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Barbones

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  1. Pe scurt, corelarea de care vorbesti este recenta si are legatura cu Dolarul, adica cu faptul ca Dolarul se depreciaza in raport cu mai multe monede. 

    Treaba asta se intampla din mai multe motive dar probabil cel mai important motiv este decizia FED de a mentine QE3 ( infuzie de capital) inca o perioada.

     

    Corelarea intre perechi insa nu este continua, sunt perioade si depinde de punctul de referinta. Sunt corelari care tin zile sau luni sau chiar ani de zile. Exista Google pentru mai multe informatii despre corelare.

  2. It’s time to stop listening to Bernanke Commentary: Does the Fed have too much influence on equities?

     

    Bernanke prides himself on his transparency, and indeed his Fed is an open book compared with the “Secrets of the Temple” days under the great Paul Volcker. Back in the 1980s,the Fed didn’t hold news conferences nor did it even announce interest-rate moves. Fed watchers employed by Wall Street firms had to glean the news indirectly.

    But with openness has come confusion, especially when Bernanke lays out all the options in classic “on the one hand, on the other hand” economist fashion.

    The truth is the Fed can’t commit to a future course of action that depends on what actually happens in the economy, because that’s unpredictable by definition. Meanwhile, investors keep looking for certainty in an uncertain world. June’s experience showed that sitting tight would have been the smart move.

    http://straightsilver.com/updates/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/bernanke1.jpg

     

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-stop-listening-to-bernanke-2013-07-26?pagenumber=2

  3. Bond market shows signs of the European economic recovery

    “The data has picked up nicely. It’s quite rare you get a bear market led by Europe,” said David Keeble, head of interest-rate strategy at Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank. “I think the market has assumed too much pessimism regarding Europe and it’s in the process of unwinding pessimism.”

     

    http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2013/07/25/bond-market-shows-signs-of-the-european-economic-recovery/

  4. Quantitative prop trader: 'I wouldn't try to raise the price of rice and starve China'

     

    Joris Luyendijk meets a trader who says their approach is far from 'evil', but one of extreme caution and calculation

    http://static2.businessinsider.com/image/4b9fdb117f8b9a0307960100-480/shadow-dollar-bills-cash-money-warhol.jpg

    • This monologue is part of a series in which people across the financial sector speak about their working lives

     

    "So far you miss a speculator, the finance bad guy," he wrote in the blog. "Well, that would be me," adding: "If we go for some food you'll be able to make one of those nice plate descriptions  :)" So we're meeting one harsh, cold February evening for dinner in Strada, an Italian restaurant opposite the now-evicted Occupy camp. He is an inconspicuous-looking man, originally from continental Europe. He orders a vegetarian pasta and sparkling water.

     

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/joris-luyendijk-banking-blog/2012/apr/02/quantatitive-prop-trader-voices-of-finance?newsfeed=true

  5. SIX THINGS WE LEARNED FROM BERNANKE’S TESTIMONY
     
    http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/johncassidy/cassidy-bernanke-testimony.jpg
     
    Years ago, while attending an economics conference, I heard someone—I think it was Richard Freeman, of Harvard, but I couldn’t swear to it—respond to a presentation by saying that it hadn’t cleared up the issue at hand but that it had improved the quality of our ignorance. Two days of testimony on Capitol Hill from Ben Bernanke, the Fed chairman, has accomplished something similar. At the end of it, we still don’t know for sure where Fed policy, and the global markets that depend upon it, will go from here. But we have learned some valuable things. Here are six of them:[/size]
    http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/johncassidy/2013/07/six-things-we-learned-from-bernankes-testimony.html

     

     

     

    http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/SPX:IND
    http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2013/07/18/stocks-thursday/2540807/

  6. Aici apare insa o problema. Daca FED actioneaza diferit de restul bancilor centrale mari atunci se creaza o diferenta. FED reduce stimularea ECB o mentine si de aici sa vezi nebunie. Eu nu am acum nicio parere vizavi de ceea ce se poate intampla pentru ca nu am destule informatii dar chiar si asa, daca diferenta asta va avea loc atunci avem sanse de ceva trenduri serioase si pe o perioada mai lunga, ceea ce de fapt ma si intereseaza, sa am  o directie.

