Technical Analysis - Major Pairs (EUR/USD, AUD/USD. GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/CAD) and more...

[Tiberiu]

USD/Chf,Daily view,1Hour chart(16.02), 19:00

 

Bearish probability;price has found resistence at 0.933(very strong key level, confluence between 200Sma on 4Hours chart,Monthly Pivot,Weekly R2 Pivot and Daily r2).If price will break 0.925(Weekly r1 Pivot confluence with 30Sma on 1hour)it will fall further to 0.922(Daily Pivot)and 0.918(Weekly Pivot confluence with Daily S1 Pivot and 100Sma).this is a good level for a bullish retracement.

 

 

If the 0.925(Weekly r1 Pivot)resistence will hold as support price will turn back upside to 0.933(Weekly r2 and Monthly Pivot)and maybe even 0.938(Weekly r3 Pivot)

 

fir itins la pipsi,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

Nzd/USD,Daily view,1Hour chart(16.02), 19:00

 

Bullish Probability,if price will break the 0.833(30,50,100 and 200Sma cross, strong key-level)it will go upside to 0.835(Daily Pivot)further to 0.839(Daily R1 Pivot) and even reach 0.843(Weekly R1 Pivot)before a bearish retracement.

 

 

Bearish Probability if the 0.833(Key Level)will hold as resistence will go back to 0.829(confluence between Weekly Pivot and daily r1 Pivot)and further to 0.825(Daily r2 Pivot)and even 0.821(confluence between uptrendline on higher time frames and Weekly s1 Pivot)

 

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[Tiberiu]

Aud/USD,Daily View,1Hour chart(16.02), 19:00

 

Bullish Probability,if price breaks and confirms 1.074(confluence between 200SMa and Daily R1 Pivot) then it could break the downtrend and continue upside to 1.081(confluence between Monthly r1 pivot and Daily r2) and 1.086(confluence between Weekly r1 Pivot and Daily r3 Pivot).

 

 

 

Bearish Probability if the 1.075(key-level will hold as resistence) will turn back down to 1.07(Weekly Main Pivot,Daily Main Pivot and confluence between 100,500 and 30SMa) and further downside to 1.064(daily r1 Pivot)and 1.06(confluence between Weekly s1 Pivot and Daily s2 Pivot)

 

 

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[Tiberiu]

GBP/USD,Daily View,1Hour chart(16.02),c 19:00

 

Bullish Probability;price has found support at 1.568(Weekly s1 Pivot)today and now has reached 1.576(daily r2 Pivot)and it is testing 1.578(the Weekly Main Pivot confluence with 200SMa).If this resistence will be broken, price could go as higha s 1.591(Weekly R1 Pivot)because the downtrend will be broken.

 

 

Bearish Probability if the weekly pivot holds as resistence will turn back down to 1.572(aily r1 Pivot confluence with 100SMa) and further to 1.569(confluence between Daily Main pivot and 50SMa).

 

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[Tiberiu]

Euro/USD,Daily View,1Hour chart(16.02), 19:00

 

Bullish probability, price has found support at 1.297(Key Level, confluence between 200SMa, 50% Fibonacci and Monthly Main Pivot).If this support will hold price could move upside to 1.305(Weekly S1 Pivot) and further to 1.314(possible key-level, confluence between 100SMa, 200SMa and Weekly Main Pivot).

 

 

Bearish probability under 1.297(key level)could move downside to 1.29(confluence between 61.8% Fibonacci and Weekly S2 Pivot).This will be a good support for a Bullish retracement.

 

Fir intins la pipsi,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>1) >>> EUR/USD <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart (21-25th of February):

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/ad7fd88042435d5eb4a86849a55a35a2/500_2/image572.jpg

 

 

It was a crazy start for the "Fiber" this week when the Greece News turn the Market upside Down. On Monday and Tuesday we had a Sideways Area with great volatility. The price has broken the Downtrend on the Daily chart but has Quickly returned under it.

