Technical Analysis - Major Pairs (EUR/USD, AUD/USD. GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/CAD) and more...

[Tiberiu]

7) USD/CAD Weekly View (23-27th of January), 4 Hours chart in analogy with 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Chart.

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/edd8caf26bc48c9866c82b497e301b97/500_2/image54.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/8e7d2e0dc87eeb97b1ac058c868b8bd8/500_2/image857.jpg

 

 

USD/CAD Weekly View (23-27th of January),4 Hours chart:

 

- Bearish Probability under 1,006(Weekly S1 Pivot)after a retracement back to 1,015(Weekly Main Pivot confluence with 100SMA and Uptrend Line)could reach 0,997(Weekly S2 Pivot) before retracing back upside.

 

- Bullish Probability should break 1,015(Weekly Pivot confluence with 100SMA and Uptrend Line) and reach first 1,022(Monthly Main Pivot, confluence with 200SMA and Downtrend Line).Next Resistence is 1,024(Weekly R1) and 1,033(Weekly R2 Pivot).After this Level will be touched Price could retrace back down to the Downtrend Line.

 

To Your Success,

 

Doctortyby

[Baiazid]

USD/CAD ar putea sa scada pe motive fundamentale: US a pus embargo la petrolul Iranian => supply mai mic => oil price up. Canada este un exportator major pt crude oil => CAD este mai cumparat => USD/CAD down

 

Vedem ce iese... diseara ma apuc sa incerc o analiza mai buna. Poate iese de un trade mic

[Tiberiu]

Range Bars Charts 35Pips+4H Weekly Analysis 06-10th of February

 

1) >> Eur/Usd - Monthly View - February - Daily Chart,

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/09982c21538b0d488fdeb74fb1704e7b/500_2/image17.jpg

 

Euro is moving in a downtrend on the Daily Chart, and has retraced to 61,8% Fibonacci Retracement, close to 100 DMA. Higher probability seems a Bearish Continuation for the current Month.

 

Bearish Probability should have to break 1,2975 (the Monthly Main Pivot line, possible confluence with 30 and 50 DMA, an important Key-Level for the Downtrend continuation). Next support Level could be 1,2724(Monthly S1 Pivot) and 1,2624(support from Last Month). If this Support Area will be Broken, further Support will be found at 1,2738(Monthly S2 Pivot). watch this Level for a Bullish Retracement.

 

Bullish Probability on the Daily chart could pass a congestion area for a few Days and then Break the Downtrend Line and reach the resistence at 1,324(61,8% Fibonacci Retracement) and 1.333(Monthly R1 Pivot, confluence with 100DMA, important Key-Level to signal a possible trend reversal). further we can have a Bearish retracement to the Trendline and then an Higher Amplitude Upside Move to 1,358(Key-Level, confluence between 200DMA and Monthly R2 Pivot and 38,2% Fibonacci Retracement). This is the Level that holds the Downtrend for now.

 

 

>> Eur/Usd Weekly View (06-10th of February), 4 Hours chart in analogy with 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Chart.

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/9eb770bebc38c97ef34f813f4d647d39/500_2/image330.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/cbbe01150e2028170a89276aef30ecba/500_2/image479.jpg

 

On 4 Hours Chart, we can see an Uptrend (the Bullish Retracement from the Daily chart).

 

Bearish Probability for the Euro could break 1,302(Weekly S1 Pivot Line future confluence with 100SMA on 4H), after a small retracement, and continue further to 1,293(Weekly S2 Pivot, confluence with 200SMA on 4H, important key-level that holds the Uptrend).On Thursday, during the ECB press conference , Euro could fall further to 1,274(Weekly S3 Pivot) and Break the Uptrend to continue the Downtrend on higher Time Frames.

 

Bullish Probability could rise to 1,312(Weekly Main Pivot, confluence with 30 and 50 SMA on 4H) and then break the Downtrend Line from the Daily Chart to move up to 1,324(61,8% Fibonacci from the Daily Chart, confluence with Weekly R1 Pivot). Next a retracement could find support on the Trendline and then Resume the Upside Move to reach 1,331(Weekly R2 Pivot) and 1,338(Weekly R3 Pivot).

 

 

2) >> Gbp/Usd - Monthly View - February - Daily Chart,

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/2d3109ac474fbdc397f894e763a7c212/500_2/image216.jpg

 

 

Cable is Trending downside on the Daily Chart. It has retraced to 1,585(200DMA, confluence with 38,2% Fibonacci Retracement). Higher Probability seems the Bearish of the Downtrend for This Month.