  7. Ce e sus nu este discurs ci Raport catre Congres dat inainte.

    In rezumat zice ca economia si-a revenit in mare parte iar daca viteza de revenire este mai mare decat au calculat, sansele de a mai continua cu tiparnita sunt din ce in ce mai mici, lucru spus si cu o saptamana inainte doar ca acum spune ca nimic nu este batut in cuie, adica nu exista un plan bine stabilit, un calendar cu date fixe pentru reducerea stimularii. 

    In esenta, SUA se pare ca iese din criza si deci si FED ul trebuie sa iasa din piata la un moment dat ceea ce inseamna ca se schimba politica de sustinere. Intrebarea tuturor este cand se va intampla asta, in toamna asta sau in primavara viitoare. 

  8. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress Before the Committee on Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives, Washington, D.C. July 17, 2013

     

    Chairman Hensarling, Ranking Member Waters, and other members of the Committee, I am pleased to present the Federal Reserve's semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress. I will discuss current economic conditions and the outlook and then turn to monetary policy. I'll finish with a short summary of our ongoing work on regulatory reform.

    The Economic Outlook

    The economic recovery has continued at a moderate pace in recent quarters despite the strong headwinds created by federal fiscal policy.

    Housing has contributed significantly to recent gains in economic activity. Home sales, house prices, and residential construction have moved up over the past year, supported by low mortgage rates and improved confidence in both the housing market and the economy. Rising housing construction and home sales are adding to job growth, and substantial increases in home prices are bolstering household finances and consumer spending while reducing the number of homeowners with underwater mortgages. Housing activity and prices seem likely to continue to recover, notwithstanding the recent increases in mortgage rates, but it will be important to monitor developments in this sector carefully.

    Conditions in the labor market are improving gradually. The unemployment rate stood at 7.6 percent in June, about a half percentage point lower than in the months before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) initiated its current asset purchase program in September. Nonfarm payroll employment has increased by an average of about 200,000 jobs per month so far this year. Despite these gains, the jobs situation is far from satisfactory, as the unemployment rate remains well above its longer-run normal level, and rates of underemployment and long-term unemployment are still much too high.

    Meanwhile, consumer price inflation has been running below the Committee's longer-run objective of 2 percent. The price index for personal consumption expenditures rose only 1 percent over the year ending in May. This softness reflects in part some factors that are likely to be transitory. Moreover, measures of longer-term inflation expectations have generally remained stable, which should help move inflation back up toward 2 percent. However, the Committee is certainly aware that very low inflation poses risks to economic performance--for example, by raising the real cost of capital investment--and increases the risk of outright deflation. Consequently, we will monitor this situation closely as well, and we will act as needed to ensure that inflation moves back toward our 2 percent objective over time.

    At the June FOMC meeting, my colleagues and I projected that economic growth would pick up in coming quarters, resulting in gradual progress toward the levels of unemployment and inflation consistent with the Federal Reserve's statutory mandate to foster maximum employment and price stability. Specifically, most participants saw real GDP growth beginning to step up during the second half of this year, eventually reaching a pace between 2.9 and 3.6 percent in 2015. They projected the unemployment rate to decline to between 5.8 and 6.2 percent by the final quarter of 2015. And they saw inflation gradually increasing toward the Committee's 2 percent objective.1 

    The pickup in economic growth projected by most Committee participants partly reflects their view that federal fiscal policy will exert somewhat less drag over time, as the effects of the tax increases and the spending sequestration diminish. The Committee also believes that risks to the economy have diminished since the fall, reflecting some easing of financial stresses in Europe, the gains in housing and labor markets that I mentioned earlier, the better budgetary positions of state and local governments, and stronger household and business balance sheets. That said, the risks remain that tight federal fiscal policy will restrain economic growth over the next few quarters by more than we currently expect, or that the debate concerning other fiscal policy issues, such as the status of the debt ceiling, will evolve in a way that could hamper the recovery. More generally, with the recovery still proceeding at only a moderate pace, the economy remains vulnerable to unanticipated shocks, including the possibility that global economic growth may be slower than currently anticipated.

    Monetary Policy

    With unemployment still high and declining only gradually, and with inflation running below the Committee's longer-run objective, a highly accommodative monetary policy will remain appropriate for the foreseeable future.