 

On the 4Hours chart we have an Uptrend but the correlation with the daily chart is Negative. This is a Key-area because we have a Strong Support at 1.316-1.312(confluence between Weekly Pivot Tuesday and Monthly Main Pivot and the 100SMA).

 

Bearish Probability could break 1.316(confluence between Weekly Pivot,100 and 50 SMas) and reach first 1.312(Monthly Main Pivot as Support). If this level will be broken price could fall to 1.303(Confluence between 200SMa, Weekly S1 Pivot and Main Uptrend Line on the 4Hours Chart). This is the Key-Level that holds the Uptrend on the 4Hours Chart.the Next support for this week could be 1.285(Weekly S2 Pivot) for a bearish continuation on the Daily chart Downtrend.

 

Bullish Probability could find support at 1.316-1.312are (key-level confluence between weekly Main Pivot Line, Monthly Pivot, 50 and 100SMA and Triangle Vortex) and then Continue the Uptrend for a confirmation of the Break-out above the Downtrend Line on the higher Time-Frames. Price could first reach 1.334-1.338 Area(confluence between Weekly R1 Pivot , Monthly R1 Pivot and Secondary Uptrend Line).This is a Key-Level that we need to watch out for a Bearish Retracement and Uptrend Break-out Downside Continuation. Further upside we have 1.346(Weekly R2 Pivot resistence).

 

To YOur Success,

Doctortyby - Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

>2) >>> GBP/USD <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart (21-25th of February):

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/fe5352d41bc7bb9695aa9647697cd1a8/500_2/image822.jpg

 

 

Cable is Currently trending inside the triangle vortex between the Downtrend Line on the Di=aily Chart and the Main Uptrend Line on the 4 Hours Chart.

 

Bearish Probability - if price breaks 1.579-1.576 area (confluence between Weekly Main Pivot, Monthly R1 Pivot, 30,50 and 100SMA cross) it could first reach 1.571(key-level, confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and Uptrend Line) and then break 1.5635(200SMa) to reach 1.556(Strong confluence between Monthly Main Pivot and Weekly S2 Pivot) before a bullish retracement.

 

Bullish Probability - if the 1.579-1.576 area (confluence between Weekly Main Pivot, Monthly R1 Pivot, 30,50 and 100SMA cross) will hold as support, price could break the downtrend Line dinaic resistence to first reach 1.594-1.597 Area (strong confluence between Monthly r2 Pivot and Weekly R1 Pivot). From this level we should see a retracement back to the Downtrend Line before a continuation upside to 1.60(Weekly R2 Pivot Line).

 

Succes,

Doctortyby

 

>3) >>> AUD/USD <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart (21-25th of February):

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/369fb986523ad9d564e2f8e58a869476/500_2/image585.jpg

 

 

Aussie is strongly correlated with Gold (Because Australia is one of the Biggest Exporters of Gold - the Third Wrold Wide). On the 4 Hours Chart Aussie is trending in an Uptrend Channel. But on Monday price has broken out of the Channel Downside. This could be a signal for a Trend Reversal or a False Break-out.Price has currently found support at 1.067(Weekly S1 Pivot)

 

Bearish Probability could first retrace back to 1.074(strong key-level confluence between Uptrend Line , Weekly Main PIvot Line and 30,50 and 100SMa cross) and then break 1.067(Weekly S1 Pivot) to reach 1.056(strong Key-Level that holds the Uptrend on the 4 HOurs Charts, confluece between 200SMa, and Weekly S2 Pivot). From here price could enter a congestion area between 1.056 and 1.074.

 

Bullish Probability could turn back above the Main Uptrend Line and 1.074 Key-Level (confluence between Uptrend Line , Weekly Main PIvot Line and 30,50 and 100SMa cross) to reach first 1.086( Weekly R1 Pivot). From this level price could retrace back to the trendline before reach the 1.093Resistence (weekly R2 Pivot).