 

Bearish Probability could break 1,5699(confluence between 50% Fibonacci and 100DMA) and move further to 1,5596(the Monthly Main Pivot, confluence with 1,8% Fibonacci Retracement and Downtrend Line Support, important Key-Level for the Downtrend Continuation). The next support will be 1,5396(Weekly S1 Pivot) and 1,523(important support from last months). If this level will be broken price could reach 1,503(weekly S2 Pivot), before a Bullish Retracement.

 

 

>> Gbp/Usd - Weekly View (06-10th of February), 4 Hours chart in analogy with 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Chart.

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/e0e2a59ee39d4f338136cb955de4ecf2/500_2/image31.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/dd7ae4477eb593bb0a9696ee819373f8/500_2/image486.jpg

 

 

 

3) Usd/Chf - Monthly View - February - Daily Chart,

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/7da032b1702bd3bbe0aee1c805a150a4/500_2/image474.jpg

 

The Swiss Franc is moving in an Uptrend on the Daily Chart. It is currently retracing Bearish and has reached the 100DMA, confluence with 61,8% Fibonacci Retracement, and found support. Higher Probability seems Bullish for the Month of February, for an Uptrend Resume.

 

Bullish Probability on the Daily chart could break 0,93(Monthly Main Pivot Line) and move Further to 0.949(Monthly R1 Pivot). From here price could retrace back to the Weekly Pivot and the Resume the Upside Move in the second part of this week to reach 0,9585(Strong resistence from last Month) and even further to 0,978(Monthly R2 Pivot) .

 

Bearish Probability on the Daily Chart could break 0,9196(confluence between 100DMA and 61,8% Fibonacci Retracement) and Move Further to 0,9015(Monthly S1 Pivot) and 0,88(important key-level to hold the uptrend on the Daily chart, confluence between 200DMA and Monthly S2 Pivot Line).

 

 

>> Usd/Chf - Weekly View (06-10th of February), 4 Hours chart in analogy with 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Chart.

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/1b32f53be7173a7493bd9ad1e9c62fbb/500_2/image445.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/e138b320db92ad5470c0400ed10c78a3/500_2/image979.jpg

 

 

To YOur Success,

Doctortyby - Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

4) Aud/Usd - Monthly View - February - Daily Chart,

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/28703f5b7b45bfe4d3dcf247809b9540/500_2/image253.jpg

 

 

>> Aud/Usd - Weekly View (06-10th of February), 4 Hours chart in analogy with 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Chart.

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/d1b133154fb95ebc2e64a064a374caf8/500_2/image342.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/3d4cbc813c6902e700ac9ba880138463/500_2/image274.jpg

 

 

5) >> Nzd/Usd - Monthly View - February - Daily Chart,

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c3d71c673fe647317ef1e7659efa5910/500_2/image471.jpg

 

 

 

>> Nzd/Usd - Weekly View (06-10th of February), 4 Hours chart in analogy with 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Chart.

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/4b3a78bc3ab26a8702d78422aa83f56c/500_2/image195.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/e133223aed0910875e1d045c89a5dc5a/500_2/image527.jpg

 

 

To YOur Success,

Doctortyby

 

6) >> Usd/Jpy - Monthly View - February - Daily Chart,

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c81896bd904d64a686f2ffc1c2fe62c1/500_2/image269.jpg

 

 

 

>> Usd/Jpy - Weekly View (06-10th of February), 4 Hours chart in analogy with 15 Pips Constant Range Bars Chart.

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/f723fd020579f75bb5692ba68fdc5199/500_2/image996.jpg

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/89c087e8ae2e76cb7590ce6eb91f3d80/500_2/image718.jpg

 

 

7) >> Usd/Cad - Monthly View - February - Daily Chart,

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/6d934f2ac2f3769ebe7a75bee71e950f/500_2/image438.jpg

 

 

>> Usd/Cad - Weekly View (06-10th of February), 4 Hours chart in analogy with 15 Pips Constant Range Bars Chart.

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/f83b457d753519ce4c631e0a9d13f6c2/500_2/image299.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c4f660f529cb55e6569c4c845a1e77ad/500_2/image438.jpg

 

Voi incerca maine sa scriu si comentarii la grafice.