    In normal circumstances, the Committee's basic tool for providing monetary accommodation is its target for the federal funds rate. However, the target range for the federal funds rate has been close to zero since late 2008 and cannot be reduced meaningfully further. Instead, we are providing additional policy accommodation through two distinct yet complementary policy tools. The first tool is expanding the Federal Reserve's portfolio of longer-term Treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS); we are currently purchasing $40 billion per month in agency MBS and $45 billion per month in Treasuries. The second tool is "forward guidance" about the Committee's plans for setting the federal funds rate target over the medium term.

    Within our overall policy framework, we think of these two tools as having somewhat different roles. We are using asset purchases and the resulting expansion of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet primarily to increase the near-term momentum of the economy, with the specific goal of achieving a substantial improvement in the outlook for the labor market in a context of price stability. We have made some progress toward this goal, and, with inflation subdued, we intend to continue our purchases until a substantial improvement in the labor market outlook has been realized. In addition, even after purchases end, the Federal Reserve will be holding its stock of Treasury and agency securities off the market and reinvesting the proceeds from maturing securities, which will continue to put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates, support mortgage markets, and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative.

    We are relying on near-zero short-term interest rates, together with our forward guidance that rates will continue to be exceptionally low--our second tool--to help maintain a high degree of monetary accommodation for an extended period after asset purchases end, even as the economic recovery strengthens and unemployment declines toward more-normal levels. In appropriate combination, these two tools can provide the high level of policy accommodation needed to promote a stronger economic recovery with price stability.

    In the interest of transparency, Committee participants agreed in June that it would be helpful to lay out more details about our thinking regarding the asset purchase program--specifically, to provide additional information on our assessment of progress to date, as well as of the likely trajectory of the program if the economy evolves as projected. This agreement to provide additional information did not reflect a change in policy.

    The Committee's decisions regarding the asset purchase program (and the overall stance of monetary policy) depend on our assessment of the economic outlook and of the cumulative progress toward our objectives. Of course, economic forecasts must be revised when new information arrives and are thus necessarily provisional. As I noted, the economic outcomes that Committee participants saw as most likely in their June projections involved continuing gains in labor markets, supported by moderate growth that picks up over the next several quarters as the restraint from fiscal policy diminishes. Committee participants also saw inflation moving back toward our 2 percent objective over time. If the incoming data were to be broadly consistent with these projections, we anticipated that it would be appropriate to begin to moderate the monthly pace of purchases later this year. And if the subsequent data continued to confirm this pattern of ongoing economic improvement and normalizing inflation, we expected to continue to reduce the pace of purchases in measured steps through the first half of next year, ending them around midyear. At that point, if the economy had evolved along the lines we anticipated, the recovery would have gained further momentum, unemployment would be in the vicinity of 7 percent, and inflation would be moving toward our 2 percent objective. Such outcomes would be fully consistent with the goals of the asset purchase program that we established in September.

    I emphasize that, because our asset purchases depend on economic and financial developments, they are by no means on a preset course. On the one hand, if economic conditions were to improve faster than expected, and inflation appeared to be rising decisively back toward our objective, the pace of asset purchases could be reduced somewhat more quickly. On the other hand, if the outlook for employment were to become relatively less favorable, if inflation did not appear to be moving back toward 2 percent, or if financial conditions--which have tightened recently--were judged to be insufficiently accommodative to allow us to attain our mandated objectives, the current pace of purchases could be maintained for longer. Indeed, if needed, the Committee would be prepared to employ all of its tools, including an increase the pace of purchases for a time, to promote a return to maximum employment in a context of price stability.

    As I noted, the second tool the Committee is using to support the recovery is forward guidance regarding the path of the federal funds rate. The Committee has said it intends to maintain a high degree of monetary accommodation for a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends and the economic recovery strengthens. In particular, the Committee anticipates that its current exceptionally low target range for the federal funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent and inflation and inflation expectations remain well behaved in the sense described in the FOMC's statement.

