they are saying is "sure you can offer forex trading. But you can't offer any leverage so why bother to offer Forex trading at all?"
A lot of forex brokers were trying to get licenses with FINRA because of the low capital requirement. FINRA basically put this rule in place to keep forex brokers out of their club. So the Forex trading industry is still going strong and still providing one of the best recession proof business opportunities available. I believe it will continue to be one of the best businesses in the world for a long time into the future.
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Este clar ca zvonul cu disparitia leverajului de pe forex este foc de paie.
In USA brokerii de pe forex,regulati de NFA, trebuie sa indeplineasca noile conditii de minima capitalizare.
Neputandu-le indepli se muta la FINRA unde conditiile sunt cu mult mai lejere.
Dar FINRA nu vrea sa reguleze brokerii de forex si atunci le impune reducerea leverajului la maxim la 1.5.
Putem face o analogie intre FINRA/BVB - unde se tranzactioneaza fara leverage si NFA/SIBEX - unde se tranzactioneaza contracte futures in marja.
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FINRA is the largest independent regulator for all securities firms doing business in the United States. We oversee nearly 5,000 brokerage firms, 173,000 branch offices and 659,000 registered securities representatives. Our chief role is to protect investors by maintaining the fairness of the U.S. capital markets.
NFA's responsibility to safeguard market integrity and protect the public interest begins with the screening and registration of all firms and individuals who want to conduct futures-related business with the public.
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Bancherii, indemnati sa munceasca acasa, ca sa scape de bataie
Politia ii indeamna pe bancherii din Regatul Unit (UK) sa nu mai poarte costume, nici serviete pe care sa se poata citi logoul bancii si, cel mai sigur, sa lucreze de acasa! Fara aceste masuri de prevedere, riscurile pentru viata lor sunt tot mai mari, pe masura ce se apropie summitul primelor 20 de economii ale lumii, programat pentru 2 aprilie, la Londra, cand mii de anarhisti furiosi pe bancheri vor sa invadeze capitala britanica.
In ciuda sfatului politiei, citat de The Times, "pisicile grase" din fruntea bancilor britanice nu mai pot sa se bucure de liniste nici in "culcusurile" lor luxoase, care valoreaza milioane de lire sterline. Locuintele lor au ajuns sa fie localizate prin Google Earth si vandalizate, incat bancherii se vad nevoiti sa aloce o buna parte din bonusurile grase incasate pentru a-si plati agenti de paza.
Miercuri dimineata, cateva ferestre ale casei din Edinburgh (evaluata la trei milioane lire) a fostului director al Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Sir Fred Goodwin, au fost sparte, alaturi de geamurile Mercedesului S600, evaluat la 100.000 lire. Fostul bancher nu se afla acasa in momentul atacului, politia fiind alertata de sistemul de alarma. Atacul s-a produs la pe la 4:30 dimineata si a fost revendicat printr-un mesaj trimis mai multor redactii de la o adresa de e-mail intitulata "bankbossesarecriminals@mail.com", nume ce s-ar traduce prin "sefiibancilorsuntcriminali". De la aceeasi adresa, mass-media britanice au fost avertizate ca, la 2 aprilie, mii de manifestanti vor sa ia cu asalt Banca Angliei si alte institutii financiare din City of London. Protestatarii se declara "furiosi ca bogatii isi platesc sume uriase de bani si traiesc in lux, in timp ce oamenii obisnuiti sunt concediati si raman fara case".
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Pe cand si in Romania???
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IN GOLD WE TRUST!!!
The Perth Mint - http://www.perthmint.com.au/distributors.aspx
www.e-bay.com - monede & lingouri
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Solutie extrema: Tot mai multi americani, disperati ca nu mai au bani, isi dau foc masinilor
Investigatorii americani de incendii spun ca, de fiecare data cand economia izbucneste in flacari, ei devin tot mai ocupati. Acum, pe timp de recesiune, cifrele oficiale arata ca politia din SUA se confrunta cu un numar in crestere a incedierilor de masini, provocate mai ales de oameni in criza, care dau foc masinilor pentru a beneficia de prima de asigurare, transmite CBS News.
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Pe tot cuprinsul statului Nevada sunt incendiate zilnic atat de multe masini incat politia le cauta cu elicopterul. Numarul acestor incedieri care ridica suspiciuni a crescut in New York, New Jersey, Ohio, Texas, Pennsylvania, Mississippi, California, South Carolina, Utah, Arkansas si Nevada. In New York, numarul celor arestati pentru ca si-au dat foc masinii s-a dublat anul trecut fata de 2007.
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The global economic crisis isn't about money - it's about power. How Wall Street insiders are using the bailout to stage a revolution
MATT TAIBBI
Sau istoria adevarata a crizei.
De ce trebuie pompati atatia bani in piata?
Ce sunt cu adevarat activele toxice? Polite de asigurare fara acoperire in bani.
Escrocheria la nivel global a mizat pe faptul ca piata imobiliara se duce numai in sus si nu va fi nevoie niciodata sa se recurga la politele de asigurare.
S-au incasat banii pe politele de asigurare dar nu existau si banii care sa acopere asiguratul.
In prezent se pompeaza trilioane de euro, dolari, lire, etc in piata sa se acopere aceste polite.