 

To Your Success,

Doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

>1) >>> EUR/USD <<< Weekly view (13-17 February)- 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c8f9717a4e7d7b9c135be1c40357518f/500_2/image921.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/6cb98ae09c493fabd011cf88130e79d3/500_2/image57.jpg

 

 

 

>2) >>> GBP/USD <<< Weekly view (13-17 February)- 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:

 

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/8e58b53e9d1a2c6c9eb782e3b397a2fd/500_2/image564.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/0513fea6bcf3e6cee7d03631e01e856a/500_2/image297.jpg

 

 

 

>3) >>> AUD/USD <<< Weekly view (13-17 February)- 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/59e12875eb5942518efc31bee1d2a6fa/500_2/image189.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/c44f5bc143bdee2ac2bf5448f25b7451/500_2/image99.jpg

 

To YOur success,

Doctortyby - Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

4) >>> Nzd/USD <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/285cccf5d406eeaea86c4287c01e4d0a/500_2/image754.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/00d4c5c5c474013c428bc273186cd35e/500_2/image11.jpg

 

 

 

5)>>> USD/CHF <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/594d99a5c9136e20feb9572523380bf9/500_2/image809.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/a89433e3f264816d862775cf5cf107a1/500_2/image108.jpg

 

 

 

6) >>> USD/JPY <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the (15) Pips Range Bars Chart:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/a493d6c3bafd26b6b6d4a01815e72fe1/500_2/image818.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/9b527775e018605cbdc3f7ab9398a1ad/500_2/image313.jpg

 

 

 

7) >>> USD/Cad <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/21d03b02b899c27d50fa462b7d1836cd/500_2/image700.jpg

 

http://www.dukascopy.com/imageserver/img/d9289246257a5fcbe47cdd423261d0fe/500_2/image838.jpg

 

Voi posta cat de curand si explicatiile graficelor.

 

Dcotrotyby - Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

1) EUR/USD,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bullish Probability above 1.324(Weekly R1 confluence with 61.8% fibonacci and 30SMA)could first reach and break 1.332(confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot and Weekly r2)to move further upside to 1.343(weekly R3 Pivot)before retracing back down to the 61.8%Fibonacci.This could be a support for a bullish continuation at the end of the week on Friday(watch for USD CPI release)

 

Bearish Probability under 1.324(Key Level confluence between 61.8% Fibonacci, 30SMa and weekly r1 Pivot,also confirmed by the bearish volume and candle formation)could first reach 1.313(another important key level confleunce between weekly Pivot, 100SMa and secondary Uptrend Line)and move further downside to 1.305(Weekly S2 Pivot confluence with the Downtrend Line on the Daily Chart)and reach 1.297(Key Level confluence between 200SMa,Monthly Pivot and Weekly s2 Pivot).Watch for a false break out to 1.286(Weekly S3 Pivot)

 

 

2)GBP/USD,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bearish Probability,if 1.580(confluence between 38.2% Fibonacci and Wekly Pivot)will hold as Resistence, price could go downside to 1.568(confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and 50% fibonacci),retrace back up to the Weekly Pivot and then resume the Bearish move to reach 1.559(key confluence between 61.8% fibonacci retracement, Monthly Pivot and 200SMa)and even lower for a false break-out to 1.555(confleunce between Downtre Line on the Daily chart and weekly S2 Pivot)

 

Bullish Probability, if 1.578(Weekly Pivot confluence with 38.2% Fibonacci)will hold as support,then the price could go upside to 1.591(Weekly R1 Pivot)and 1.595(confluence between Monthly r1 Pivot and 23.6% Fibonacci).Price could go even further upside for a flase break-out to 1.60(Weekly R2 Pivot)before retracing back down to Monthly R1 Pivot and weekly Pivot.

 

 

3) Aud/USD,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bearish Probability could break 1.069(Weekly Pivot confluence with 100SMA)and move further to 1.059(Weekly S1 Pivot) and 1.047(future key confluence with 200SMa and Uptrend Line on the Daily chart and Monthly Pivot).Next price could go even lower to 1.042(Weekly s2 Pivot)and 1.033(Weekly R3 Pivot).this would be a perfect support for a bullish retracement.