    As I have observed on several occasions, the phrase "at least as long as" is a key component of the policy rate guidance. These words indicate that the specific numbers for unemployment and inflation in the guidance are thresholds, not triggers. Reaching one of the thresholds would not automatically result in an increase in the federal funds rate target; rather, it would lead the Committee to consider whether the outlook for the labor market, inflation, and the broader economy justified such an increase. For example, if a substantial part of the reductions in measured unemployment were judged to reflect cyclical declines in labor force participation rather than gains in employment, the Committee would be unlikely to view a decline in unemployment to 6-1/2 percent as a sufficient reason to raise its target for the federal funds rate. Likewise, the Committee would be unlikely to raise the funds rate if inflation remained persistently below our longer-run objective. Moreover, so long as the economy remains short of maximum employment, inflation remains near our longer-run objective, and inflation expectations remain well anchored, increases in the target for the federal funds rate, once they begin, are likely to be gradual.

    Regulatory Reform

    I will finish by providing you with a brief update on progress on reforms to reduce the systemic risk of the largest financial firms. As Governor Tarullo discussed in his testimony last week before the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee, the Federal Reserve, with the other federal banking agencies, adopted a final rule earlier this month to implement the Basel III capital reforms.2 The final rule increases the quantity and quality of required regulatory capital by establishing a new minimum common equity tier 1 capital ratio and implementing a capital conservation buffer. The rule also contains a supplementary leverage ratio and a countercyclical capital buffer that apply only to large and internationally active banking organizations, consistent with their systemic importance. In addition, the Federal Reserve will propose capital surcharges on firms that pose the greatest systemic risk and will issue a proposal to implement the Basel III quantitative liquidity requirements as they are phased in over the next few years. The Federal Reserve is considering further measures to strengthen the capital positions of large, internationally active banks, including the proposed rule issued last week that would increase the required leverage ratios for such firms.3 

    The Fed also is working to finalize the enhanced prudential standards set out in sections 165 and 166 of the Dodd-Frank Act. Among these standards, rules relating to stress testing and resolution planning already are in place, and we have been actively engaged in stress tests and reviewing the "first-wave" resolution plans. In coordination with other agencies, we have made significant progress on the key substantive issues relating to the Volcker rule and are hoping to complete it by year-end.

    Finally, the Federal Reserve is preparing to regulate and supervise systemically important nonbank financial firms. Last week, the Financial Stability Oversight Council designated two nonbank financial firms; it has proposed the designation of a third firm, which has requested a hearing before the council.4 We are developing a supervisory and regulatory framework that can be tailored to each firm's business mix, risk profile, and systemic footprint, consistent with the Collins amendment and other legal requirements under the Dodd-Frank Act.

  9. Hai sa definim stiri! La ce fel de stiri te referi barbones?

     

    Pentru ca eu, ma refer la stirile care se vad pe forexfactory de exemplu, NF, GDP, CPI, PPI etc. Chiar imi trebuia o superplatforma si un super canal de stiri pentru a face un minim de 600 de pps de pe 19 iunie de la discursul lui BB? Dar, ai dreptate in cea mai mare parte a mesajului tau, tu te referi la scalp pe stiri, eu ma refer mai mult la un fel de trading tip guerilla ... asa ca o lupta in jungla cu niste arme rudimentare...asa ca in vietnam...

     

    Sa definim stiri. Stirile sunt informatie. Informatia este cunoastere. 

     

    Eu cred ca atata timp cat nu avem "armele" de care dispun ceilalti pentru a face fata luptei, atunci fortele sunt inegale si in consecinta mai ramane o sigura solutie viabila: previziunea pe termen mediu, 3, 6 12 luni si asta se face destul de simplu. Sunt doar 2 banci centrale pentru o pereche valutara. Asta e c-am tot ce trebuie pentru a cauta directia. Atata timp cat am gasit-o, pot sa fac orice tip de trade vreau dar macar am o directie sau o banuiesc.

     

    Referitor la profit. Pot sa spun despre cineva sau despre mine ca este sau sunt profitabil cu un minim de istoric, sa zicem 2 3 ani. Daca vorbim de istoric de 1 2 luni atunci e greu de spus ceva. Imagineaza-ti ca te prezinti ca si un trader profesionist cuiva care vrea sa investeasca prin time. Ce incredere are el daca vede munca cuiva doar pentru 2 luni? Va pune el la bataie oare 10 mii sau 50 de mi de Euro?