De asta li se spune ACTIVE TOXICE. Pt. ca nimeni nu spune ESCROCHERIE..
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totalitatea produselor derivate depaseste cifra de 55.000 miliarde de dolari. Intregul Produs Intern Brut (PIB) a planetei ajunge la 45.000 de miliarde de dolari. Aceste produse derivate, se gasesc raspindite in intreaga lume in banci, firme ,compani, in economiile a milioane de cetateni. Practic ,produsele financiare au depasit valoarea produselor reale create de om in un an, pe intreaga planeta.
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Mai trebuie multi bani pompati in piata ...
Tiparnitele de abia s-au incalzit. Pina nu se acopera in bani reali toate CFD's/CDO's vandute fictiv nici vorba de inflatie.
INFLATIE = BULL MARKET.
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Situatia e de rahat, insa nu disperata.
Cronologia unei crize si Marele Crash al unui plan global
Cum e moralul nemtilor in plina criza financiara? Situatia e „beschiessen aber nicht hoffnungslos” (trad: „de rahat, insa nu disperata”) spune Dieter G., patronul unei firme mijlocii din Mössingen. Nemtii au mai trecut prin crize economice si ale pietei de capital, iar modul lor de gandire e in general pragmatic, lipsit de emotie. Asta nu inseamna ca in birouri si firme, pe strada, in birturi, ca si in Parlament, criza economica si recesiunea nu sunt pe buzele tuturor.
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Autor: Cristina Marina | Data: 06 Oct 2008
Piesele puzzle-ului "crimelor financiare" sunt asezate pentru prima data cap la cap, astfel incat urmele loviturilor care aproape au ingenuncheat o industrie de mii de miliarde de euro o sa fie evidente. Revista Target relateaza pas cu pas desfasurarea ostilitatilor.
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London G20 Summit: Last chance before global geopolitical dislocation
Open letter to the G20 leaders, published in the Financial Times’ worldwide edition on 03/24/2009
(Urmarariti site-ul acesta)
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a crisis that will take at least a decade to resolve, accompanied by a whole series of tragedies and ferment? Therefore, this open letter by LEAP/E2020, who saw the arrival of a « global systemic crisis » as early as three years ago, intends to briefly explain why it happened and how to limit further damage.
If indeed you began to suspect the onset of a sizeable crisis less than a year ago, LEAP/E2020, in the second issue of their « Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin » (GEAB N°2), anticipated that the world was about to enter into the « trigger phase » of a crisis of historic proportions. Since then, month after month, LEAP/E2020 has relentlessly continued to produce highly accurate forecasts of the development of this crisis with which the world is now struggling. For this reason, we feel entitled to write you this open letter which we hope will aid you on the choices you will have to make in a few days.
This crisis is getting more and more dangerous. Recently, in the 32nd edition of its Bulletin, LEAP/E2020 raised an alarm of direct concern to you, the leaders of the G20. If, when gathered in London next April 2nd, you are not able to adopt a number of bold and innovative decisions, focused on the essential issues and problems, and to initiate them by summer 2009, then the crisis will entail a « general geopolitical dislocation » by the end of the year, affecting the international system as well as the very structure of large political entities such as the United States, Russia, China or the EU. Any chance for you to control the fate of the 6 billion inhabitants of the world will then be over.
Your choice: a 3- to 5-year crisis or a decade-at-least long crisis?
Until now you have merely been concerned with the symptoms and secondary effects of this crisis because, unfortunately, nothing prepared you to face a crisis of such an historic scale. You thought that adding more oil to the global engine would be enough, unaware of the fact that the engine was broken, with no hope of repair. In fact, a new engine must be built, and time is running out, as the international system deteriorates further each month.
In the case of a major crisis, one must get to the heart of the matter. The only choice is between undertaking a number of radical changes, thus greatly shortening the duration of the crisis and diminishing its tragic outcome or, on the contrary, refusing to make any such changes in an attempt to save what is left of the present system, thus extending the crisis’ duration and increasing all the negative consequences. In London, next April 2nd, you can either pave the way for the crisis to be solved in an organised manner in 3 to 5 years, or drag the world through a terrible decade.
We will content ourselves with giving you three recommendations that we consider strategic ones in the sense that, according to LEAP/E2020, if they have not been initiated by this summer 2009, global geopolitical dislocation will become inevitable from the end of this year onward.
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Criza Financiara in lume
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Postat
Bank stocks being sold short at Lehman Bros levels!!!
Short sellers, the bane of Wall Street executives last year, are back.
The number of Citigroup Inc. shares borrowed and sold short increased sixfold since Feb. 27, the day the U.S. Treasury announced it would convert some of its preferred shares in the New York-based bank into common stock.
Short interest in Bank of America Corp., MetLife Inc. and American Express Co. climbed more than 40 percent in the same period. In total, short sales of the 18 publicly traded financial companies undergoing government stress tests were twice as high on April 15 as they were at their peak last year in July, two months before Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed.
The Federal Reserve plans to release results of the tests on May 7. At least six of the 19 firms under review will require additional capital to absorb losses if the recession worsens, people briefed on the preliminary results said last week.
Short sellers borrow shares and sell them hoping to make a profit by replacing the stock after prices fall.