 

Aud/USD,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bullish Probability after a retracement back to 1.069(confluence between Weekly Pivot and 100SMa)price could go upside to 1.081(Mothly R1 Pivot)and further to 1.086(Weekly R1 Pivot)and 1.096(Weekly r2 Pivot)before retracing back to 1.081(Monthly r1 Pivot)where it can find support.Further and upside move could go as high as 1.100(Monthly r2 Pivot)

 

 

4) Nzd/USD,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:BEarish Probability under 0.829(Weekly Pivot)could first reach 0.821(confluence between Weekly s2 Pivot and the uptrend Line).If this level will be broken price will go further to 0.809(confluence between 200SMa, Weekly s2 Pivot and the Main Monthly Pivot).This is the Key Level that holds the uptrend on 4H chart.From here price could enter a congestion are for a few days and then resume the downside move to 0.799(Weekly s3 Piv).

 

Nzd/USD,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bullish Probability above 0.829(Weekly Pivot)could reach 0.845(confluence between Monthly r1 Pivot and Weekly r1 Pivot)and further to 0.852(Weekly r2 Pivot)before retracing back to 0.829(future confluence between Weekly Pivot,Uptrend Line, and 100SMA).This support might send the price back Long at the end of the week.

 

To YOur Success,

Doctortyby

Editat Februarie 16, 2012 de Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

5) USD/Chf,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bearish Probability under 0.911(Weekly S1 Pivot)could break 0.907(50% Fibonacci)and first reach 0.905(weekly s2 Pivot)and 0.902(Monthly s1 Pivot)before retracing back up to weekly S1 Pivot.Further price could continue down to 0.898(Weekly s2 Pivot close to 38.2% Fibonacci).this would be a good support for a Bullish retracement.

 

USD/Chf,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bullish Probability above 0.918(Weekly Pivot future confluence with 100SMa)could first reach 0.925(Weekly r1 Pivot)and 0.930(Monthly Main pivot,confluence with 200SMa,close to Weekly R2 Pivot)the level that holds the downtrend on 4h chart.Price could enter a sideways zone for a few days and then continue upside to 0.938(Weekly r3 Pivot)and then back down to the Monthly Pivot.

 

7) USD/Cad,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bearish Probability could break 0.998(Weekly Pivot)and continue downside to 0.989(confluence between Monthly S1 Pivot and Weekly S1 Pivot).From here we could see a congestion area between the two pivot for 2 or 3 days and then the bearish continuation to 0.983(Weekly S2 Pivot)before a retracement back to the weekly Pivot.

 

USD/Cad,Weekly view(13-17.02)4Hours Chart:Bullish probability after a retracement to 0.997(Weekly Pivot)could break 1.002(Weekly R1 Pivot)and continue upside to 1.012(Weekly r2 Pivot)before retracing back to 1.002(Future conflunece of 200SMA and Weekly R1 Pivot).Next upside move could reach 1.0168(Weekly R3 Pivot maybe confluence with Downtrend line on the daily chart).

 

Analiza pentru 6) Dolar /Yen Japonez USD/JPY a fost gresit realizata pentru ca nu am observat ca nu au fost acutalizati pivotii Weekly in Platforma de trading.

 

Success,

Doctortyby - Tiberiu

[Tiberiu]

USD/Cad,Daily view,1Hour chart(16.02); - 19:00

 

Bearish probability if price breaks and confirms 0.998(confluence between Weekly and Daily Pivot and 200Sma),it could drop further to 0.995(Daily S1) and 0.938(Weekly S1 Pivot).

 

 

Bullish probability,if 0.998(Key Level explained earlier)will hold as support,price could turn bac upside to reach 1.002(Daily r1 Pivot)and 1.005(Key Level, confluence between Weekly R1 and Daily r2 Pivots).

 

Fir intins la pipsi,

doctortyby

[Tiberiu]

USD/JPY,Daily view,1Hour chart(16.02), - 19:00

 

Bearish Probability;price has found resistence at 78.92(Daily r2 Pivot)close to 79.02(Monthly r2 Pivot).If this resistence area will hold price could turn downside to 78.64(Weekly s2 Pivot ad Daily s1)further to 78.44(Daily Pivot)and 78.19(confluence between Weekly r1 Pivot and daily s1 Pivot).

 

 

Bullish probability if 79.02(Monthly r2 Pivot)will be broken,price will rise to 79.2(Daily r3 Pivot)and 79.7(Weekly r3 Pivot)before a bearish retracement.

 

Fir intins la pipsi,

Doctortyby