     

    Faptul ca ai facut 600 de pp intr-o perioada nu poate decat sa ma bucure dar crezi ca poti sa menti ritmul si de acum in colo? Daca da, jos palaria. Tot ce conteaza este sa fi profitabil si nimic mai mult,cum o denumesti metoda chiar nu mai conteaza. Nu stiu ce inseamna Guerrilla dar chiar nu conteaza daca functioneaza pentru tine. Eu incercam sa-i spun lui Apollo ca spreadul variabil este o realitate peste care nu poate trece si care pune bete in roate la a face trade rapid pe stiri. Ca eu l-am denumit scalp chiar nu conteaza. 

  10. Ce treaba are in povestea asta pipul? 

     

    Una e sa intrebi daca cineva face treaba cu stiri si alta e sa discuti de spread. Una e sa faci scalp pe stiri si alta e sa cauti trendul din ele si sa mergi cu el.

     

    A face scalp pe stiri nu inseamna ca te intereseaza unde va duce miscarea mai multe de 5 sau 15 minute si deci esti limitat tehnic de ceea ce ti se ofera: Spread variabil, platforma neadcevata pentru asta si fluxul de stiri la care te uiti. ForexFactory e pur informativ, nu se poate face trade pe ce iti ofera el.

     

    Pentru a face scalp la stiri ai nevoie de unelte tari: Serviciu de stiri la fractiune de secunda, platforma care sa raspunda cu aceeasi viteza si la intrare si la iesire, flux de date cat mai real, nu demo.. Scalpul pe stiri pare la prima vedere usor pentru ca vezi in urma miscari ample care pot fi speculate dar, e un mare dar: Ai cu ce? Ai uneltele necesare ca dintr-o miscare de 30 de pip sa zicem sa iei macar 15? pentru ca sti de unde pleci dar nu sti cat se duce. Ai cu ce? Nu. Nici eu.

     

    Asa ca raman la ce pot sa fac cu ceea ce am adica cu spredul care creste sau scade, cu platforma care atat poate si cu asta defilez. Nu ma plang pentru ca atata am. Daca vreau mai mult trebuie sa platesc. Sunt platforme adevarate cu reactie extrema, cu siguranta maxima cu brokeri care iau comision la ordin si nu spread si tot asa. M-as plange toata ziua degeaba daca mi-as propune sa fac ceva ce nu pot cu uneltele astea gratuite care le am acum, adica MT4 de la un broker oarecare. Nu uita ca MT4 a fost conceput pentru EA in principal si nu pentru manual.

     

    Deci, parerea mea este ca iti propui sa faci ceva ce din start este extrem de greu de facut cu ce ai ca sa nu spun imposibil. Scalpul la stiri se face, pe langa stiinta, cu tehnica de calcul adecvata iar gratis, scuza-ma dar mai greu. 

     

    Vrei scalp la stiri ai nevoie de:

     

    1. O platforma

    https://thomsonreuterseikon.com/seek-more/?utm_campaign=ls&utm_medium=offline&utm_source=offline

    http://www.bloomberg.com/professional/

    http://www.tradestation.com/trading-technology/tradestation-platform

     

    2. Provider de stiri:

     

    https://thomsonreuterseikon.com/

    http://www.bloomberg.com/professional/news-research/economics/

     

    3. Cont ... mai tata. Bani pe care sa-i ai si sa te poti desparti de ei oricand fara sa dai faliment. Ca sa iti permiti sa faci forex adevarat ai nevoie pe langa banii care ii dai pentru abonamente si de cont serios, minim 50K ca sai ai acces la aceste unelte care costa. Sa ai acces in liga mare unde da, se poate face scalp la stiri, abia dupa vine si stiinta in joc. Degeaba ai sistem de trade daca nu ai cu ce tehnic si chiar daca sunt toate conditiile indeplinite tot nu ai garantia castigului. 

     

    Cu mt4 si ForexFactory nu prea ai ce sa vezi sau sa faci.

  11. Dupa cum vezi... nimeni.

    E... nu chiar nimeni, doar dintre cei activi aici si care au citit postul si ar vrea sa raspunda, procentul este aproape de zero.