 

Fir intins la pipsi,

TIberiu

 

4) >>> Nzd/USD <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart (21-25th of February):

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/d676132508ba6d1809f2d91f72a3f363/500_2/image252.jpg

 

 

Bearish Probability: - Kiwi has been trending inside an Uptrend Channel on the 4Hours Chart. The main uptrend Line has been broken downside. If the 0.836-0.830 area(key area confluence between 100SMA, Weekly Main Pivot, weekly S1 Pivot, 30 and 500SMA cross) will be broken downside, price could reach 0.818(Key-Level confluence between 200SMa and Weekly S2 Pivot, the level that holds the uptrend on the 4Hours chart).This is a strong support area for a bullish retracement back to Weekly s2 Pivot.

 

Bullish Probability - above the 0.836-0.830 Area will rise back above the Main Uptrend Line and reach first 0.848(Weekly R1 Pivot) and then 0.854 Area (Strong Key-Level, confluence between Weekly R2 Pivot and Monthly R3 Pivot).

 

To YOur success,

Doctortyby - Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

5)>>> USD/CHF <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart, (21-25th of February):

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/8840e6934acb358108219e19393e9596/500_2/image481.jpg

 

I suggest You to keep a close eye on the Major Swiss Franc Currency Pairs This Week, especially EUR/Chf, USD/Chf and Chf/JPY because it would be a perfect moment for SNB to intervene in the Market with a new Minimum level to depreciate Chf.

 

Bearish Probability - if the 0.912(Monthly S1Pivot) will be broken price could first reach 0.906(confluence between the trendline and Weekly s1 Pivot) retrace back to the Monthly S1 Pivot and then continue down for a fals break-out to 0.898(Weekly S2 Pivot).

 

Bullish Probability - could find support at 0.912(Monthly s1 Pivot) and then break 0.918(strong key-level, possible confluence between Weekly Main Pivot 100SMa and 30 and 50SMA cross). Next Resistence could be the level 0.926(strong Key-Level confluence between 200SMa, Weekly R1 Pivot and Main Downtrend Line). this is the level that holds the Downtrend on the 4 Hours Chart. Price could retrace back and then break this level upside.

 

 

6) >>> USD/JPY <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart, (21-25th of February):

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/11202d33ab13b257d3f615aaeb0f0115/500_2/image523.jpg

 

 

Bullish Probability - the Yen is currently under a Negative Outlook from both rating Agencies, Standard and Poors and Moody's. This is a strong Bullish Fundamental Signal. If price will find support at 79.00(Weekly Main Pivot, confluence with 30 and 50 SMA) it could move upside and break 80.05(Monthly R3 Pivot) to reach 80.65(confluence between Weekly R1 Pivot and secondary Trednline) and further 81.53(Weekly R2 Pivot).

 

Bearish Probability - the price will break 79.00 level(Weekly Main Pivot, confluence with 30 and 50 SMA) it will fall further to 78.68(confluence between Monthly R2 Pivot and Uptrend Line) and further down to 78.13-77.76 Area (strong support key area confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot, Weekly S1 Pivot, 100SMA and Downtrend Line on the Daily Chart).Price could even reach 77.30(Weekly S2 Pivot).

 

 

 

7) >>> USD/Cad <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart (21-25th of February):

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/003e16dae601e8f57942edf97d87437e/500_2/image313.jpg

 

 

Disclaimer: Please Take responsability for Your own trading decisions.

 

Doctortyby

[focuscsv]

Imaginile tale nu se vad marite .

daca le ai salva cu un numar mai mare de pixeli e posibil sa intelegem ceva din ele .

scuza ma poate nu ma pricep , dar alte le se vad mai mari.

Editat Februarie 21, 2012 de focuscsv

[Tiberiu]

Am atasat Graficele cu rezolutie mai mare.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fir intins la pipsi,

Tiberiu