     

    Vorba aia: 90% din "jucatori" pierd. Si aici vine si continuarea: Pentru ca 90% din jucatori se uita la "desene pe charturi", la "linii de trend si MA uri" la indicatori fenomenali sau, mai rau, se uita in gura altora care dau "semnale". Altii spun ca totul se afla pe chart si ca nu conteaza ce spun stirile caci ceea ce urmeaza trebuie sa respecte o miscare de sus jos deja prestabilita. Mai sa fie?!

     

    Am citit un articol recent unde un nene, un pic mai avizat in ale tradingului, a fost intrebat de ce a picat aurul si cat o sa mai pice (am omis sa zic ca dansul tocmai ce spusese cu ceva timp in urma ca aurul se va duce anul asta la 1200) iar dansul printre altele zice ca oricum aurul a avut o ascensiune nefiresc de lunga referitoare la un patern de timp si ca s ar putea (nu a zis - cu siguranta -) sa avem parte de o perioada destul de lunga de consolidare si chiar un nou varf in jos. Tot acest nene a zis ca are in portofliu aur dar ca nu-l vinde chiar daca mai coboara si nici nu cumpara chiar daca pare profitabil.  

    Ce invataminte trag eu de aici? Pai, daca un nene de genul asta, care chiar face si desface cu sume deloc de neglijat, spune raspicat ca se intampla lucruri ce nu respecta anumite reguli, paternuri etc, cum as putea eu, un puricel neinitiat, sa spun ca totul se vede pe chart si ca nu am nevoie de informatii, de stiri, de analiza asta macro, pentru ca imi ajunge sa-mi arati un chiart si sa spun, gata:  .... PREVAD VIITORUL!!!!

    • Upvote 2
  12. “U.K. and euro-zone monetary policy looks to be heading the same way for a period of time,” said Vosa, a former Bank of England economist. “They are now dependent on the evolution of real economic data as they try to distance their own domestic bond and interest rate markets from those of the U.S.”

     

    Asta poate genera o miscare. Dolar sus in raport cu Lira si Euro. Daca da, Din Septembrie avem treaba.

  13. Dow: 14,075, +175.2 pts, +1.2 percent

    S&P 500: 1,515, +19.0 pts, +1.2 percent

    NASDAQ: 3,162, +32.6 pts, +1.0 percent

     

    Read more: http://www.businessi...2#ixzz2M8ZH6HYY

    Am impresia ca trendul Long pe Euro nu e gata. Astept ECB din Martie

    Repet - Range pana atunci.

     

    Uite de ce nu-mi place mie sa dau plus sau minus la un post sau mai bine zis, de ce cred ca a da ocazia cuiva sa voteze este inutila si fara niciun beneficiu.

     

    Pentru ce e mai sus am primit minus 1. Si, da, nu s-a dus la 1.40 s-a dus la 1.33 fata de 28 Feb cand am scris, unde euroiu era la 1.2975 sau in zona. 

    Dar cel mai important lucru a fost ca am crezut in range, in indecizie in lipsa de directie. 

    Chiar si acum, dupa ce Ben ne spune ca nu prea mai e nevoie de QE tot nu vad o directie clara de cel putin o mie sau mai mult de pips.

    Merkel vrea stabilitate si cu asta am spus tot. Preturi stabile cu inflatie mica egal Euroiu calm. 

    Mai greu sa faci ceva in asa conditii. 

    Raman in continuare in range la eur usd

  14. Stocks are just points away from their all-time highs. And there are plenty of arguments why this could be a top for the markets.

    But the bear case for stocks is mostly backwards-looking or based on short-term risks.

    Yes, global growth is slow.

    But the economy is still growing, and S&P 500 companies are actively increasing exposures to regions where growth is hot.

    http://static2.businessinsider.com/image/51340f366bb3f73545000002-852-639-400-/bull-rider-rodeo-sunset.jpg

     

     

    Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/why-the-bull-market-can-continue-2013-3?op=1#ixzz2MfFC75PD

  15. Goldman's Jan Hatzius is out with an excellent note that essentially calls for the economic crisis to end in 2013.

    The title of the note is The US Economy in 2013-2016: Moving Over the Hump, and the gist is that 2013 will be the last year of sub-trend growth.

    http://static5.businessinsider.com/image/50ba65d4eab8ea1711000013-341-255/jan-hatzius.jpg

     

     

    Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-the-economic-crisis-ends-in-2013-2012-12#ixzz2MfE8vcxT

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